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Price Discovery in the World Sugar Futures and Cash Markets: Implications for the Dominican Republic 31
Zapata, Hector O.; Fortenbery, T. Randall; Armstrong, Delroy.
This paper examines the relationship between #11 sugar futures prices traded in New York and the world cash prices for exported sugar. It was found that the futures market for sugar leads the cash market in price discovery. However, we fail to find evidence that changes in the cash price causes changes in futures price, that is, causality is unidirectional from futures to cash. The finding of cointegration between futures and cash prices suggests that the sugar futures contract is a useful vehicle for reducing overall market price risk faced by cash market participants selling at the world price (i.e., not enjoying favorable trade incentives). Further reliability on the usefulness of the WSF as a price discovery market is found through the impulse response...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12657
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PRICE DISCOVERY IN THE FUTURES AND CASH MARKET FOR SUGAR 31
Armstrong, Delroy; Zapata, Hector O.; Fortenbery, T. Randall.
Pricing function using world sugar futures (WSF) has received limited research interest. Findings indicate that WSF and cash prices for the Dominican Republic appears cointegrated with changing relationships. Previous work suggests that futures markets price the cheapest quality of commodities deliverable on contracts. Cointegration results are consistent with this argument.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35239
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