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| Lupo, Coralie; Travers, Marie-agnes; Tourbiez, Delphine; Barthélémy, Clement; Beaunée, Gaël; Ezanno, Pauline. |
| Vibrio aestuarianus is a bacterium related to mortality outbreaks in Pacific oysters, Crassostrea gigas, in France, Ireland, and Scotland since 2011. Knowledge about its transmission dynamics is still lacking, impairing guidance to prevent and control the related disease spread. Mathematical modeling is a relevant approach to better understand the determinants of a disease and predict its dynamics in imperfectly observed pathosystems. We developed here the first marine epidemiological model to estimate the key parameters of V. aestuarianus infection at a local scale in a small and closed oyster population under controlled laboratory conditions. Using a compartmental model accounting for free-living bacteria in seawater, we predicted the infection dynamics... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Marine epidemiology; Parameter estimation; Compartmental model; ABC method; Global sensitivity analysis; Basic reproduction number R-0; Crassostrea gigas; Oyster mortality. |
| Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00495/60652/64148.pdf |
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