|
|
Bouchet, Pj; Miller, Dl; Roberts, Jj; Mannocci, Laura; Harris, Cm; Thomas, L. |
Forecasting the responses of biodiversity to global change has never been more important. However, many ecologists faced with limited sample sizes and shoestring budgets often resort to extrapolating predictive models beyond the range of their data to support management actions in data‐deficient contexts. This can lead to error‐prone inference that has the potential to misdirect conservation interventions and undermine decision‐making. Despite the perils associated with extrapolation, little guidance exists on the best way to identify it when it occurs, leaving users questioning how much credence they should place in model outputs. To address this, we present dsmextra, a new R package for measuring, summarising, and visualising extrapolation in... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Cetaceans; Distance sampling; Ecological predictions; Extrapolation; Model transferability; R package; Spatial modelling; Wildlife surveys. |
Ano: 2020 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00643/75485/76332.pdf |
| |