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Registros recuperados: 103
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OPTIMAL GRAZING PRESSURE UNDER OUTPUT PRICE AND PRODUCTION UNCERTAINTY WITH ALTERNATIVE FUNCTIONAL FORMS AgEcon
Kaitibie, Simeon; Nganje, William E.; Brorsen, B. Wade; Epplin, Francis M..
This study uses a Cox parametric bootstrap test to select between two specifications of the von Liebig hypothesis, a switching regression model and a non-linear mixed stochastic plateau function. The selected production function was used to determine optimal stocking density for dual-purpose winter wheat, under production and output price uncertainty. The switching regression approach was rejected in favor of the non-linear mixed stochastic plateau function. The relatively small difference in optimal stocking density between risk aversion and risk neutrality suggests that risk-aversion is much less important in explaining producer response to uncertainty than is nonlinearity in the production function.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22020
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AIDS VERSUS THE ROTTERDAM DEMAND SYSTEM: A COX TEST WITH PARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP AgEcon
Dameus, Alix; Richter, Francisca G.-C.; Brorsen, B. Wade; Sukhdial, Kullapapruk Piewthongngam.
A Cox test with parametric bootstrap is developed to select between the linearized version of the First-Difference Almost Ideal Demand System (FDAIDS) and the Rotterdam model. A Cox test with parametric bootstrap has been shown to be more powerful than encompassing tests like those used in past research. The bootstrap approach is used with U.S. meat demand (beef, pork, chicken, fish) and compared to results obtained with an encompassing test. The Cox test with parametric bootstrap consistently indicates the Rotterdam model is preferred to the FDAIDS, while the encompassing test sometimes fails to reject FDAIDS.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31126
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Using Basis and Futures Prices as a Barometer in Deciding Whether to Store Grain or Not AgEcon
Siaplay, Mounir; Anderson, Kim B.; Brorsen, B. Wade.
The purpose of this paper is to determine the importance of the strength and weakness of basis and futures prices as barometers for producers to use in deciding whether to store or not. Basis is the single most important market signal for wheat producers to use when deciding whether to store or sell their wheat at harvest. While some models indicated low futures prices were a signal to store, results were fragile and inconsistent.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Basis; Futures; Storage; Wheat.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37575
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LINEAR RESPONSE STOCHASTIC PLATEAU FUNCTIONS AgEcon
Tembo, Gelson; Brorsen, B. Wade; Epplin, Francis M..
A method of estimating a linear response stochastic plateau function is developed and used to determine optimal levels of nitrogen fertilization for wheat. Under the stochastic plateau model, optimizing behavior implies different nitrogen levels than the linear plateau model, depending on the output/input price ratio relative to a threshold level.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35217
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EFFECT OF RISK AVERSION ON FEEDER CATTLE PRICES AgEcon
Lee, Jung-Hee; Brorsen, B. Wade.
This paper determines the effects of cattle feeders' risk aversion on feeder cattle prices using pen data of Kansas feedlots. Higher profit risk results in lower feeder cattle prices. The elasticity of feeder cattle price with respect to profit risk was small (-0.013). The risk elasticity estimated here is similar to risk elasticities in previous studies and thus, the use of pen-level data does not seem to add much to the study of risk.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Feedlot pen data; Price expectations; Hedonic price; Price risk; Risk aversion; Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15168
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CAN STRUCTURAL CHANGE EXPLAIN CHANGES IN RETURNS TO TECHNICAL ANALYSIS? AgEcon
Kidd, Willis V.; Brorsen, B. Wade.
Returns to managed futures funds and Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) have decreased dramatically during the last several years. Since these funds overwhelmingly use technical analysis, this research examines futures prices to determine if there is evidence of a structural change in futures price movements that could explain the reduction in fund returns. Bootstrap tests are used to test significance of a change in statistics related to daily returns, close-to-open changes, breakaway gaps, and serial correlation. Results indicate that several statistics have changed across a broad range of commodities indicating futures price fluctuations have changed. The lower price volatility, decreased price reaction time, and decreased serial correlation may partly...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19066
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Welfare Impacts of BSE-Driven Trade Bans AgEcon
Mutondo, Joao E.; Brorsen, B. Wade; Henneberry, Shida Rastegari.
There is often a need to respond quickly to assess the likely implications of policy changes. Here, an equilibrium displacement model is adapted to study international bans on U.S. beef. An equilibrium displacement model offers a convenient way of quickly predicting the effects of supply and demand shocks. The equilibrium displacement model used here has an international sector, which allows the study of issues that past models with only a domestic sector could not. The estimated welfare loss of U.S. beef producers, due to both Japanese and South Korean bans after the discovery of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) in the United States, is $565.31 million.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Equilibrium displacement; International trade; Meat; Trade ban; Welfare; Marketing.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/59236
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Welfare Implications of Selected Supply and Demand Shocks on Producers and Marketers of U.S. Meats AgEcon
Henneberry, Shida Rastegari; Mutondo, Joao E.; Brorsen, B. Wade.
An equilibrium displacement model is developed and used to estimate the welfare impacts of government and industry-funded promotion programs, country of origin labeling (COOL), and the disease-driven, international bans on U.S. beef. The model goes beyond past studies by including the U.S. domestic market and both U.S. meat imports and exports, with meats differentiated by source of origin. The results indicate that while the benefits from beef and pork promotions are higher, the negative impacts of COOL are lower in a model with international trade than in a model without trade. International bans on U.S. beef decrease the welfare of producers and marketers of U.S. beef.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Beef ban; Country of origin; Equilibrium displacement model; Pork; Poultry; Promotion; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9962
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INVESTIGATION OF PRICE DISCOVERY AND EFFICIENCY FOR CASH AND FUTURES COTTON PRICES AgEcon
Brorsen, B. Wade; Bailey, DeeVon; Richardson, James W..
The dynamic relationship between daily cash and futures prices is investigated using time series analysis. The procedure involves causality tests between the two price series. The results show that futures price movements lead cash prices, implying that prices are discovered in the futures market.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing.
Ano: 1984 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32383
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HEDGING CARCASS BEEF TO REDUCE THE SHORT-TERM PRICE RISK OF MEAT PACKERS AgEcon
Bailey, DeeVon; Brorsen, B. Wade.
Hedging in the live cattle futures market has largely been viewed as a method of reducing producer's price over a rather lengthy production period (three to six months). Meat packers and processors also face price risk. However, packers' and processors' price risk lies on the upside (i.e., risk is due to price increases) and is also relatively short-term (usually a few days). The possibility of reducing packers' and processors' price risk through long-hedging on the live cattle contract for a short period of time (one week) was investigated. The results suggest some potential benefits to meat packers form following a routine hedging strategy.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 1985 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32332
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INCREASING THE ACCURACY OF OPTION PRICING BY USING IMPLIED PARAMETERS RELATED TO HIGHER MOMENTS AgEcon
Ji, Dasheng; Brorsen, B. Wade.
The inaccuracy of the Black-Scholes formula arises from two aspects: the formula is for European options while most real option contracts are American; the formula is based on the assumption that underlying asset prices follow a lognormal distribution while in the real world asset prices cannot be described well by a lognormal distribution. We develop an American option pricing model that allows non-normality. The theoretical basis of the model is Gaussian quadrature and dynamic programming. The usual binomial and trinomial models are special cases. We use the Jarrow-Rudd formula and the relaxed binomial and trinomial tree models to imply the parameters related to the higher moments. The results demonstrate that using implied parameters related to the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Option pricing; Volatility smile; Edgeworth series; Gaussian Quadrature; Relaxed binomial and trinomial tree models; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18945
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ROLLOVER HEDGING AgEcon
Yoon, Byung-Sam; Brorsen, B. Wade.
Both market advisors and researchers have often suggested rollover hedging as a way of increasing producer returns. This study tests whether rollover hedging can increase expected returns for producers. For rollover hedging to increase expected returns, futures prices must follow a mean-reverting process. Using both the return predictability test based on long-horizon regression and the variance ratio test, we find that mean reversion does not exist in futures prices for corn, wheat, soybeans, soybean oil and soybean meal. The findings are consistent with the weak form of market efficiency. The results of the study imply that rollover hedging should not be seriously considered as a marketing alternative. As long as the commodity markets are efficient, the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Rollover hedging; Mean reversion; Market efficiency; Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18938
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Profitability of Conventional vs. Variable Rate Nitrogen Application in Wheat Production AgEcon
Boyer, Christopher N.; Brorsen, B. Wade; Solie, John B.; Raun, William R..
A variable rate nitrogen applicator based on optical reflectance measurements was developed to increase profits in wheat production by reducing the cost of production or by increasing grain yield. This paper determines if yields and profits from the variable rate treatments are significantly different from the conventional treatments.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Profitability; Variable rate application; Optical reflectance sensing; Wheat; Farm Management; Production Economics.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56405
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PERFORMANCE OF ALTERNATIVE COMPONENT PRICING SYSTEMS FOR PORK AgEcon
Brorsen, B. Wade; Akridge, Jay T.; Boland, Michael A.; Mauney, Sean; Forrest, John C..
One method of implementing value-based marketing is a component pricing system. This research develops and evaluates alternative component pricing systems for pork. Two electronic technologies for estimating carcass components (optical probe and electromagnetic scanner) were evaluated on two sets of data representing different populations. Model accuracy increased as additional components were added.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Carcass merit; Component pricing; Electromagnetic scanning; Pork; Marketing.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15565
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Precision Nitrogen Fertilization Technology with Micro Grids AgEcon
Biermacher, Jon T.; Epplin, Francis M.; Brorsen, B. Wade; Solie, John B.; Raun, Bill.
Sensor-based precision fertilizer technologies are being developed and researched by production scientists. One such technology uses normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) reflectance measurements of growing winter wheat plants and a nitrogen fertilizer optimization algorithm (NFOA) to determine nitrogen requirement necessary for plants to reach their yield plateau. A number of precision fertilizer application systems that use this technology are considered in this paper. A linear response stochastic plateau wheat yield function conditional on NDVI reflectance measurements is estimated and used within an expected profit-maximization framework to estimate upper bounds on the returns from the precision nitrogen application systems. The on-the-go...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21046
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MARKET INVERSION IN COMMODITY FUTURES PRICES AgEcon
Yoon, Byung-Sam; Brorsen, B. Wade.
In an inverted market, current prices are higher than future prices and thus the price of storage is negative. Market inversions as measured with futures spreads rarely occur during early months of the crop year. However, market inversions frequently occur across crop years and near the end of the crop year. In the last half of the crop year, market inversions clearly reflect a signal to sell stocks. Too few inversions occur early in the crop year to reach a definitive conclusion for that period. Behavioral finance offers possible explanations of why producers would hold stocks in an inverted market.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Convenience yield; Cost of carry; Market inversion; Marketing; Q13.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15077
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A STOCKER CATTLE GROWTH SIMULATION MODEL AgEcon
Brorsen, B. Wade; Walker, Odell L.; Horn, Gerald W.; Nelson, Ted R..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1983 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30244
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Price Risk Management Alternatives for Farmers in the Absence of Forward Contracts with Grain Merchants AgEcon
Mark, Darrell R.; Brorsen, B. Wade; Anderson, Kim B.; Small, Rebecca M..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty; G13; G20; Q13.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94647
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Heterogeneity in Producer's Marketing Strategy AgEcon
Zhang, Tong; Brorsen, B. Wade.
Producers can make their market timing decisions either based on fundamental or technical analysis to reach specific financial target. A generalized mixture model is used to discriminate producers into more than one segment according to their marketing strategies. The heterogeneous selling response is the same within each segment.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35299
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SELLER AND BUYER SATISFACTION AND PARTICIPATION IN TURKEY'S WHEAT EXCHANGES AgEcon
Buguk, Cumhur; Brorsen, B. Wade.
This study uses data from a survey of wheat sellers and buyers in five different exchanges in Turkey to gain a better understanding of seller and buyer satisfaction with the current exchange system and factors that influence exchange participants' decisions to choose exchanges over other ways of selling wheat. The descriptive and econometric results indicate that most sellers and buyers have a few problems with the current system. The major dissatisfaction with exchanges are prices and fees. The Tobit model results suggest that there is a great potential for accepting a new grading system and accepting legally enforceable warehouse receipts because sellers and buyers most concerned about warehouse receipts use the exchanges the least.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36118
Registros recuperados: 103
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