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The Fertility Transition in Bavaria AgEcon
Brown, John C.; Guinnane, Timothy W..
The decline of human fertility that occurred in Europe and North America in the nineteenth century, and elsewhere in the twentieth century, remains a topic of debate largely because there is no accepted explanation for the event. Disagreement persists in part because researchers have rarely used the detailed quantitative information necessary to form adequate tests of alternative theories. This paper uses district-level data from Bavaria to study the correlates of the decline of fertility in that German kingdom in the nineteenth century. Bavaria’s fertility transition was later and less dramatic than in other parts of Germany. The European Fertility Project, the most influential study of the European fertility transition, used very large units of analysis...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Fertility transition; Migration; Germany; Labor and Human Capital; N3; J1.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28508
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Two Statistical Problems in the Princeton Project on the European Fertility Transition AgEcon
Brown, John C.; Guinnane, Timothy W..
The Princeton Project on the Decline of Fertility in Europe (or European Fertility Project, hereafter EFP) was carried out at Princeton University's Office of Population Research in the 1960s and 1970s. This project aimed to characterize the decline of fertility that took place in Europe during the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. The project's summary statements argued that social and economic forces played little role in bringing about the fertility transition. The statement stresses instead a process of innovation and diffusion. A central feature of the EFP argument is a series of statistical exercises that purport to show that changes in economic and social conditions exerted little influence on fertility. Two recent papers on Germany for...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Fertility transition; Labor and Human Capital; J13; N33; O15.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28392
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