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Mori, Hiroshi; Clason, Dennis L.. |
Due to a rapidly aging society, stagnating per capita income and rather stable prices, traditional economic analyses methods lost their power in the 1990s to predict future food product consumption in Japan. This study, in part, remedies this problem by projecting future consumption of selected products, using a cohort approach with economic factors tentatively set aside. Per capita consumption of individual household members by age was derived by incorporating family age composition into household data classified by age groups of household head (HH). Individual consumption estimates were decomposed into age, cohort and time effects, using the Nakamura's Bayesian cohort model. These effects were synthesized to predict per capita consumption in each... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8147 |
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Mori, Hiroshi; Clason, Dennis L.; Ishibashi, Kimiko; Gorman, William D.; Dyck, John H.. |
Japan is a leading market for U.S. oranges. Since 1995, orange consumption in Japan has declined. This report summarizes an analysis of household survey data to assess various factors that may be related to the decline. Consumption of oranges in Japan differs markedly across generations, with younger generations (cohorts) eating fewer oranges than older generations. However, within generations, as individuals in Japan grow older, they eat more oranges. On balance, the effects on consumption associated with aging and birth cohort membership are mostly offsetting. Orange prices affect consumption levels, but household income does not. Even after the analysis accounts for price and demographic variables, a strong downward trend is evident in orange... |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Japan; Oranges; Consumption; Age/period/cohort analysis; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Institutional and Behavioral Economics. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55836 |
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