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The Role of Pre-Existing Disturbances in the Effect of Marine Reserves on Coastal Ecosystems: A Modelling Approach ArchiMer
Savina, Marie; Condie, Scott A.; Fulton, Elizabeth A..
We have used an end-to-end ecosystem model to explore responses over 30 years to coastal no-take reserves covering up to 6% of the fifty thousand square kilometres of continental shelf and slope off the coast of New South Wales (Australia). The model is based on the Atlantis framework, which includes a deterministic, spatially resolved three-dimensional biophysical model that tracks nutrient flows through key biological groups, as well as extraction by a range of fisheries. The model results support previous empirical studies in finding clear benefits of reserves to top predators such as sharks and rays throughout the region, while also showing how many of their major prey groups (including commercial species) experienced significant declines. It was found...
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Ano: 2013 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00175/28671/27115.pdf
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Modelling ecological change over half a century in a subtropical estuary: impacts of climate change, land-use, urbanization and freshwater extraction ArchiMer
Condie, Scott A.; Hayes, Donna; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Savina, Marie.
The Clarence River Estuary is the largest estuary in southeast Australia, with an extensive floodplain encompassing multiple river channels and a large coastal lagoon. It is the focus of major commercial and recreational fisheries and there is pressure to divert its freshwater inputs for agricultural and domestic uses. We used a spatial biogeochemical model to simulate the variability and evolution of this system on timescales from days to decades over the past half century. Like most tropical and subtropical estuaries, the Clarence River Estuary is strongly influenced by river discharge, sediment and nutrient loads. Given the high nutrient loads arriving from the upper catchment, plankton biomasses in the model were typically limited by flushing through...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Coastal lagoon; Flushing; Land-use; Climate impacts; Nutrients; Phytoplankton; Zooplankton.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00175/28673/27113.pdf
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