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Response of Arctic Freshwater to the Arctic Oscillation in Coupled Climate Models ArchiMer
Cornish, Sam B.; Kostov, Yavor; Johnson, Helen L.; Lique, Camille.
The freshwater content (FWC) of the Arctic Ocean is intimately linked to the stratification—a physical characteristic of the Arctic Ocean with wide relevance for climate and biology. Here, we explore the relationship between atmospheric circulation and Arctic FWC across 12 different Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 control run simulations. Using multiple lagged regression, we seek to isolate the linear response of Arctic FWC to a step change in the strength of the Arctic Oscillation (AO), as well as the second and third orthogonal modes of SLP variability over the Arctic domain. There is broad agreement amongst models that a step change to a more anticyclonic AO leads to an increase in Arctic FWC, with an e-folding timescale of five to ten...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Arctic; Arctic Oscillation; Freshwater; Statistical techniques; Regression.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00601/71270/69668.pdf
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Arctic Ocean response to Greenland Sea wind anomalies in a suite of model simulations ArchiMer
Muilwijk, Morven; Ilicak, Mehmet; Cornish, Sam B.; Danilov, Sergey; Gelderloos, Renske; Gerdes, Rüdiger; Haid, Verena; Haine, Thomas W.n.; Johnson, Helen L.; Kostov, Yavor; Kovács, Tamás; Lique, Camille; Marson, Juliana M.; Myers, Paul G.; Scott, Jon; Smedsrud, Lars H.; Talandier, Claude; Wang, Qiang.
Multi‐model Arctic Ocean ``Climate Response Function” (CRF) experiments are analyzed in order to explore the effects of anomalous wind forcing over the Greenland Sea (GS) on poleward ocean heat transport, Atlantic Water (AW) pathways, and the extent of Arctic sea ice. Particular emphasis is placed on the sensitivity of the AW circulation to anomalously strong or weak GS winds in relation to natural variability, the latter manifested as part of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). We find that anomalously strong (weak) GS wind forcing, comparable in strength to a strong positive (negative) NAO index, results in an intensification (weakening) of the poleward AW flow, extending from south of the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre, through the Nordic Seas, and all...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Arctic Ocean; Atlantic Water; Sea ice; Wind forcing; Model intercomparison; FAMOS.
Ano: 2019 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62126/66338.pdf
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Arctic Ocean freshwater content and its decadal memory of sea-level pressure ArchiMer
Johnson, Helen L.; Cornish, Sam B.; Kostov, Yavor; Beer, Emma; Lique, Camille.
Arctic freshwater content (FWC) has increased significantly over the last two decades, with potential future implications for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation downstream. We investigate the relationship between Arctic FWC and atmospheric circulation in the control run of a coupled climate model. Multiple linear lagged regression is used to extract the response of total Arctic FWC to a hypothetical step increase in the principal components of sea‐level pressure. The results demonstrate that the FWC adjusts on a decadal timescale, consistent with the idea that wind‐driven ocean dynamics and eddies determine the response of Arctic Ocean circulation and properties to a change in surface forcing, as suggested by idealized models and theory....
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Arctic Ocean; Climate change; Interannual variability; Freshwater; Adjustment timescales; Ocean dynamics.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00440/55117/56571.pdf
Registros recuperados: 3
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