SABIIA - Sistema Aberto e Integrado de Informação em Agricultura (Sabiia)

Fang, Cheng; Wailes, Eric J.; Cramer, Gail L..

ASSESSING THE COMPETITIVENESS OF INDIAN COTTON PRODUCTION: A POLICY ANALYSIS MATRIX APPROACH

Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics.

Ano: 1998

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18412

Mohanty, Samarendu; Fang, Cheng; Chaudhary, Jagadanand.

This paper uses a modified policy analysis matrix (PAM) approach to assess the efficiency of cotton production in five major producing states in India. The results indicate that cotton is not efficiently produced in the second-largest cotton-producing state in the country. Without government interventions in this state, it is likely that acreage will move away from cotton to more profitable crops such as sugarcane and groundnut. In addition, we conclude that cotton is not the most efficiently produced crop in the other four states; however, there is at least one crop in each state that is less efficiently produced than cotton. These findings suggest that Indian policies directed at maintaining the availability of cheap cotton for the handloom and textile...

Food Calorie Intake under Grain Price Uncertainty: Evidence from Rural Nepal

Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2002

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18465

Pan, Suwen; Fang, Cheng; Rejesus, Roderick M..

This study evaluates the effects of grain output price uncertainty on the farm income of rural households and, consequently, how this uncertainty influences caloric intake through changes in farm income. Using a rural household data set, augmented with output price uncertainty measures calculated from historical time-series data, we find that grain output price uncertainty tends to decrease crop production income of rural households. In addition, we find that higher crop income from production increases calorie intake of rural households. Taken together, these results suggests that output price uncertainty during the production process may tend to reduce caloric intake of rural Nepalese households since the price uncertainty negatively affects the crop...

FAPRI 2000 World Agricultural Outlook

Palavras-chave: Food Calorie Intake; Price Uncertainty; Nepal; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; D12; O13; Q11; Q12.

Ano: 2008

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6198

ESTIMATING CROP-SPECIFIC PRODUCTION GROWTH AND SOURCES IN CHINA

Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fuller, Frank H.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Kaus, Phillip J.; Fang, Cheng; Hart, Chad E.; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Suhler, Gregg; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Adams, Gary M.; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R..

The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) prepares a preliminary agricultural outlook on world agricultural production, consumption, and trade every fall. This is followed by an outside review, re-evaluation of projections, and completion of the final baseline in January. The FAPRI 2000 World Agricultural Outlook presents these final projections for world agricultural markets. A companion volume, the FAPRI 2000 U.S. Agricultural Outlook, presents the U.S. component of the baseline. FAPRI projections assume average weather patterns worldwide, existing policy, and policy commitments under current trade agreements. FAPRI projections do not include conjectures on potential policy changes, such as those resulting from the likely eastward...

Tipo: Report

Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.

Ano: 2000

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32045

Fang, Cheng; Fan, Shenggen.

This study uses aggregated provincial level data from 1979 to 2000 to estimate crop-specific production functions and identifies the sources of production growth for wheat, corn, soybean, rapeseeds, and cotton in China. The results show that fertilizer, pesticide, seeds, production specification, weather, and R&D are important determinants of crop yields. The land, fertilizer, and R&D are major contributors to production growth during the study period.

Urban Demand for Edible Oils and Fats in China: Evidence from Household Survey Data

Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2002

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19669

Fang, Cheng; Beghin, John C..

Using urban household-level survey data from 1992 to 1998, we provide estimates of final demand for edible vegetable oils and animal fats in three regions of China based on the LinQuad incomplete demand system. For each region, the demand for the major "staple" oil is price inelastic. The demand for "condiment" or flavoring oils is more price responsive. All edible oils and fats have positive income elasticity, but smaller than one. Using the LinQuad parameter estimates, we provide exact measures of urban consumer welfare losses associated with trade restrictions on vegetable oil imports. Consumers suffer a significant welfare loss of the order of $ 392 million (1998 dollars).

THE IMPACT OF THE BERLIN ACCORD AND EUROPEAN ENLARGEMENT ON DAIRY MARKETS

Palavras-chave: China; Consumer demand; Oils and fats; Urban; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.

Ano: 2000

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18574

Fuller, Frank H.; Beghin, John C.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fang, Cheng; Kaus, Phillip J..

Using a world agricultural model, we analyze the impact on dairy markets of the Berlin Accord on the European Union (EU) Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) Reforms. We also investigate the consequences of enlargement of the EU to include the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland for the same markets. We produce a market outlook up to 2010 for these two scenarios. The Berlin Accord induces lower EU milk and dairy prices. A change in relative prices between cheese and butter-skim milk powder (SMP) occurs after 2005 and induces an expansion of cheese production, consumption, and exports at the expense of the butter-SMP sector. Accession of the three Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) leads to a permanent but moderate decrease in EU prices of milk and...

CHINA'S COTTON POLICY AND THE IMPACT OF CHINA'S WTO ACCESSION AND BT COTTON ADOPTION ON THE CHINESE AND U.S. COTTON SECTORS

Palavras-chave: Berlin Accord; Common Agricultural Policy; Dairy markets; European Union enlargement; International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries.

Ano: 1999

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18332

Fang, Cheng; Babcock, Bruce A..

In this paper we provide an analysis of China's cotton policy and develop a framework to quantify the impact of both China's World Trade Organization (WTO) accession and Bt (Bacillus thuringiensis) cotton adoption on Chinese and U.S. cotton sectors. We use a Chinese cotton sector model consisting of supply, demand, price linkages, and textiles output equations. A two-stage framework model provides gross cropping area and total area for cotton and major substitute crops from nine cotton-producing regions in China. Cotton demand, total fiber demand, and cotton share are estimated for each end user. The estimated parameters from the Chinese model are then used with the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) modeling system to simulate various...

Impact of global warming on Chinese wheat productivity

Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; Bt technology; China and cotton policy; U.S. cotton exports; World Trade Organization; WTO accession; Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2003

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18556

You, Liangzhi; Rosegrant, Mark W.; Fang, Cheng; Wood, Stanley.

Climate change continues to have major impact on crop productivity all over the world. While many researchers have evaluated the possible impact of global warming on crop yields using mainly indirect crop simulation models, there are relatively few direct assessments on the impact of observed climate change on past crop yield and growth. We use a 1979-2000 Chinese crop-specific panel dataset to investigate the climate impact on Chinese wheat yield growth. We find that a 1 percent increase in wheat growing season temperature reduces wheat yields by about 0.3 percent. This negative impact is less severe than those reported in other regions. Rising temperature over the past two decades accounts for a 2.4 percent decline in wheat yields in China while the...

LIQUOR AND BEVERAGE CONSUMPTION IN CHINA:A CENSORED DEMAND SYSTEM APPROACH

Palavras-chave: Global warming; Wheat yield; Production function; Marginal impact; Panel data; Climate; Wheat production; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy.

Ano: 2005

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58588

Pan, Suwen; Fang, Cheng.

This paper estimated the Liquor and Beverage Consumption based on a Chinese survey data. The results showed that beer consumption has been relatively stable during the past 10 years. However, there exists large potential wine market in china.

U.S.-CHINA AGRICULTURAL TRADE: CONSTRAINTS AND POTENTIAL

Palavras-chave: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.

Ano: 2003

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22215

Wailes, Eric J.; Fang, Cheng; Tuan, Francis C..

China's agricultural trade expanded rapidly following economic reforms and the open-door policy adopted in the late 1970s. The composition of agricultural trade with China follows its labor-abundant and land-scarce resource endowment with imports of bulk and processed intermediates and exports of consumer-ready and processed goods. Constraints on U.S.-China agricultural trade include tariffs, state trading, food security policies, and other nontariff barriers. Growth potential is based on China's fundamental demand forces including the world's largest population, a high real-income growth rate, an emerging urban middle class, and further trade reforms to be implemented through accession to the World Trade Organization.

Tipo: Journal Article

Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; China; Reform; Trade barriers; United States; World Trade Organization; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 1998

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15092

Food Calorie Intake and Food Security under Grain Price Inflation: Evidence from Malawi

Pan, Suwen; Fang, Cheng; Sanogo, Issa; Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M..

A comprehensive analysis of food demand and nutrient consumption using recent, representative household survey data from Malawi is presented. Expenditure and price elasticities have been estimated for 20 food groups using a quadratic almost ideal demand system based on 4 income groups identified by the Goldfeld-Quandt tests. Although the current boom of maize price provides an opportunity to rethink development strategies that diversify the commodity sectors, developing countries will not necessarily benefit from this change absent significant improvements in production capacities and trade infrastructures. Malawi is likely to suffer from higher commodity prices in the short-run.

CHINA'S ACCESSION TO THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION: IMPACT ON AGRICULTURAL MARKETS

Palavras-chave: Goldfeld-Quandt tests; A quadratic almost ideal demand system; Malawi; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Food Security and Poverty; D12; O13; R21; R31; Q11; Q12.

Ano: 2011

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103266

Fuller, Frank H.; Beghin, John C.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fang, Cheng; de Cara, Stephane; Matthey, Holger.

We analyze the impact of China's accession to the WTO on agricultural markets using the FAPRI modeling framework. Our analysis includes major crops, livestock sectors, and exogenous changes in consumer income, expanded textile production, and policies. Chinese livestock, grain and oilseed crushing industries experience lower revenues, while cotton production prospers with accession, despite increased cotton imports. Most food prices decrease with accession. Chinese consumers benefit from these lower prices, with vegetable oil, dairy and meat consumption increasing significantly. The increase in world agricultural trade with China benefits Argentina (soy meal and oil); Brazil (soy oil and poultry); Canada (pork); the EU (pork); and the United states (pork,...

HOW AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH AFFECTS URBAN POVERTY IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: THE CASE OF CHINA

Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2001

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20619

Fan, Shenggen; Fang, Cheng; Zhang, Xiaobo.

This paper develops a framework to measure the impact of agricultural research on urban poverty. Increased investments in agricultural R&D can lower food prices by increasing food production, and lower food prices benefit the urban poor because they often spend more than 60% of their income on food. Application of the framework to China shows that these food price effects are large and that the benefits for the urban poor have been about as large as the benefits for the rural poor.

Food Self-Sufficiency, Comparative Advantage, and Agricultural Trade: A Policy Analysis Matrix for Chinese Agriculture

Palavras-chave: Developing countries; China; Agricultural research; Urban; Poverty; Food Security and Poverty; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies.

Ano: 2001

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16123

Fang, Cheng; Beghin, John C..

We assess the comparative advantage and protection of China's major agricultural crops using a modified Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) and 1996 to 1998 data. We consider the following commodities: early indica rice, late indica rice, japonica rice, south wheat, north wheat, south corn, north corn, sorghum, soybean, rapeseed, cotton, tobacco, sugarcane, and a subset of fruits and vegetables. Consistent with the intuition of the simple Heckscher-Ohlin model, the results strongly suggest that China has a comparative advantage in labor-intensive crops, and a disadvantage in land-intensive crops. Specifically, land-intensive grain and oilseed crops are less socially profitable than fruits and vegetables. Within the grain sector, high quality rice and high quality...

China's Accession to the WTO: What Is at Stake for Agricultural Markets?

Palavras-chave: China; Agriculture; Comparative advantage; Protection; DRC; EPC; Agricultural trade; Food Security and Poverty; International Development.

Ano: 2000

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18422

Fuller, Frank H.; Beghin, John C.; de Cara, Stephane; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fang, Cheng; Matthey, Holger.

We analyze the impact of China's accession to the World Trade Organization on major crop and livestock markets using the FAPRI modeling framework. We incorporate expected changes in consumer income, textile production, and trade policies as exogenous shocks to the baseline model. Following accession, revenues decline in China's livestock, grain, and oilseed industries, while cotton production prospers despite increased cotton imports. Chinese consumers benefit from lower food prices, with vegetable oil, dairy, and meat consumption increasing significantly. Argentina, Brazil, Canada, the European Union, and the United States are the greatest beneficiaries from expanded agricultural trade with China.