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A THEORETICAL AND EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION OF THE SUPPLY RESPONSE IN THE U.S. BEEF-CATTLE INDUSTRY AgEcon
Aadland, David; Bailey, DeeVon; Feng, Shelly.
This paper investigates the response of beef cattle producers to changes in the price of cattle. Previous research has suggested that there may be a negative short-run supply response to a permanent increase in the price of cattle. We build a dynamic, rational expectations model that predicts that the supply response is generally positive, even for permanent shocks in the short run, and nests the negative supply response as a special case for appropriately restricted demand shocks. Using annual US time series data (1930-1997) and a simultaneous-equations econometric approach, we find a positive short-run supply response in the cow market and mixed evidence in the heifer market.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21887
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