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| Mcclintock, Brett T.; Langrock, Roland; Gimenez, Olivier; Cam, Emmanuelle; Borchers, David L.; Glennie, Richard; Patterson, Toby A.; Coulson, Tim. |
| Ecological systems can often be characterised by changes among a finite set of underlying states pertaining to individuals, populations, communities or entire ecosystems through time. Owing to the inherent difficulty of empirical field studies, ecological state dynamics operating at any level of this hierarchy can often be unobservable or ‘hidden’. Ecologists must therefore often contend with incomplete or indirect observations that are somehow related to these underlying processes. By formally disentangling state and observation processes based on simple yet powerful mathematical properties that can be used to describe many ecological phenomena, hidden Markov models (HMMs) can facilitate inferences about complex system state dynamics that might otherwise... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Behavioural ecology; Community ecology; Ecosystem ecology; Hierarchical model; Movement ecology; Observation error; Population ecology; State-space model; Time series. |
| Ano: 2020 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00655/76692/77831.pdf |
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| Barbraud, Christophe; Bertrand, Arnaud; Bouchon, Marilu; Chaigneau, Alexis; Delord, Karine; Demarcq, Herve; Gimenez, Olivier; Gutierrez Torero, Mariano; Gutierrez, Dimitri; Oliveros Ramos, Ricardo; Passuni, Giannina; Tremblay, Yann; Bertrand, Sophie. |
| In marine ecosystems top predator populations are shaped by environmental factors affecting their prey abundance. Coupling top predators' population studies with independent records of prey abundance suggests that prey fluctuations affect fecundity parameters and abundance of their predators. However, prey may be abundant but inaccessible to their predators and a major challenge is to determine the relative importance of prey accessibility in shaping seabird populations. In addition, disentangling the effects of prey abundance and accessibility from the effects of prey removal by fisheries, while accounting for density dependence, remains challenging for marine top predators. Here, we investigate how climate, population density, and the accessibility and... |
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| Ano: 2018 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00450/56117/57647.pdf |
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| Gimenez, Olivier; Buckland, Stephen T.; Morgan, Byron J. T.; Bez, Nicolas; Bertrand, Sophie; Choquet, Remi; Dray, Stephane; Etienne, Marie-pierre; Fewster, Rachel; Gosselin, Frederic; Merigot, Bastien; Monestiez, Pascal; Morales, Juan M.; Mortier, Frederic; Munoz, Francois; Ovaskainen, Otso; Pavoine, Sandrine; Pradel, Roger; Schurr, Frank M.; Thomas, Len; Thuiller, Wilfried; Trenkel, Verena; De Valpine, Perry; Rexstad, Eric. |
| The desire to predict the consequences of global environmental change has been the driver towards more realistic models embracing the variability and uncertainties inherent in ecology. Statistical ecology has gelled over the past decade as a discipline that moves away from describing patterns towards modelling the ecological processes that generate these patterns. Following the fourth International Statistical Ecology Conference (1–4 July 2014) in Montpellier, France, we analyse current trends in statistical ecology. Important advances in the analysis of individual movement, and in the modelling of population dynamics and species distributions, are made possible by the increasing use of hierarchical and hidden process models. Exciting research perspectives... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Citizen science; Hidden Markov model; Hierarchical model; Movement ecology; Software package; Spatially explicit capture-recapture; Species distribution modelling; State-space model. |
| Ano: 2014 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00249/36026/35298.pdf |
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