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The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports AgEcon
Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Gomez, Jennifer K..
The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of situation and outlook information from World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) in corn and soybean futures markets over the period 1985 to 2006. Results indicate that WASDE reports containing National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) crop production estimates and other domestic and international situation and outlook information have the largest impact; causing return variance on report sessions to be 7.38 times greater than normal return variance in corn futures and 6.87 times greater than normal return variance in soybean futures. WASDE reports limited to international situation information and domestic and international outlook information have a smaller impact. The results show...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Corn; Market impact; Outlook; Situation; Soybeans; WASDE; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Financial Economics; Q100; Q110; Q130.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/45048
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THE ROLE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CROP MARKETING AND RISK MANAGEMENT: A PRELIMINARY REPORT OF SURVEY RESULTS AgEcon
Pennings, Joost M.E.; Good, Darrel L.; Irwin, Scott H.; Gomez, Jennifer K..
The purpose of this report is to provide a preliminary summary of the results of a survey designed to help answer the questions about subscriber use of market advisory services. Importantly, this research is a cooperative partnership between the University of Illinois and the Data Transmission Network. The survey participants are commercial producers of major grain, oilseed and fiber crops, representing important agricultural areas of the US. The survey has three broad objectives, including 1) how US producers perceive the riskiness of various aspects of farming; 2) how US producers manage farm business risk, and 3) how US producers select and use market advisory services.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14772
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THE VALUE OF USDA OUTLOOK INFORMATION: AN INVESTIGATION USING EVENT STUDY ANALYSIS AgEcon
Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Gomez, Jennifer K..
The economic value of public situation and outlook information has long been a subject of debate. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the economic value of USDA WASDE reports in corn and soybean markets. The investigation is based on event study analysis, with the "events" consisting of the release of all monthly USDA WASDE reports for corn and soybeans from 1985 through 1998. The WASDE reports during the sample period are divided into two groups: one that represents "pure" outlook information and one that represents a "mix" of situation and outlook information. The statistical tests can be placed into two categories: mean price reaction and volatility reaction. Overall, the results suggest that USDA outlook information has a significant impact in...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18948
Registros recuperados: 3
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