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| Keil, Alwin; Teufel, Nils; Gunawan, Dodo; Leemhuis, Constanze. |
| Crop production in the tropics is subject to considerable climate variability caused by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. In Southeast Asia, El Niño causes comparatively dry conditions leading to substantial declines of crop yields with severe consequences for the welfare of local farm households. Using a modelling approach that combines regression analysis with linear programming and stochastic simulation, and integrates climatic and hydrologic modelling results, the objective of this paper is to assess the impact of El Niño on agricultural incomes of smallholder farmers in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia, and to identify suitable crop management strategies to mitigate the income depressions. The results contribute to the formulation of... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: ENSO; Risk management; Linear programming; Stochastic simulation; Indonesia; Farm Management. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7942 |
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