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Registros recuperados: 11
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Crop Yield Growth and Its Implication for the International Effects of US Bioenergy and Climate Policies (Draft) AgEcon
Feng, Siyi J.; McCarl, Bruce A.; Havlik, Petr.
Replaced with revised version of paper 07/22/11.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103518
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Spatially explicit farming system modelling for an efficient agri-environmental policy design AgEcon
Havlik, Petr; Bamiére, Laure; Jacquet, Florence; Millet, Guy.
A mathematical programming model is developed and associated to a spatial pattern index (Ripley L-function) to analyse the optimal reserve design and implementation for the Little Bustard conservation in Plaine de Niort. The model structure corresponds to three spatial levels, fields, farm and landscape. Simple in terms of area representation it is detailed in term of farm behaviour and spatially explicit. The model is applied in a normative and in a positive way. The major findings of the normative approach relate to the trade-offs between the reserve pattern and its cost. It was found that the environmentally optimal reserve, which is randomly dispersed across the zone, is the most costly one. Within the positive approach, it is illustrated that the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Biodiversity; Spatial optimization; Mathematical programming; Agri-environmental policies; Tetrax tetrax; Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6676
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A DECOMPOSITION APPROACH TO ASSESS ILUC RESULTS FROM GLOBAL MODELING EFFORTS AgEcon
Witzke, Heinz Peter; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Gay, Stephan Hubertus; Golub, Alla A.; Havlik, Petr; Msangi, Siwa; Tokgoz, Simla; Searchinger, Timothy D..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91430
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Production system based global livestock sector modeling: Good news for the future AgEcon
Havlik, Petr; Herrero, Mario; Mosnier, Aline; Obersteiner, Michael; Schmid, Erwin; Fuss, Sabine; Schneider, Uwe A..
Livestock is recognized as one of the major drivers of current and future global change. This is caused on the production side, by the substantial resource requirements (land and water) per unit of output, and the related greenhouse gas emissions, and on the consumption side, by the growing demand due to population and economic growth. Our paper investigates whether productivity gains which enabled to the crop sector to satisfy the increased demand under decreasing real prices, and with little additional land, in the past decades, can be expected in the livestock sector in the future. To answer this question, we implement the recursively dynamic partial equilibrium bottom-up model of the global agriculture and forest sectors (GLOBIOM), expanded by a newly...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Mathematical programming; Livestock; Land use change; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114552
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Agriculture, Population, Land and Water Scarcity in a Changing World – The Role of Irrigation AgEcon
Sauer, Timm; Havlik, Petr; Schneider, Uwe A.; Kindermann, Georg E.; Obersteiner, Michael.
Fertile land and fresh water constitute two of the most fundamental resources for food production. These resources are affected by environmental, political, economic, and technical developments. Regional impacts may transmit to the world through increased trade. With a global forest and agricultural sector model, we quantify the impacts of increased demand for food due to population growth and economic development on potential land and water use. In particular, we investigate producer adaptation regarding crop and irrigation choice, agricultural market adjustments, and changes in the values of land and water.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Irrigation; Food supply; Integrated assessment; Water use intensity; Agricultural adaptation; Land scarcity; Partial equilibrium model; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44271
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AGRICULTURAL PRICE VOLATILITY UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE: The Impact of Multiple Objectives on Commodity Prices AgEcon
Fuss, Sabine; Havlik, Petr; Szolgayova, Jana; Obersteiner, Michael; Schmid, Erwin.
Agricultural price volatility has moved to the forefront of research efforts and political discussion, where much work is already being undertaken with respect to the impact of fluctuations in input prices (e.g. fertilizer, feed and energy). In this paper we also want to take into account the impact of climate change on prices via increased volatility in crop yields. In addition, we analyze the impact of having multiple objectives competing for the land on which crops are grown. In particular, we want to address the concerns that have been voiced about biofuel targets and calls for prioritization of food security.
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Energy; Food security; Food price volatility; Optimization under uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Q12; Q18; Q28; C61; D81.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122539
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Bioenergy and Food Security Modeling Income Effects in a Partial Equilibrium Model AgEcon
Schneider, Uwe A.; Llull, Christian; Havlik, Petr.
Bioenergy has been politically promoted as a means to mitigate air pollution, climate change, and scarcity of fossil energy sources. This study addresses the question whether increased agricultural incomes from bioenergy production will improve food security despite increasing food prices. We use a small partial equilibrium to analyze bioenergy policies. Through an iterative procedure, income changes are used to shift food demand curves until equilibrium. Our results show that despite global reductions in food production, undernourishment may decrease in certain locations, where bioenergy production occurs.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food security; Bioenergy policy; Income changes; Partial equilibrium model; Food Security and Poverty; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44176
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CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION AND FUTURE FOOD CONSUMPTION PATTERNS AgEcon
Valin, Hugo; Havlik, Petr; Mosnier, Aline; Obersteiner, Michael.
Discussions on climate change increasingly emphasize the contribution of agricultural activities to anthropogenic greenhouse gases emissions. In this paper, we investigate from a supply to demand side perspective the stress between food demand and climate change challenges up until 2030. We examine how more stringent climate change mitigation policies could alter agricultural markets and put at risk the nutrition possibilities of populations. We use for this purpose GLOBIOM, an applied partial equilibrium model covering, at the world scale and a fine grid resolution, the main land-based sectors: agriculture, forestry and bioenergy. For this exercise, the model is fully linked to a semi-flexible endogenous demand system with non-linear Engel’s curves. Our...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; Health Economics and Policy; C61; Q11; Q24; Q54.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116392
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Imprime registro no formato completo
Spatially explicit farming system modelling for an efficient agri-environmental policy design AgEcon
Havlik, Petr; Bamiére, Laure; Jacquet, Florence; Millet, Guy.
A mathematical programming model is developed and associated to a spatial pattern index (Ripley L function) to analyse the optimal reserve design and implementation for the Little Bustard conservation in Plaine de Niort. The model structure corresponds to three spatial levels, fields, farm and landscape. Simple in terms of area representation, it is detailed in terms of farm behaviour and spatially explicit. The model is applied in a normative and in a positive way. The major findings of the normative approach relate to the trade-offs between the reserve pattern and its cost. It was found that the environmentally optimal reserve, which is randomly dispersed across the zone, is the most costly one. Within the positive approach, it is illustrated that the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Biodiversity; Spatial optimization; Mathematical programming; Environmental Economics and Policy; Farm Management.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44172
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Large-Scale Modelling of Global Food Security and Adaptation under Crop Yield Uncertainty AgEcon
Fuss, Sabine; Havlik, Petr; Szolgayova, Jana; Schmid, Erwin; Obersteiner, Michael.
Concerns about future food security in the face of volatile and potentially lower yields due to climate change have been at the heart of recent discussions on adaptation strategies in the agricultural sector. While there are a variety of studies trying to quantify the impact of climate change on yields, some of that literature also acknowledges the fact that these estimates are subject to substantial uncertainty. The question arises how such uncertainty will affect decision-making if ensuring food security is an explicit objective. Also, it will be important to establish, which options for adaptation are most promising in the face of volatile yields. The analysis is carried out using a stochastic version of the Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM)...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food security; Food price volatility; Optimization under uncertainty; Adaptation; Land use change; Crop Production/Industries; Food Security and Poverty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114347
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Environmental Good Production in the Optimum Activities Portfolio of a Risk Averse Farmer AgEcon
Havlik, Petr; Jacquet, Florence; Boisson, Jean-Marie; Veysset, Patrick; Lherm, Michel.
An analytical framework is proposed for analysis of environmental good production by farmers in the case of price uncertainty. Environmental good production contracted by means of agri-environmental agreements is treated as a risk less option in the farmer's production activities portfolio. Efficient frontiers were generated using mathematical programming farm level models of suckler cow farms in Monts du Cantal, in France. It was demonstrated that for a DARA risk averse farmer: 1) the agreement payment level is not without impact on the farming intensity on parcels not subscribed under the corresponding argi-environmental programme, 2) a lump sum payment matters under uncertainty, 3) the overall impact of the lump sum payment on environmental good...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Uncertainty; Portfolio optimisation; Biodiversity; Agricultural policy; Mathematical programming; Agricultural and Food Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Q12; Q18; Q28.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24594
Registros recuperados: 11
Primeira ... 1 ... Última
 

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