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Entry, Ownership Form, and Spatial Location: An Analysis of the Hotel Industry 31
Helmers, Claes Gustav; Connor, John M.; Florax, Raymond J.G.M.; Vroom, Govert.
Replaced with revised version of paper 07/24/09.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49561
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The ENSO Impact on Predicting World Cocoa Prices 31
Ubilava, David; Helmers, Claes Gustav.
Cocoa beans are produced in equatorial and sub-equatorial regions of West Africa, Southeast Asia and South America. These are also the regions most affected by El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) -- a climatic anomaly affecting temperature and precipitation in many parts of the world. Thus, ENSO, has a potential of affecting cocoa production and, subsequently, prices on the world market. This study investigates the benefits of using a measure of ENSO variable in world cocoa price forecasting through the application of a smooth transition autoregression (STAR) modeling framework to monthly data to examine potentially nonlinear dynamics of ENSO and cocoa prices. The results indicate that the nonlinear models appear to outperform linear models in terms of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cocoa Prices; El Nino Southern Oscillation; Out-of-Sample Forecasting; Smooth Transition Autoregression; Demand and Price Analysis; Environmental Economics and Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C32; Q11; Q54.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103528
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STATISTICS ON MODERN PRIVATE INTERNATIONAL CARTELS, 1990-2005 31
Connor, John M.; Helmers, Claes Gustav.
This report explains the principal economic and legal features of a unique set of data on 283 modern private international cartels discovered anywhere in the world from January 1990 to the end of 2005. Measured in real 2005 money, aggregate cartel sales and overcharges totaled about $1.2 trillion and $500 billion, respectively. In the early 2000s, about 35 such cartels were discovered each year. We find that global cartels comprise more than half of the sample's affected sales and are larger, longer lasting, and more injurious than other types. In the early 2000s world-wide corporate penalties stabilized at or above $2 billion per year, one-thousand times penalties in the early 1990s. More than 40% of those penalties were from settlements in private suits,...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28650
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