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The Potential Economic Impact of Avian Flu Pandemic on Taiwan AgEcon
Chang, Ching-Cheng; Lee, Duu-Hwa; Lin, Hsin-Chun; Hsu, Shih-Shun.
This study analyzes the potential consequences of an outbreak of avian influenza (H5N1) on Taiwan¡¦s macro economy and individual industries. Both the Input-Output (IO) Analysis Model and Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model are used to simulate the possible damage brought by lowering domestic consumption, export, and labor supply. The simulation results indicates that if the disease is confined within the poultry sector, then the impact on real GDP is around -0.1%~-0.4%. Once it becomes a human-to-human pandemic, the IO analysis suggests that the potential impacts on real GDP would be as much as -4.2%~-5.9% while labor demand would decrease 4.9%~6.4%. In the CGE analysis, which allows for resource mobility and substitutions through price...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Avian Flu Pandemic; Input-output Model; Computable General Equilibrium Model; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9803
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Efficiency and Returns to Scale Measurements with Shared Inputs in Multi-Activity Data Envelopment Analysis: An Application to Farmers' Organizations in Taiwan AgEcon
Chen, Po-Chi; Chang, Ching-Cheng; Hsu, Shih-Shun.
This paper addresses the question how team production promotes efficiency of a firm when some inputs can be rewarded on the basis of outputs but some cannot because they are shared among outputs and non-separable. A multi-activity DEA model with variable returns to scale is proposed to provide information on the efficiency performance for organizations with inputs shared among several closely related activities. The model is applied to study the case of 279 farmers' associations in Taiwan. The result suggests that it is important to improve the efficiency of the non-profit oriented activities to improve their overall performances. Three out of four departments of TFAs can gain from economies of scale through expansion, while the remaining one gains...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Multi-activity DEA; Shared inputs; Efficiency measure; Directional distance function; Productivity Analysis.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9781
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