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Registros recuperados: 10 | |
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Huettel, Silke; Margarian, Anne. |
This paper explains regionally differentiated patterns of structural change based on a theoretical framework dealing with strategic interaction of farms on the land market. The main research question focuses on the causes of regionally persistent structures. An empirical Markov chain model is defined for the West German agricultural sector. Thereby it is possible to explain the probabilities of farm growth, decline or exit in terms of the current and former regional farm size structure. Further, the impact of variables describing the regional farm structure, thereby indicating market power of the large, the potential of high competition for land within a region and possibly high rents of the status quo in combination with sunk costs, is quantified. The... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Structural change; Strategic competition; Land market; Markov chain; Land Economics/Use. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/52853 |
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Jongeneel, Roelof A.; Longworth, Natasha; Huettel, Silke. |
This paper analyses the dynamics in the farm size distribution for The Netherlands, Germany, Poland and Hungary. A (non-)stationary Markov model approach is used. The transition probabilities are explained by a set of exogenous (policy) variables. The models are estimated using an information theoretical approach, including non-sample (prior) information. The models can be used to simulate the impact of alternative dairy policies on the dairy sector structure. For all countries there is an autonomous decline in farm numbers over time (implying increase in average farm size). This trend continues irrespective of the EU dairy policy type. For both Hungary and Poland the role of the subsistence sector is expected to substantially decrease over time. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Farm size structure; Dairy; Milk quotas; Policy; Maximum entropy; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24772 |
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Huettel, Silke; Kleinhanss, Werner; Offermann, Frank. |
This paper analyses the impacts of the 2003 CAP reform and of milk quota trade at the national level. To this end, a mathematical programming model has been further developed for Germany and extended to other main milk-producing EU member states like France. Homogeneous farm groups are built on the basis of EU Farm Accountancy Data Network. The results show that quotas will be fully used in both countries if quota trade is possible. A clear tendency in the reallocation of production from small towards large farms can be seen in all regions for France. In Germany, the redistribution of direct payments induced by the implementation of the regional scheme of decoupled payments leads to higher reductions of income in dairy & beef farms than in France. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: 2003 CAP reform; Milk quota trade; Model; Mathematical programming; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24731 |
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Zinych, Nataliya; Odening, Martin; Huettel, Silke. |
This paper addresses the question of financial constraints in Ukrainian agriculture in transition. The main objective is to reveal the evidence of the both phenomena, soft budget constraints and credit rationing, investigating investment behaviour of large farms in Ukraine. Our empirical analysis is based on unbalanced panel data containing 529 agricultural enterprises from three Ukrainian regions between 2001 and 2005. Estimates of the Euler investment equation for several sub-samples reveal a dissimilar level of financial constraints. We confirm the presence of the soft financial environment (soft budget constraints) for the Ukrainian large farms being in an unconstrained financial regime. The farms belong to this regime if they receive credits after... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Transition agriculture; Investment; Soft budget constraints; Credit rationing; Ukraine; Agricultural Finance. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7834 |
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Huettel, Silke; Jongeneel, Roelof A.. |
With the milk quota announced to be abolished in the future, the dairy sector is going to face a significant policy regime shift. This paper sets out to analyze the impact of milk quotas on the dairy farm structure of two important milk producing member states: Germany and the Netherlands. Based on proper behavioral assumptions, non stationary Markov chain models are specified and estimated using a generalized cross entropy procedure, which takes into account both sample and prior information. Moreover four mobility indicators characterizing structural change are developed and calculated. Structural change in the dairy sector as measured by the mobility measures is faster in West Germany than in the Netherlands. However, in the transition region East... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Markov Chain; Milk Quota; Structural Change; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43659 |
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Registros recuperados: 10 | |
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