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Registros recuperados: 87
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Fishery Management Under Multiple Uncertainty AgEcon
Sethi, Gautam; Costello, Christopher; Fisher, Anthony C.; Hanemann, W. Michael; Karp, Larry S..
Among others who point to environmental variability and managerial uncertainty as causes of fishery collapse, Roughgarden and Smith (1996) argue that three sources of uncertainty are important for fisheries management: variability in fish dynamics, inaccurate stock size estimates, and inaccurate implementation of harvest quotas. We develop a bioeconomic model with these three sources of uncertainty, and solve for optimal escapement based on measurements of fish stock in a discrete-time model. Among other results we find: (1) when uncertainties are high, we generally reject the constant-escapement rule advocated in much of the existing literature, (2) inaccurate stock estimation affects policy in a fundamentally different way than the other sources of...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25117
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DISCOUNTING AND CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Tsur, Yacov.
A constant social discount rate cannot reflect both a reasonable opportunity cost of public funds and an ethically defensible concern for generations in the distant future. We use a model of hyperbolic discounting that achieves both goals. We imbed this discounting model in a simple climate change model to calculate constant equivalent discount rates" and plausible levels of expenditure to control climate change. We compare these results to discounting assumptions and policy recommendations in the Stern Review on Climate Change.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Discounting; Climate change modeling; Stern Review; Markov Perfect Equilibria; Environmental Economics and Policy; C61; C73; D63; D99; Q54.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7149
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Dynamic oligopoly: estimation and tests of market structure AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Perloff, Jeffrey M..
A linear-quadratic dynamic oligopoly model is developed and applied to the world coffee export market. The model nests various market structures using either open-loop or feedback strategies. The theoretical properties of this model are described. For given observed behavior, the assumption of feedback strategies implies a less competitive market structure than open-loop strategies.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1988 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6105
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Time perspective and climate change policy AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Tsur, Yacov.
The tendency to foreshorten time units as we peer further into the future provides an explanation for hyperbolic discounting at an intergenerational time scale. We study implications of hyperbolic discounting for climate change policy, when the probability of a climate-induced catastrophe depends on the stock of greenhouse gasses. We provide a positive analysis by characterizing the set of Markov perfect equilibria (MPE) of the intergenerational game amongst a succession of policymakers. Each policymaker reflects her generation’s preferences, including its hyperbolic discounting. For a binary action game, we compare the MPE set to a “restricted commitment” benchmark. We compare the associated “constant equivalent discount rates” and the willingness to pay...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Hyperbolic discounting; Markov Perfect Equilibria; Catastrophic climate change; Uncertainty; Environmental Economics and Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; C61; C73; D63; D99; Q54.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42848
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CLIMATE POLICY WHEN THE DISTANT FUTURE MATTERS: CATASTROPHIC EVENTS WITH HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Tsur, Yacov.
Low probability catastrophic climate change can have a signifcant influence on policy under hyperbolic discounting. We compare the set of Markov Perfect Equilibria (MPE) to the optimal policy under time-consistent commitment. For some initial levels of risk there are multiple MPE; these may involve either excessive or insufficient stabilization effort. These results imply that even if the free-rider problem amongst contemporaneous decision-makers were solved, there may remain a coordination problem amongst successive generations of decision-makers. A numerical example shows that under plausible conditions society should respond vigorously to the threat of climate change.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Abrupt climate change; Event uncertainty; Catastrophic risk; Hyperbolic discounting; Markov Perfect Equilibria; Environmental Economics and Policy; C61; C73; D63; D99; Q54.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7181
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A comment on market structure and the durability of goods AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Cosimano, Thomas F..
This paper considers the effect of market structure on the durability of goods. A previous model is analyzed to provide conditions under which a monopolist provides less durable goods and a lower present value of services than the social optimum.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization.
Ano: 1986 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6094
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Controlling a Stock Pollutant with Endogenous Abatement Capital and Asymmetric Information AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Zhang, Jiangfeng.
Non-strategic firms with rational expectations make investment and emissions decisions. The investment rule depends on firms' beliefs about future emissions policies. We compare emissions taxes and quotas when the (strategic) regulator and (nonstrategic) firms have asymmetric information about abatement costs, and all agents use Markov Perfect decision rules. Emissions taxes create a secondary distortion at the investment stage, unless a particular condition holds; emissions quotas do not create a secondary distortion. We solve a linear-quadratic model calibrated to represent the problem of controlling greenhouse gasses. The endogeneity of abatement capital favors taxes, and it increases abatement.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Pollution control; Investment; Asymmetric information; Rational expectations; Choice of instruments; Environmental Economics and Policy; C61; D8; H21; Q28.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25071
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Tariff reform in the presence of sector-specific distortions AgEcon
Beghin, John C.; Karp, Larry S..
The problem of choosing second-best trade policies is modified by including sector-specific policies as well as tariffs. We obtain conditions under which reduction of the largest tariff is welfare improving. Formulae for the optimal tariff and sector-specific subsidy are used to study the design of optimal policy menus. The theory is illustrated by an empirical general equilibrium model of the U. S. economy which emphasizes agriculture. The model suggests that reductions in agricultural protection in the United States would be welfare improving.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6091
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Optimum Tariffs in a Distorted Economy: An Application to U.S. Agriculture AgEcon
Beghin, John C.; Karp, Larry S..
Optimal distortions for the agricultural sector are calculated taking as given distortions in the nonagricultural sector. The calculations use a general equilibrium model and assume that the sole criterion is economic efficiency. For most agricultural commodities, existing distortions should be decreased; for the cotton and oil bearing sector, however, the existing tariff should be increased.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1986 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51236
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Environmental Indices for the Chinese Grain Sector AgEcon
Chen, Ming; Karp, Larry S..
Increased population pressure and political decisions have led to more intensive agricultural practices in China. As in other regions of the world, these practices can damage natural capital We use the Kalman filter and Chinese panel data to estimate an index of environmental productivity (natural capital), together with the parameters of environmental dynamics and the production function. These estimates show that intensive practices are likely to have had persistent, substantial, and statistically significant negative effects on productivity. Ignoring these effects can cause substantial misallocation of resources. The results illustrate the possibility of estimating sectoral environmental indices using data commonly available.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Chinese agriculture; Dynamic production; Environmental indices; Sustainability; Kalman filter; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy; Productivity Analysis; QOl; Q21; C32; C43.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6259
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Dynamic hedging with uncertain production AgEcon
Karp, Larry S..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1985 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6090
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Regulatory Takings and Environmental Regulation in NAFTA's Chapter 11 AgEcon
Aisbett, Emma; Karp, Larry S.; McAusland, Carol.
NAFTA's investment treaty has led to several expropriation compensation claims from investors hurt by new environmental regulations. Expropriation clauses in international treaties solve post-investment moral hazard problems such as hold-ups. However, these clauses can interact with National Treatment clauses in a manner that hinders investment. A police powers carve-out from the definition of expropriation can be Pareto-improving and can increase the level of foreign investment.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Foreign direct investment; Regulatory takings; Expropriation; NAFTA; National Treatment; Environment; Environmental Economics and Policy; International Relations/Trade; K3; Q58; F21.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7195
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A PROPOSAL TO REFORM THE KYOTO PROTOCOL: THE ROLE OF ESCAPE CLAUSES AND FORESIGHT AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Zhao, Jinhua.
A reform to the Kyoto Protocol that allows signatories to pay a fine instead of meeting the target level of abatement would achieve three goals. First, it would defuse one U.S. objection to the agreement: the concern that the cost of achieving the target might turn out to be extremely high. Second, unlike other cost-reducing measures (such as trade in pollution permits) it would increase the equilibrium number of signatories in a non-cooperative participation game. Third, it would make it easier to force signatories to comply with their obligations. We study the participation game under an escape clause using both a Nash Equilibrium and the concept of a stable set when nations are “farsighted”. We compare our results to a prominent model of International...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6857
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Methods for selecting the optimal dynamic hedge when production is stochastic AgEcon
Karp, Larry S..
A dynamic hedging problem with stochastic production is solved. The optimal feedback rules recognize that future hedges will be chosen optimally based on the most current information. The resulting distribution of revenue is analyzed numerically. This analysis enables the hedger to select his appropriate level of risk aversion.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Marketing; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1986 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6092
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Suggestions for the Road to Copenhagen AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Zhao, Jinhua.
We provide a unified discussion of the issues that confront negotiators of the next international climate agreement. We offer a novel proposal that entitles countries to discharge their treaty obligations by paying a “fine”. This escape clause provides cost insurance, simplifies the problem of enforcing compliance, and increases incentives to participate in the agreement. We explain why developed country obligations should rely on a cap and trade commitment rather than carbon taxes. A Central Bank maintains stability of carbon prices by defending a price ceiling and floor. An so-called intensity target is not a good alternative to an emissions cap. Modest trade restrictions, consistent with WTO law, will form an important part of the next agreement....
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Kyoto protocol; Escape clause; Emissions trade; Taxes versus cap and trade; Price stability; Carbon leakage; Trade restrictions; Differentiated responsibility; Clean development mechanism; Sectoral agreements; Demand and Price Analysis; Environmental Economics and Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Q54; Q58; F13.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51610
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VALUING TRADEABLE CO2 PERMITS FOR OECD COUNTRIES AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Liu, Xuemei.
We estimate a structural model of OECD countries in which GDP and CO2 emissions are endogenous. We use the estimated model to simulate the price of tradeable CO2 permits and the efficiency gains from trade. Our estimated prices are high, relative to previous estimates, and the efficiency gains are substantial. We also find, contrary to previous literature, that higher income is associated with reduced emissions.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Tradeable permits; Greenhouse gasses; Carbon reductions; Environmental Kuznets curve; F17; Q28; Q43; Farm Management.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25054
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Sacrifice, discounting and climate policy: five questions AgEcon
Karp, Larry S..
I provide a selective review of discounting and climate policy. After reviewing evidence on the importance of the discount rate in setting policy, I ask whether standard models tend to exaggerate the sacrifices that the current generation needs to undertake in order to internalize climate damages. I then consider whether the risk of catastrophic damage really overwhelms discounting, in the determination of optimal policy. I revisit the question of how we actually think about the distant future.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Climate change; Discounting; Intergenerational conflict; Catastrophic risk; Hyperbolic discounting; Environmental Economics and Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; C61; C73; D63; D99; Q54.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51612
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ESTIMATING A MIXED STRATEGY EMPLOYING MAXIMUM ENTROPY AgEcon
Golan, Amos; Karp, Larry S.; Perloff, Jeffrey M..
Generalized maximum entropy may be used to estimate mixed strategies subject to restrictions from game theory. This method avoids distributional assumptions and is consistent and efficient. We use this method to estimate the mixed strategies of duopolistic airlines.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25072
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Open-loop and feedback models of dynamic oligopoly AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Perloff, Jeffrey M..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1988 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6089
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Limited Cooperation in International Environmental Agreements AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Sacheti, Sandeep.
Governments' desire to ameliorate environmental problems may conflict with other goals. Policy levels which balance different objectives can be altered by policy changes in other countries. A decrease in the importance of the pollution problem, or an increase in its global extent, increase the likelihood that tighter environmental regulations in one region induce laxer policies elsewhere. The transboundary character and the importance of environmental externalities also affect the amount of cooperation needed to improve members' welfare in a coalition. More global pollution problems require a larger coalition. However, the critical coalition size may be larger or smaller for more severe problems.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Environmental policy; Limited cooperation; International environmental agreements; Strategic complements and substitution; Environmental Economics and Policy; International Relations/Trade; F02; F13; H21; L13; Q28.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6286
Registros recuperados: 87
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