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Registros recuperados: 31
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ACTUARIAL EFFECTS OF UNIT STRUCTURE IN THE U.S. ACTUAL PRODUCTION HISTORY CROP INSURANCE PROGRAM AgEcon
Knight, Thomas O.; Coble, Keith H..
This paper examines the effects of optional subdivision on APHP losses for wheat, corn, and soybeans. Thirty-seven state/crop programs are analyzed and the implications of the results are discussed in relation to newly developed crop and revenue insurance programs. The results illustrate the importance of incorporating actuarial experience into the premium rate structure and contract provisions of an insurance program.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Actual Production History Program (APHP); Crop insurance programs; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15150
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The Impact of Weather Cycles and Crop Yield Autocorrelation on Crop Insurance Yield Guarantees AgEcon
Adhikari, Shyam; Belasco, Eric J.; Knight, Thomas O..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Yield Modeling; Crop Insurance; Weather Cycle; Crop Yield Autocorrelation; Agricultural Finance; Production Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103724
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Crop Revenue and Yield Insurance Demand: A Subjective Probability Approach AgEcon
Shaik, Saleem; Coble, Keith H.; Knight, Thomas O.; Baquet, Alan E.; Patrick, George F..
A multinomial logit is utilized to model the choice of whether to purchase yield or revenue insurance using subjectively elicited survey data. Our results indicate that the demand for crop insurance is inelastic (-0.40), consistent with most earlier yield elasticity estimates, but the elasticity for choices between yield and revenue insurance is found to be relatively more elastic (-0.88).
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Elasticities; Multinomial logit model; Revenue demand; Subjective elicitation; Survey; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/47256
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Factors Affecting Farmers’ Utilization of Agricultural Risk Management Tools: The Case of Crop Insurance, Forward Contracting, and Spreading Sales AgEcon
Velandia, Margarita M.; Rejesus, Roderick M.; Knight, Thomas O.; Sherrick, Bruce J..
Factors affecting the adoption of crop insurance, forward contracting, and spreading sales are analyzed using multivariate and multinomial probit approaches that account for simultaneous adoption and/or correlation among the three risk management adoption decisions. Our empirical results suggest that the decision to adopt crop insurance, forward contracting, and/or spreading sales are correlated. Richer insights can be drawn from our multivariate and multinomial probit analysis than from separate, single-equation probit estimation that assumes independence of adoption decisions. Some factors significantly affecting the adoption of the risk management tools analyzed are proportion of owned acres, off-farm income, education, age, and level of business risks.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Adoption decisions; Crop insurance; Forward contracting; Multinomial probit; Multivariate probit; Risk management; Spreading sales; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty; G22; Q12; Q18.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48751
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The Evolution of Risk Management Education: An Evaluation of Past and Present Demand AgEcon
Garcia, Alexis Arthur B.; Belasco, Eric J.; Knight, Thomas O.; Coble, Keith H.; Mitchell, Paul D.; Rejesus, Roderick M..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk Management Education; Multivariate Ordered Probit; Production Economics; Risk and Uncertainty; Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61478
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UNDERSTANDING THE ECONOMIC FACTORS INFLUENCING FARM POLICY PREFERENCES AgEcon
Coble, Keith H.; Knight, Thomas O.; Patrick, George F.; Baquet, Alan E..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19578
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Risk Management Education: An Examination of Crop Producers' Participation in Recent Programs and of Their Desire for Additional Training AgEcon
Knight, Thomas O.; Coble, Keith H.; Patrick, George F.; Baquet, Alan E..
Risk management education has been a focus of U.S. farm policy since 1996. In support of significant ongoing United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) educational efforts, this study examines agricultural producers’ educational needs and interests. Data obtained through a survey of crop producers are used in probit models examining interest in additional training in five areas including forward contracting, futures and options, crop yield insurance, crop revenue insurance, and financial management. The study results should be useful in determining appropriate risk management education program content and in indentifying and tailoring to specific target audiences.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Commodity futures; Commodity options; Crop insurance; Forward contracting; Risk management; D81; D83; Q16.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43164
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YIELD GUARANTEES AND THE PRODUCER WELFARE BENEFITS OF CROP INSURANCE AgEcon
Adhikari, Shyam; Knight, Thomas O.; Belasco, Eric J..
Crop yield and revenue insurance products with coverage based on actual production history (APH) yields dominate the U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program. The APH yield, which plays a critical role in determining the coverage offered to producers, is based on a small sample of historical yields for the insured unit. The properties of this yield measure are critical in determining the value of the insurance to producers. Sampling error in APH yields has the potential to lead to over-insurance in some years and under-insurance in other years. Premiums, which are in part determined by the ratio of the APH yield to the county reference yield, are also affected by variations in APH yields. Congress has enacted two measures, yield substitution and yield floors,...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Actual Production History; Crop Insurance; Sampling Error; Yield Guarantee; Production Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61476
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ESTIMATING THE VALUE OF THE 0/92 REDUCED PLANTING ALTERNATIVES OF THE 1985 FARM BILL FOR FARM PROGRAM PATICIPANTS AgEcon
Thompson, Troy N.; Knight, Thomas O.; Boren, Billy D..
The 50/92 and 0/92 reduced planting alternatives of the 1985 farm bill allow farm program participants more flexibility in making production decisions. Specifically, these provisions relax the incentive to produce inherent in earlier commodity programs that linked deficiency payments directly to harvested acreage. This study examined the value of this additional decision flexibility for crop producers in the Blacklands of Central Texas. The results suggest that the reduced planting alternatives would not be used by, and have no value for risk neutral producers, but have substantial value for risk averse producers who would reduce planted acreage in years when yield expectations are low.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30010
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Revenue Crop Insurance Demand AgEcon
Shaik, Saleem; Coble, Keith H.; Knight, Thomas O..
A two-stage simultaneous equation is utilized to model the choice of whether to purchase insurance and the choice of whether to purchase yield or revenue insurance using subjectively elicited survey data. Our results show an elasticity of demand for crop insurance that remains largely unchanged from earlier estimates (-0.40), but the elasticity for choices between yield and revenue insurance is found to be relatively more elastic (-0.76). Finally the link between adverse selection and the demand for insurance is examined.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19319
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AN ANALYSIS OF LENDERS' INFLUENCE ON AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS' RISK MANAGEMENT DECISIONS AgEcon
Knight, Thomas O.; Lovell, Ashley C.; Rister, M. Edward; Coble, Keith H..
Agricultural lenders have a stake in and are in a position to influence their borrowers' management decisions. Risk management practice adoption is an area in which lenders might want to exercise this influence. This study employs logistic statistical models to estimate lenders' influence on crop producers' decisions regarding use of three alternative risk management practices: federal multiple-peril crop insurance, crop hail and fire insurance, and forward contracting. Results suggest lenders can exert significant influence on these decisions but that poor communication between lenders and borrowers likely reduces this influence.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30092
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Empirically Evaluating the Flexibility of the Johnson Family of Distributions: A Crop Insurance Application AgEcon
Lu, Yue; Ramirez, Octavio A.; Rejesus, Roderick M.; Knight, Thomas O.; Sherrick, Bruce J..
This article examines the flexibility of the Johnson system of distributions by assessing its per-formance in terms of modeling crop yields for the purpose of setting actuarially fair crop in-surance premiums. Using data from corn farms in Illinois coupled with Monte Carlo simula-tion procedures, we found that average crop insurance premiums computed on the basis of the Johnson system provide reasonably accurate estimates even when the data are normal or come from a non-normal distribution other than the Johnson system (i.e., a beta). These results sug-gest that there is potential for using the Johnson system to rate previously uninsured crops that do not have historical insurance performance data upon which to base premium calculations.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Crop yield modeling; Johnson distribution; Premium rate setting; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44740
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EXTENSION EDUCATORS' SUPPLY OF RISK MANAGEMENT TRAINING TO FARMERS AgEcon
Vergara, Oscar; Martin, Steven W.; Coble, Keith H.; Knight, Thomas O.; Patrick, George F.; Baquet, Alan E..
A univariate Tobit model of extension educators' provision of risk management educational training was conducted in Mississippi, Texas, Indiana, and Nebraska. A complementary relationship exists between percent of time devoted to agricultural responsibilities and the provision of risk management training courses. The results indicate that, as extension educators perceive farmers to be more knowledgeable of risk management tools, their provision of risk management education decreases. On the other hand, the provision of risk management courses increase as extension educators perceive themselves as being more knowledgeable on the use of risk management tools.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35245
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Economic Analysis of Supplemental Deductible Coverage as Recommended in the USDA’s 2007 Farm Bill Proposal AgEcon
Mitchell, Paul D.; Knight, Thomas O..
A primary change to crop insurance contained in the USDA's Farm Bill Proposal is Supplemental Deductible Coverage (SDC). SDC would allow farmers who purchase individual crop insurance coverage to purchase GRP in the amount of the individual policy deductible. GRP indemnities would be accelerated compared with the current GRP policy. Analysis indicates that SDC provides substantial benefits in terms of certainty equivalent gains. The largest benefits are realized by low risk farmers, compared to others in the county, and farmers whose yields are highly correlated with the county yield. Optimal individual policy coverage levels generally decrease when SDC is taken.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92125
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Economic Analysis of Supplemental Deductible Coverage as Recommended in the USDA's 2007 Farm Bill Proposal AgEcon
Mitchell, Paul D.; Knight, Thomas O..
A primary change to crop insurance contained in the USDA’s Farm Bill proposal is supplemental deductible coverage (SDC). SDC would allow farmers who purchase individual crop insurance coverage to purchase area-wide coverage in the amount of the individual policy deductible. This supplemental area-wide coverage would be similar to the existing Group Risk Plan policy, but with an accelerated indemnity schedule. Analysis indicates that SDC increases farmer certainty equivalents. The largest benefits are realized by farmers with high yield potential in counties with greater systemic risk. In general, optimal individual policy coverage levels modestly decrease when SDC is taken.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Area-wide coverage; Actual production history (APH); Group risk plan (GRP); Yield distribution; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44743
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CROP PRODUCER RISK MANAGEMENT SURVEY: A PRELIMINARY SUMMARY OF SELECTED DATA; A REPORT FROM THE UNDERSTANDING FARMER RISK MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKING AND EDUCATIONAL NEEDS RESEARCH PROJECT AgEcon
Coble, Keith H.; Knight, Thomas O.; Patrick, George F.; Baquet, Alan E..
Changes in the risk environment and tools available to manage risk have resulted in an increased need for risk management skills among farmers and ranchers. In response the USDA initiated a risk management education competitive grants program in the spring of 1998. This is the first report from one of the grant-funded projects. The project's primary objective is to provide supporting research that will contribute to the design and implementation of effective risk management education programs, policies and tools. This report provides selected summary statistics, without analysis, from a survey of crop producers conducted as part of the first phase of the project. Over 1,800 usable producer responses from Mississippi, Texas, Indiana, and Nebraska are...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk Insurance Marketing Policy; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15805
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Hog Producers' Risk Management Attitudes and Desire for Additional Risk Management Education AgEcon
Patrick, George F.; Peiter, Amy J.; Knight, Thomas O.; Coble, Keith H.; Baquet, Alan E..
Hog producers in Indiana and Nebraska were surveyed about sources of risk, effectiveness of risk management strategies, and prior participation in and desire for additional risk management education. Ownership of hogs by the producer, size of the operation, and age did have significant effects on ratings of both sources of risk and effectiveness of risk management strategies. Probit analysis found age, prior attendance, knowledge and prior use of the tool, level of integration, and concern about price and performance risk have significant effects on interest in further education about production contracts, futures and options, packer marketing contracts, and financial management.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Financial management; Futures and options; Packer marketing contracts; Production contracts; Risk attitudes; Risk management; D81; D83; Q12; Q16.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37110
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Preference for Risk Management Information Sources: Implications for Extension and Outreach Programming AgEcon
Rejesus, Roderick M.; Knight, Thomas O.; Jaramillo, Mauricio; Coble, Keith H.; Patrick, George F.; Baquet, Alan E..
This article examines farmers’ preferences for various risk management information sources. Our results suggest that information from risk management experts, in-depth materials studied on their own, and popular press outlets tend to be preferred and are ranked highly by producers. Using a regression model to investigate farmer/farm attributes that affect preference for a particular risk management information source, we find that younger farmers with college education, higher leverage, assets greater than $1 million, risk-loving attitudes, and who have used professional services (marketing consultants) tend to prefer information from risk management experts, the Internet, and marketing clubs/other producers. On the other hand, producers who prefer...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Extension; Information sources; Outreach; Risk management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44742
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THE WHEAT AND STOCKER CATTLE ANALYZER: A MICROCOMPUTER DECISION AID FOR EVALUATING WHEAT PRODUCTION AND STOCKER CATTLE GRAZING DECISIONS AgEcon
Ralston, Roger E.; Knight, Thomas O.; Coble, Keith H.; Lippke, Lawrence A..
The Wheat and Stocker Cattle Analyzer is a microcomputer decision aid for evaluating interrelated wheat production and stocker cattle grazing decisions under yield, weight gain, and price uncertainty. An important feature of the model is that wheat commodity program provisions are incorporated into the analysis. A wide range of alternatives including wheat production for grain only, owned stocker cattle grazing, and wheat pasture leasing can be evaluated by the program.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29923
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Farm Income Variability and the Supply of Off-Farm Labor by Limited-Resource Farmers AgEcon
Vergara, Oscar; Coble, Keith H.; Patrick, George F.; Knight, Thomas O.; Baquet, Alan E..
We study the relationship between the off-farm labor decision and the limited-resource farmers’ and spouses’ off-farm experience, education, and sources of income. We found that farmers’ and spouses’ off-farm experience and wages are significant factors in explaining the off-farm labor supply decision. Contrary to expectations, farm income variability is not significant in the farmers’ and spouses’ decision to see off-farm work. The off-farm labor supply of farmers and their spouses is negatively correlated with income transfers from the government. It was also found that the spouse is a residual supplier of on-farm and off-farm labor.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm income variability; Limited-resource farmer; Off-farm work; Tobit regression; C34; D19; D81; J15; Q18.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43394
Registros recuperados: 31
Primeira ... 12 ... Última
 

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