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Registros recuperados: 8
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A HIERARCHICAL BAYES APPROACH TO MODELING CHOICE DATA: A STUDY OF WETLAND RESTORATION PROGRAMS AgEcon
Eisen-Hecht, Jonathan I.; Kramer, Randall A.; Huber, Joel.
This study examines the factors the influence the values and importance that landowners place on the attributes of voluntary wetland restoration programs. Choice-based conjoint analysis, a stated preference method, was used to estimate the marginal utilities and values for restoration program attributes for North Carolina landowners. Landowner preferences were estimated at individual and aggregate levels to examine the importance of modeling heterogeneous preferences. Choice modeling performed at both aggregate and individual levels demonstrated the information gains from a disaggregated approach.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20253
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AN ANALYSIS OF U.S. FARM INCOME POLICIES: HISTORICAL, MARKETING-DETERMINED, AND SECTOR-WIDE STABILIZATION AgEcon
McDowell, Howard; Kramer, Randall A.; Price, J. Michael.
This paper provides an economic analysis of the historical agricultural price and income support policy, a policy of market-determined prices and income, and a policy linking market-determined prices with sector-wide farm income stabilization in years of economic disaster. The analysis compares commodity prices, net farm income, and government expenditures over the period 1970 through 1982 based on estimates generated by USDA's Food and Agricultural Policy Simulator (FAPSIM). The historical policy generates the highest income and most stable prices. Market-determined income is lowest and has the greatest variability. Stabilization minimized income variability at intermediate income levels.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30105
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AN EVALUATION OF ECONOMETRIC MODELS OF U.S. FARMLAND PRICES AgEcon
Pope, Rulon D.; Kramer, Randall A.; Green, Richard D.; Gardner, B. Delworth.
Previously published empirical models of U.S. farmland prices are reviewed and reestimated including recent data. It is apparent that structural changes have occurred. A simple single equation econometric model with less economic structure appears to forecast better than a simultaneous equation model. Finally, Box-Jenkins forecasts are roughly as good as those based upon a simultaneous equation econometric model, but somewhat inferior to the single equation model. The results suggest that further research may be needed to explain recent movements of farmland prices.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 1979 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32436
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Current policy and status of DDT use for malaria control in Ethiopia, Uganda, Kenya and South Africa. AgEcon
Biscoe, Melanie L.; Mutero, Clifford M.; Kramer, Randall A..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Malaria; Waterborne diseases; Disease vectors; Public health; Policy; Ddt; Legal aspects; Pesticide residues; Case studies; Health Economics and Policy; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92015
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A STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING ANALYSIS OF THE FARM LEVEL IMPLICATIONS OF SOIL EROSION CONTROL AgEcon
Segarra, Eduardo; Kramer, Randall A.; Taylor, Daniel B..
This paper analyzes the effects of uncertain soil loss in farm planning models. A disaggregated approach was used because of an interest in examining the impact of probabilistic soil loss constraints on farm level decision-making. A stochastic programming model was used to consider different levels of probability of soil loss. Traditional methods of analysis are shown to consistently overestimate net returns.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm Management.
Ano: 1985 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29971
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CHANCE CONSTRAINED PROGRAMMING MODELS FOR RISK-BASED ECONOMIC AND POLICY ANALYSIS OF SOIL CONSERVATION AgEcon
Zhu, Minkang; Taylor, Daniel B.; Sarin, Subhash C.; Kramer, Randall A..
The random nature of soil loss under alternative land-use practices should be an important consideration of soil conservation planning and analysis under risk. Chance constrained programming models can provide information on the trade-offs among pre-determined tolerance levels of soil loss, probability levels of satisfying the tolerance levels, and economic profits or losses resulting from soil conservation to soil conservation policy makers. When using chance constrained programming models, the distribution of factors being constrained must be evaluated. If random variables follow a log-normal distribution, the normality assumption, which is generally used in the chance constrained programming models, can bias the results.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31324
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OPEN ACCESS AND MISSING MARKETS IN ARTISANAL FISHING AgEcon
Liese, Christopher; Smith, Martin D.; Kramer, Randall A..
This paper combines a model of open access fisheries exploitation with a distance-based approach to missing labor and product markets. The model generates predictions about the circumstances under which exploitation increases or decreases with distance. An econometric model is estimated with survey data from artisanal fishing households in Minahasa, Indonesia. The results can be used to assess the impacts of improved transportation infrastructure on fishery exploitation.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19867
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The Elicitation of Subjective Probabilities with Applications in Agricultural Economics AgEcon
Norris, Patricia E.; Kramer, Randall A..
Probability judgements are important components of decision making under uncertainty. In particular, economic decisions can be aided by assuring more accurate assessment of probabilities and more realistic modelling of economic problems through the inclusion of subjective probabilities. The purpose of this paper is to describe the techniques which can be used to elicit subjective probabilities and the ways in which these techniques can be incorporated into agricultural economics research. The review draws from the statistics, psychology, management, operations research, meteorology and economics literature.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12253
Registros recuperados: 8
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