|
Heckelei, Thomas; Krebs, Elvira; Mollmann, Claus; von Lampe, Martin. |
This paper presents a short comparative analysis of USDA and FAPRI projections for world wheat market prices until 2005. The relevance of different model assumptions regarding assumed inflation, exchange rates, policy parameters as well as shifts in demand and production development are discussed. A subsequent section focuses on the problem of a "world market price concept" for evaluating the potential of unsubsidized EU cereal exports. The Annex provides more detailed information on model assumptions and a comparison of other projected values, also including agricultural products other than wheat. Dieses Diskussionspapier stellt eine kurze vergleichende Analyse aktueller USDA- und FAPRI- Projektionen von Weltmarktpreisen fur Weizen bis 2005 vor. Die... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis. |
Ano: 1998 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18778 |