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ANÁLISE COMPARATIVA ENTRE ESTRATÉGIAS DE HEDGE COM BASE EM MODELOS ESTÁTICOS E DINÂMICOS PARA CONTRATOS FUTUROS DE CAFÉ ARÁBICA AgEcon
Muller, Carlos Andre da Silva; Moura, Altair Dias de; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
Dentro do agronegócio brasileiro, o café arábica está entre os produtos com o mais elevado nível de risco e, ainda assim, é um produto importante para a economia brasileira. Os mercados futuros são reconhecidos como meio de gerenciamento desses riscos, mas observou-se o baixo uso desse mecanismo no caso brasileiro. Por outro lado, a literatura tem avançado quanto aos métodos para realização de estratégias de hedge. Em vista disso, esse artigo teve a finalidade de analisar a efetividade, em redução de riscos, de diferentes estratégias de hedge para o café arábica no Brasil. Foram Testadas quatro estratégias: não atuação em mercados futuros; cobertura completa; estratégia estática que incorpora o conteúdo informacional em médias condicionais, obtida pelo...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Efetividade; Hedge; Café arábica; VEC; MGARCH BEKK; Effectiveness; Hedge; Arabian coffee; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/113187
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ANÁLISE DA ESTRUTURA ESPACIAL DO MERCADO BRASILEIRO DE SUÍNOS AgEcon
Rosado, Patricia Lopes; Maciel, Marilia Fernandes; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
Objetivou-se, neste trabalho, analisar o padrão e o grau de integração dos mercados de suínos nos diferentes estados brasileiros, no período de janeiro de 1980 a março de 2005. foram analisados aspectos relacionados à forma de relacionamento entre eles e à determinação dos mercados mais ou menos integrados. além do mais, analisaram-se os fatores que determinam o grau de integração entre esses mercados. O método utilizado neste estudo foi o de séries temporais, mais especificamente a análise de co-integração multivariada de modo geral, observou-se que o mercado brasileiro de suínos apresentou grande dinamismo em relação ao comportamento dos preços nas diferentes localidades que compõem o mercado, considerando que todos os ajustes ocorreram relativamente...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Integração de mercado; Suínos e co-integração multivariada; Market integration; Swine e multivariate co-integration; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/109794
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Valoração contingente da Área de Proteção Ambiental (APA) São José – MG: um estudo de caso AgEcon
Cirino, Jader Fernandes; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
The São José Environmental Protection Area (EPA) in the State of Minas Gerais has a rich natural and historical patrimony. However, in spite of its value and of being a protection area since 1981, it has now suffering several degradations. In that sense, the major objective of this work is to value São José EPA with the purpose of supplying subsidies for the elaboration and attainment of public and private projects of preservation or sustainable exploration of the referred asset, as well as for public policy directed to its administration. As valuation method, it was used the contingent valuation through the approach of Hanemann (1984) and the bootstrapping method to obtain a monthly willingness-to-pay (WTP) per family of the municipal districts that...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: São José EPA; Contingent valuation; Environmental valuation; Willingness-to-pay.; Agribusiness; Q; Q5; Q56.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61229
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Como compensar e incentivar os municípios a proteger e conservar o meio ambiente? O caso do ICMS Ecológico em Minas Gerais AgEcon
Fernandes, Luciany Lima; Coelho, Alexandre Braganca; Fernandes, Elaine Aparecida; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
The ecological ICMS was first used to distribute a share of the ICMS revenue in the state of Parana in 1991. This pioneer experience originated from counties’ claims which argued that their economies were harmed by land use restrictions, mainly because they were watershed protection areas or their territory was part of a conservation unit. Responding to these claims, the state government changed the ICMS allocation criteria, favoring those counties with added funds. In the Minas Gerais State, the Ecological ICMS was implemented in 1995 with the “Robin Hood Law”. The objective of this study was to evaluate the Ecological ICMS in Minas Gerais as an instrument for compensation and incentive. Results showed the creation of a conservation unit would compensate...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Ecological ICMS; Minas Gerais; Panel Data Model; Conservation Units.; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53224
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ANÁLISE ESPACIAL DOS PRINCIPAIS DETERMINANTES DA RENDA PER CAPITA DOS MUNICÍPIOS BRASILEIROS AgEcon
Lazzarotto, Joelsio Jose; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
Como no Brasil existem grandes heterogeneidades com relação à renda per capita, buscou-se estudar importantes aspectos determinantes da formação dessa renda nos diversos municípios. Com base em dados de 5.425 municípios, foram empregadas técnicas de análise exploratória de dados espaciais e de estimação de modelos econométricos espaciais. Dentre os resultados obtidos, pode-se destacar três: 1) existem grandes disparidades municipais relacionadas com os rendimentos individuais; 2) a análise exploratória de dados espaciais indicou a existência de dependência espacial envolvendo a renda per capita média dos municípios; e 3) os modelos econométricos estimados evidenciaram que, variações relacionadas com escolaridade, nível de emprego, desempenho dos setores...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Dependência espacial; Heterogeneidade espacial; Clusters municipais; Spatial dependence; Spatial heterogeneity; Municipal clusters; Financial Economics.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103145
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UM ESTUDO ECONOMÉTRICO DO MERCADO BRASILEIRO DE CELULOSE, 1969-2005 AgEcon
Soares, Naisy Silva; Silva, Marcio Lopes da; Valverde, Sebastio Renato; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de; Adame, Kaio Henrique.
O SEGMENTO DE CELULOSE E PAPEL CONTRIBUI DE FORMA SIGNIFICATIVA PARA A ECONOMIA BRASILEIRA. O CONHECIMENTO DA ESTRUTURA DO MERCADO DE CELULOSE É FUNDAMENTAL PARA FINS DE PLANEJAMENTO DA PRODUÇÃO, COMERCIALIZAÇÃO E PREVISÃO PARA O SETOR. O PRESENTE TRABALHO TEM COMO OBJETIVO PRINCIPAL ESPECIFICAR E ESTIMAR A OFERTA E DEMANDA BRASILEIRA DE CELULOSE, BEM COMO A OFERTA E A DEMANDA DE EXPORTAÇÃO, NO PERÍODO DE 1969 A 2005. OS RESULTADOS OBTIDOS, USANDO O MÉTODO MÍNIMOS QUADRADOS DE DOIS ESTÁGIOS (MQ2E), MOSTRAM QUE A OFERTA E A DEMANDA INTERNA DE CELULOSE, BEM COMO A OFERTA E A DEMANDA DE EXPORTAÇÃO SÃO PREÇO-INELÁSTICA. A DEMANDA INTERNA É INELÁSTICA COM RELAÇÃO À RENDA. JÁ A DEMANDA DE EXPORTAÇÃO É ELÁSTICA COM RELAÇÃO À RENDA. A OFERTA INTERNA É MAIS...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Celulose; Oferta; Demanda; Wood Pulp; Supply; Demand; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/109122
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Demanda industrial de energia elétrica em Minas Gerais, 1970-2002 AgEcon
Mattos, Leonardo Bornacki de; Reis, Bricio dos Santos; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de; Lirio, Viviani Silva.
The main objective of this paper was to obtain an estimate for the industrial electricity demand in Minas Gerais in the period from 1970 to 2002. After identifying that the series were nonstationary, it was used the Cointegration approach, being estimated a Vector Error Correction Model (VEC Model). The results showed that both price and income elasticities are inferiors to the unit. The projections for period 2004/2008 indicate that the consumption of electricity should present superior taxes of growth to the observed ones in the decade of 90.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Industrial Demand; Electricity; Cointegration; VEC Model; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56746
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DETERMINANTES DA ERRADICAÇÃO DA FEBRE AFTOSA NO BRASIL AgEcon
Muller, Carlos Andre da Silva; Mattos, Leonardo Bornacki de; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
Foot and mouth disease (FMD) has been a problem for the Brazilian livestock since the XIX century. Once it affects the livestock productivity and has always been a problem for the country exports due to the imposition of sanitary barriers. In 1992, when no state was free from FMD, the National Program for Eradication of FMD (PNEFA) was implemented. Since then good results has been obtained with control and eradication of the disease in some states. However, in other states the problem still persists. It is important to determine why some states have faced difficulties in reaching the status of free from FMD while others not. This work aimed to identify the factors which discriminate the populations of states free from FMD from those not free. The results...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Foot and mouth disease; Brazil; Discriminant analysis; Livestock; PNEFA..
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43799
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Transmissão de preços entre mercados regionais de carne de frango no Brasil AgEcon
Mattos, Leonardo Bornacki de; Lirio, Viviani Silva; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de; Campos, Antonio Carvalho.
Non-negligible transaction costs restrict the transmission of price shock between markets. The aim of this work was to analyze the effects of transaction costs on the spatial integration of the internal market for chicken meat, from 1998 to 2007. The applied methodology was based on the Threshold Cointegration Analysis. The results indicate the presence of significant barriers to the price transmission between the markets, existing probably due to the transaction costs. Prices are not very sensitive to eventual deviations of the long run equilibrium. It could also be noted that a relatively long period is necessary to eliminate price shocks, and the price transmission process is asymmetric.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Market integration; Transaction costs; Chicken meat; Cointegration; Threshold; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94798
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Volatilidade dos retornos econômicos associados à integração lavoura-pecuária no estado do Paraná AgEcon
Lazzarotto, Joelsio Jose; Santos, Maurinho Luiz dos; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de; Moraes, Anibal de.
In the Brazilian agriculture, there is a great diversity and heterogeneity of production systems that are subject to wide number of factors of risks. Although these risks cannot be completely eliminated, they can be minimized by adopting some strategies, as the diversification with agricultural and cattle activities. Based on the research historical results of the Paraná’s agriculture e with the measurement of the value-at-risk, this work aimed to analyze the volatility of the economic returns of integrated crop-beef cattle systems compared to systems characterized by grain cultivation or beef cattle specialization. As results, we observed that, in the short-term, the integrated crop-livestock system is the alternative that trends to generate better...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm systems; Risk; Value-at-risk; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56860
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Valoração econômica da Gruta do Maquiné em Cordisburgo - MG AgEcon
Paula, Zelia Rodrigues de; Gomes, Marilia Fernandes Maciel; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de; Coelho, Alexandre Braganca; Quintela, Mirelle C. de Abreu.
The Maquiné Cavern is a natural resource system located at Cordisburgo, MG. It was built by nature in the last few thousand years. It’s a source of knowledge to researchers and income to local people. Therefore, it’s very important to preserve it. Visitors’ characteristics and econometric estimation of demand systems are key information which may be important to resource management decisions. Our objective was to find the economic value of the Maquiné Cavern. The analytical procedure was the Travel Cost method. Data were obtained by interviews. Results showed that most visitors have high educational levels and generally do not travel alone and visit Maquiné Cavern for the first time. The average willingness to pay for visits to the Maquiné Cavern, in each...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Maquiné cavern; Environmental valuation; Willingness-to-pay; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/102094
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VIABILIDADE FINANCEIRA E RISCOS ASSOCIADOS À INTEGRAÇÃO LAVOURA-PECUÁRIA NO ESTADO DO PARANÁ AgEcon
Lazzarotto, Joelsio Jose; Santos, Maurinho Luiz dos; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
The Brazilian agricultural sector is characterized by a great diversity of production systems subject to a wide number of risk factors. These risks cannot be completely eliminated, but they can be minimized by the adoption of some strategies, such as diversification of agricultural and livestock activities. In this light, a comparative analysis, under operational and market risk conditions, of the financial viability of integrated crop-livestock systems, in relation to systems characterized by grain exploitation or specialized in livestock (beef cattle), was done. The methodology included data on farming in Paraná state, especially the in area of Guarapuava. Long term financial indicators were generated: net present value, internal return rate and...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farming system; Financial indicators; Probabilities; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93585
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Estrutura da tecnologia de produção agrícola regional: uma abordagem da programação de metas AgEcon
Baptista, Antonio Jose Medina dos Santos; Avila, William Romell Benevides de; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de; Gomes, Adriano Provezano.
The objective of this study was to analyze the average production functions and the frontiers production function to characterize the structure of the agricultural production technology. Using data of the agricultural census of 1995/96 regarding the mesorregião of the Triangulo Mineiro and Alto Paranaíba of the State of Minas Gerais the goal programming was used to calculate the parameters of the Cobb Douglas production functions. One of the main conclusions is the existence of significant differences in the level of productive efficiency and in the structure of the production technologies in this Mesorrregião, indicating the bias that is incurred when making decisions only based on the parameters of the average production function. Another important...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Production function; Goal Programming; Efficiency; Agriculture; Production Economics.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55306
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ELASTICIDADE NA TRANSMISSÃO E FORMAÇÃO ESPACIAL DE PREÇOS DE LEITE AO PRODUTOR NOS PRINCIPAIS ESTADOS BRASILEIROS AgEcon
Fernandes, Rosangela Aparecida Soares; Braga, Marcelo Jose; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
Analisou-se a elasticidade de transmissão de preços e a formação espacial entre as principais regiões produtoras de leite do Brasil, no período de 1997 a 2005, pela análise de co-integração, e pelo Modelo Vetorial de Correção de Erro (VEC). Os resultados evidenciaram que a variação de 1% nos preços recebidos pelos produtores de leite de Minas Gerais leva a uma variação de 0,38%, 0,72%, 0,93% e 0,26% nos preços em São Paulo, Rio Grande do Sul, Paraná e Goiás, respectivamente. Pela estimação do VEC os coeficientes do Paraná e São Paulo, em módulo, foram comparativamente maiores aos demais. São Paulo foi menos interdependente, indicando comportamento mais isolado no padrão de liderança preço. Verificou-se que, com o passar dos meses os preços de Minas...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Leite; Comercialização Agrícola; Transmissão de Preços; Milk; Agricultural Commercialization; Transmission of Prices; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/108577
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Integração e transmissão de preços entre os mercados de trigo argentino e internacional AgEcon
Coronel, Daniel Arruda; Amorim, Airton Lopes; Sousa, Eliane Pinheiro de; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
The aim of this paper is to check if there is a relation between the wheat prices of the Argentinian and the International market, if these markets are integrated in space. For that, it was used as time reference the period from January, 1994 to April, 2009. Unit root tests, Granger causality, Johansen cointegration, estimation of the impulse response function, decomposition of error variation and estimation and analysis of the error correction model were used. The results indicated that variations in the international prices of wheat were almost completely transmitted for the run long. However, it is not possible to affirm that the Argentinian and the International markets are perfectly integrated even if they have a higher transmission of prices This is...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Integration of prices; Law of the One Price; Wheat market; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade; C32; Q13.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114463
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Integração espacial de mercados na presença de custos de transação: um estudo para o mercado de boi gordo em Minas Gerais e São Paulo AgEcon
Mattos, Leonardo Bornacki de; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de; Lirio, Viviani Silva.
The analysis of market integration of agricultural commodities based on price information are limited because the effects of transaction costs are not considered in the adjustment process. The main objective of this paper was to estimate the possible transaction costs impacts on market integration of beef cattle between the states of Minas Gerais and São Paulo. It was estimated a Threshold Vector Error Correction Model (TVEC model) using monthly price data for the period from January 1972 to August 2005. The results indicated the presence of threshold cointegration implying that transaction costs have important effect on the price adjustment process.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Market integration; Transaction costs; Beef cattle; TVEC model; Threshold cointegration.; Agribusiness; Q13; C32.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60821
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EFICIÊNCIA TÉCNICA E DE ESCALA DAS COOPERATIVAS NO SETOR LÁCTEO AgEcon
Ferreira, Marco Aurelio Marques; Jose Braga, Marcelo; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
The advancement of investor-owned firms (IOF), mainly multinational ones, and the reduced participation of cooperatives in dairy production and processing in Brazil along the past few decades has been calling the attention of researchers. With the participation of 59 productive units, distributed over 9 states of the Brazilian territory, the objective of this work was to analyze the efficiency of the cooperatives in the dairy industry using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). The results show that, in general, the cooperatives presented better performance in terms of scale rather than in terms of productive efficiency. This stimulates sectorial politicies that promote improvements in the use of the resources to obtain greater efficiency in milk processing.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cooperatives; Efficiency; Dairy products.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48439
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VOLUME DE PRODUÇÃO, PREÇOS E A DECISÃO DE COMERCIALIZAÇÃO INFORMAL DO LEITE: UM ESTUDO NO ESTADO DO RIO DE JANEIRO AgEcon
Neto, Armando Chinelatto; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
The recent transformation in milk production was characterized by the reduction of the prices received by the producer and by the increase of the production and productivity. Facing this reality, this work has the objective to identify whether the option for informal commercialization of the milk was one of the alternatives for the small producers receiving better prices. It was used a logit model to measure the impact of production volume and price received over the probability of producers to opt to sell in informal markets. The results were compatible to what was expected, once the price received per milk litre affects positivelly and the volume production has a negative effect the probability of producers to sell his production at informal markets....
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Informal milk market; Price; Production; Logit model..
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43812
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Determinantes do desmatamento em pequenas propriedades na Amazônia: um estudo de caso em Uruará - PA AgEcon
Pereira, Ritaumaria de J.; Vieira, Wilson da Cruz; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de; Caldas, Marcellus Marques.
The main objective of this paper was to analyse the factors that influence deforestation in small rural farms of a colonization area in Brazil’s Amazon Region. It was used data from 138 small farms distribuited over the transamazonic road in the municipality of Uruará, PA. The data was collected during july and august of 2002. A Tobit model with sample selectivity with etimation in two stages (Heckman) was used. In the first stage, the probability of deforestation was explained mainly by the presence of cattle in the farm. In the second stage, the deforestation area was modeled as a function of various factors. The results showed that the main determinants of deforestation are the amount paid for lired labor, the distance from the main road, the number of...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Brasilian Amazon; Deforestation; Colonization; Tobit model; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56790
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USO DE ANÁLISE ESTATÍSTICA MULTIVARIADA PARA TIPIFICAÇÃO DE PRODUTORES DE LEITE DE MINAS GERAIS AgEcon
Neto, Armando Chinelatto; Castro, Gilmar Pinheiro Cunha; Lima, Joao Eustaquio de.
The present work had as its main objective to identify and characterize milk production systems through methods of multivaried statistical analysis. Factorial analysis, cluster, discriminant and canonical correlation were utilized. The production gradation and defrayal were the main classification criterium among the productors. Combining the results obtained with the cluster analysis and the canonical correlation analysis, the second classification analysis aggregates the grazing lands and the care with the flock health. Three productors groups were identified, among which the first one is prominent for aggregating about 90% of the total analyzed and is composed by relatively smaller productors. The discriminant analysis and the measuring among financial...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Multivaried analysis; Milk cattle raising; Minas Gerais.; Livestock Production/Industries; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44039
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