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The Effect of China's RMB Exchange Rate Movement on Its Agricultural Export: A Case Study of Export to Japan AgEcon
Longjiang, Chen.
This paper attempts to examine the relationship between changes and volatility of China's RMB exchange rates and its agricultural export. A model is constructed to analyze the effect of RMB exchange rate movements on agricultural exports facing two constraints including China's particular exchange rate system and TBT / SPS in agricultural trade. The model reveals that the net trade effect of RMB exchange rate movements relies on the comparison of exchange rate level change (appreciation or depreciation) effect and exchange rate risk effect. Taking China’s agricultural exports to Japan as a case, this paper makes an empirical examination. A GARCH (1, 1) model is specified to measure the exchange rate volatility and ADL regression with structural break dummy...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Agricultural export; China; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49995
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