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Registros recuperados: 11 | |
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Schmitz, Christoph; Lotze-Campen, Hermann. |
Like agricultural trade, deforestation has increased tremendously throughout the past five decades. We analyse the linkage between both factors by applying trade and forest policy scenarios to the global land-use model MAgPIE ("Model of Agricultural Production and its Impact on the Environment"). The model predicts global landuse patterns in a spatially explicit way and uses endogenously derived technological change and land expansion rates. Our study is the first which combines global trade analysis with a spatially explicit mapping of deforestation. By implementing self-sufficiency rates in the regional demand and supply equations, we are able to simulate different trade settings. Our baseline scenario fixes current trade patterns until the year 2045.... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115993 |
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Weindl, Isabelle; Lotze-Campen, Hermann; Popp, Alexander; Bodirsky, Benjamin; Rolinski, Susanne. |
Until 2050, the global population is projected to reach almost 9 billion people resulting in a rising demand and competition for biomass used as food, feed, raw material and bio-energy, while land and water resources are limited. Moreover, agricultural production will be constrained by the need to mitigate dangerous climate change. The agricultural sector is a major emitter of anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHG). It is responsible for about 47 % and 58 % of total anthropogenic emissions of methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) (IPPC, 2007). CH4 emissions are associated with enteric fermentation of ruminants, rice cultivation and manure storage; N2O emissions are related to nitrogen fertilizers and manure application to soils, but also to manure storage.... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; Livestock Production/Industries; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy. |
Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91277 |
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Registros recuperados: 11 | |
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