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Registros recuperados: 25
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Estimation of a Censored Demand System in Stratified Sampling: An Analysis of Mexican Meat Demand at the Table Cut Level (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Lopez, Jose Antonio; Malaga, Jaime E..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/47229
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Mexican agricultural export competitiveness AgEcon
Malaga, Jaime E.; Williams, Gary W..
This article analyzes the export performance of the Mexican agricultural and food sector in recent years with emphasis on the changing competitiveness of those exports in the U.S. and world markets. The paper includes an examination of the general trends in Mexican agricultural and food exports, an analysis of the international competitiveness of the major subgroups of Mexican agriculture based on the Revealed Comparative Advantage methodology, an assessment of the competitiveness of Mexican exports of specific agricultural and food products to the United States, and a consideration of the effectiveness of Mexico's agricultural and food export market diversification efforts.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Mexico; Export; Competitiveness; Agricultural.; Agribusiness.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93507
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International sorghum trade: United States beyond the Mexican dependency? AgEcon
Duch-Carvallo, Teresa; Malaga, Jaime E..
This research proposes the estimation of a partial equilibrium econometric and simulation international trade model for sorghum: United States and Mexico component. Sixteen equations were simultaneously estimated and validated as a system using seemingly unrelated regression. Results on parameter estimates agree with economic theory and a working model for simulation and forecast was obtained. Forecast scenarios suggest that the dependency of sorghum trade between US and Mexico will continue.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Supply; Demand; NAFTA; International trade; Sorghum; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46862
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United States chicken and grain exports to Mexico: competing for the same market? AgEcon
Duch-Carvallo, Teresa; Malaga, Jaime E..
The impacts of maintaining increasing rates of Mexican chicken meat imports from the United States on United States grain sorghum price and Mexican GS imports from the United States were modeled using a non-spatial, partial equilibrium, econometric, and simulation international trade model. Twenty five equations were simultaneously estimated and validated as a system using three stages least squares. A 9-year baseline was estimated under existing projections and the impacts of the increasing rates of Mexican chicken meat imports from the United States were simulated and compared with the baseline.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Supply; Demand; NAFTA; International trade; Grain sorghum; Chicken meat exports; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98828
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EUROPEAN UNION COTTON DEMAND: AN APPLICATION OF DEMAND SYSTEMS AND PANEL DATA AgEcon
Lopez, Jose Antonio; Malaga, Jaime E..
A demand system approach incorporating demographic variables is used to estimate the European Union cotton demand parameters. The European Union is the largest cotton importer of the world. Accurate estimation of European demand parameters is critical to evaluate world cotton trends and to realistically simulate future market scenarios. Unlike previous studies, this paper reports a research in which demands of the 15 European Union members are not aggregated. Moreover, unlike available estimations, the study does not use mill consumption data but cotton equivalent consumption at home.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34660
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The Effect of Ethanol Production on Coarse Grains: New Price Relationships AgEcon
Martinez-Mejia, Pablo; Malaga, Jaime E..
For years, the U.S. price of grain sorghum has been settled as 95% of the price of corn. Nevertheless, the increasing demand for corn and grain sorghum in ethanol production might have changed that price relationship. In this study, we use cointegration and the vector autoregressive model with independent variable (VARX) to assess the relationship between the spot price of sorghum in several U.S. markets and corn’s futures market price during the period 1996–2008. The results indicate a price relationship between the price of sorghum in the Gulf ports, Kansas City, and Texas, and corn prices of 1.01, 0.99, and 0.99, respectively. These new relationships are noteworthy for producers and other stakeholders.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Causality test; Cointegration; Futures markets; VARX model; Agribusiness; Marketing.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90656
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THE UNCERTAIN FUTURE OF THE MEXICAN MARKET FOR U.S. COTTON: IMPACT OF THE ELIMINATION OF TEXTILE AND CLOTHING QUOTAS AgEcon
Lopez, Jose Enrique; Malaga, Jaime E..
Accounting for about 20% of U.S. total cotton exports in recent years, the Mexican market has become a key destination for U.S. cotton production. Simultaneously, the U.S. market is critical for the Mexican textile/clothing sector absorbing almost 50% of its total output. This strong North American integration process, in part a result of NAFTA, might be jeopardized by the approaching implementation of the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC) in 2005. This paper presents the results of an econometric and simulation model that allows for the assessment of potential implications of the ATC’s quota elimination on Mexico’s cotton consumption and U.S. cotton exports to Mexico. It incorporates the growing interdependence between the U.S. and Mexico’s cotton...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/27980
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Forecast and Simulation Analysis of Mexican Meat Consumption at the Table Cut Level: Impacts on U.S. Exports. AgEcon
Lopez, Jose Antonio; Malaga, Jaime E..
This is the poster presentation. Please refer to the full paper for details.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Forecast of Mexican meat consumption; Forecast of Mexican imports; U.S. meat exports to Mexico; Mexican meat demand elasticities; Meat analysis at the table cut level; Censored demand system; Two-step estimation procedure; Stratified sampling; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; International Relations/Trade; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/52382
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THE ATC QUOTA ELIMINATION AND THE MEXICAN COTTON INDUSTRY: MEASURING POTENTIAL IMPACTS ON US COTTON EXPORTS AgEcon
Lopez, Jose Enrique; Malaga, Jaime E..
The textile and clothing trade agreements signed by the U.S. may bring about important adjustments in the international textile and cotton markets affecting trade flows between the US and Mexico. Mexico is the largest importer of U.S. cotton while the US market is critical for the Mexican textile/clothing sector This paper presents the results of a comprehensive econometric and simulation model that allows for the assessment of some of the implications of the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing's quota eliminations on Mexico's cotton consumption and U.S. cotton exports to that country.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34786
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Changing Pattern in U.S. Apparel Trade Post-2008: Implications for U.S. Cotton AgEcon
Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Malaga, Jaime E.; Rejesus, Roderick M..
In 1995, the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC) provided for the calculated liberalization of the textiles and apparel sectors over a 10-year period ending in 2005, except for some safeguard measures ending on December 31, 2008. These safeguard measures allowed for import restrictions by the U.S. on certain categories of cotton apparel from China. Using a 57-equation, annual econometric, price equilibrium simulation model of the U.S. cotton and cotton apparel markets, results point to lower cotton apparel prices in the U.S. by as much as $ 0.25 per kilogram while cotton prices decline by less than $ 0.01 per kilogram once these safeguards expire. In the baseline scenario, quotas are removed in 2009-2015 except for the safeguards. In the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6066
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The Mexican Market for U.S. Sorghum: Is There Room for Growth? AgEcon
Pandrangi, Syamalakumar; Malaga, Jaime E..
Recent developments are affecting the Mexican grain-sorghum market, the primary destination of US sorghum exports. This study estimates the parameters of a Mexican import demand model for grain-sorghum that could be used to forecast and simulate future bilateral trade trends. Mexican sorghum/corn price ratio and Mexican poultry production revealed to be the critical explanatory variables.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35499
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The Agreement on Textiles and Clothing: Is It a WTO Failure? AgEcon
Malaga, Jaime E.; Mohanty, Samarendu.
The historic GATT-Uruguay Round Agreement was signed in April 1994 after years of difficult negotiations. Although the textile and clothing sector was not included, a separate agreement, the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC) was also signed, with the specific purpose of dismantling the complex quota system in place and gradually incorporating the sector into the rules and disciplines of GATT-UR over a period of ten years. On the verge of the established deadline, the liberalization results achieved seem disappointing for most textile exporting countries. These results have implications for the new round of WTO negotiations. What went wrong? Is anyone to blame? This article analyzes the ATC rules and discusses conflicting interpretations of the...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: ATC; Developing countries; MFA; Textile & clothing; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23819
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ANALYSIS OF FORCES AFFECTING COMPETITIVE POSITION OF MEXICO IN SUPPLYING U.S. WINTER MELON MARKET AgEcon
Espinoza Arellano, Jose de Jesus; Fuller, Stephen W.; Malaga, Jaime E..
An econometric model representing the United States, Mexico and Caribbean nations melon sectors was estimated to analyze the primary economic forces influencing Mexico's competitiveness in the U.S. winter melon market, a period when about two-thirds of U.S. consumption is imported. Results show peso-devaluation to be important in the short-run and yield-enhancing technology to be important in the short- and long-run. Increased rates of growth in Mexican yields were about six times more effective at increasing market share than NAFTA provisions which phase-out U.S. tariffs. An accelerated rate of growth in Mexican per capita income was found to reduce melon exports about 75% while higher wages would reduce exports about 20% in the long-run.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34543
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Grain Sorghum International Trade: U.S.-Mexico Simulation and Estimation Model AgEcon
Liu, Bing; Malaga, Jaime E..
An econometric international supply/demand/trade simulation and forecast sorghum model in a partial equilibrium framework is built in this research paper to quantify the effects of key exogenous variables on the U.S.-Mexico sorghum trade. A forecast baseline is also established by using the validated model and values of exogenous variables provided by FAPRI to project the level of endogenous variables over the period of 2009 to 2017. Impacts of plausible alternative scenarios for key exogenous variables are simulated from 2009 to 2017.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Sorghum; International Trade; Simulation; Estimation; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56434
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THE CHANGING DYNAMIC OF MEXICAN PRODUCE DISTRIBUTION AgEcon
Link, John; Malaga, Jaime E.; Tropp, Debra; Skully, David W..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/27411
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Estimation of a Censored Demand System in Stratified Sampling: An Analysis of Mexican Meat Demand at the Table Cut Level. AgEcon
Lopez, Jose Antonio; Malaga, Jaime E..
Evidence of meat trade in the form of table cuts suggests that consumer preferences and tastes vary across meat cuts. Unlike previous studies, this paper estimates demand elasticities at the table cut level from a Mexican survey of household incomes and expenditures, which is a stratified sample. The study uses the two-step estimation of a censored demand system proposed by Shonkwiler and Yen (1999) but incorporates stratification variables into the estimation procedure. Parameter estimates are reported and its standard errors are approximated by using the bootstrap procedure.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Censored demand system; Two-step estimation procedure; Stratified sampling; Mexican meat demand; Elasticities; Adult equivalent scales; Bootstrap standard errors; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46294
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Did Mexican Meat Demand Change under NAFTA? AgEcon
Malaga, Jaime E.; Pan, Suwen; Duch-Carvallo, Teresa.
A censored non linear QUAIDS model was applied to estimate Mexican meat demand parameters using annual household survey data for six years from 1992 to 2004. Results suggest that in Mexico and throughout the analyzed period, beef and pork meat were luxury items while chicken was a normal good. Small but insignificant changes in meat demand parameters were found after NAFTA implementation suggesting that changes on consumer behavior due to macroeconomic variables might take longer periods to be quantifiable.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: QUAIDS model; Mexico meat demand; NAFTA; Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51430
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Marketing Promotion of Texas Agricultural Products: The Rural Dimension of the GO TEXAN Program AgEcon
Malaga, Jaime E.; Xu, Bin; Martinez-Mejia, Pablo.
The Texas Department of Agriculture launched the GO TEXAN marketing promotion program in 1999 to support Texas agricultural and food production. The underlying assumption is that if successful, the program would support directly or indirectly the demand for Texas agricultural production and the well-being of the state’s rural population. This research analyzes responses to an official 2008 survey sent to the GO TEXAN program beneficiaries. Overall, this study suggests that not all activities in the program have a clearly positive impact. Participation in trade shows, retail promotion and media events, and reverse trade missions seem to have a significant effect on sales increase as well as the use of the program logo on promotional items and web sites. The...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Marketing promotion; Rural development; Marketing; Q13; Q19.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/113537
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Forecast and Simulation Analysis of Mexican Meat Consumption at the Table Cut Level: Impacts on U.S. Exports. AgEcon
Lopez, Jose Antonio; Malaga, Jaime E..
An analysis of current and forecasted Mexican meat consumption and imports is presented at the table cut level of disaggregation. Unlike previous studies, this study uses adult equivalence scales, a price imputation approach, a consistent censored demand system, and estimation techniques from stratified sampling. The results indicate that most Mexican consumption and imports of table cuts of meats grow at different rates. In addition, Mexico seems to be following the U.S. preferences for beef cuts, but it does not seem to be following the U.S. preferences for chicken cuts. The study may help U.S. and Canadian meat exporters in forecasting future exports to Mexico, conducting long-term meat investment decisions, or identifying trends in the consumption of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Forecast of Mexican meat consumption; Forecast of Mexican imports; U.S. meat exports to Mexico; Mexican meat demand elasticities; Meat analysis at the table cut level; Censored demand system; Two-step estimation procedure; Stratified sampling; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; International Relations/Trade; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51986
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Coffee Differentiation: Demand Analysis at Retail Level in the US Market AgEcon
Alamo, Carmen I.; Malaga, Jaime E..
Scanned data was used to estimate US coffee demand using an AIDS model. The estimated elasticities have the expected signs and magnitude. Differentiated coffees are complements for regular and unclassified while regular and unclassified coffees are substitutes. These results could be useful in designing marketing strategies by coffee suppliers.
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand; Coffee; Differentiation; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/119885
Registros recuperados: 25
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