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| Szoke, Szilvia; Nagy, Lajos; Kovacs, Sandor; Balogh, Peter. |
| Agricultural production is among the riskiest production activities. Similarly to other branches of agriculture in animal breeding the finished product is the result of complex procedures. The biological-technological procedure, the creation of the product is affected by an outstanding number of environmental factors which also cause uncertainties. In the North Great Plain Region of Hungary, sows, gilts and slaughter pigs are produced on a corporate farm. The reliable operation data of this company provide a stable basis for and estimating future costs and revenue and their distributions. Monte Carlo methods are one of the generally accepted tools for modeling risks. The significant independent variables, their ranges and probability distributions, and the... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Pig production; Computer simulation; Livestock Production/Industries; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
| Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53561 |
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| Nagy, Lajos. |
| This article has been made according to my dissertation in which I present some opportunity of risk analysis and risk management in the decision support of crop production. Plant production is one of the most hazardous agricultural enterprises. Among risk sources seasonal fluctuation of average yields plays an important role in the assessment of enterprises. Therefore, I analyzed the production risk of the produced crops in Hungary compared to the European Union’s, after that I took into consideration the production site’s circumstances as well. Decision-makers must possess such means, by which they can measure, oversee and manage the effects and consequences of risk. In crop production linear programming models can be used to determine the optimal crop... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Risk; Crop production; Decision support; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty. |
| Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49232 |
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| Balogh, Peter; Ertsey, Imre; Fenyves, Veronika; Nagy, Lajos. |
| In many ways, the Hungarian pork chain faces considerable disadvantages when compared to the situation in competing countries. In countries endowed with a modern meat chain, heavy concentration is the rule, but in Hungary decentralization still prevails, although thankfully the chain is not disintegrating even further. In our research we used the operation of co-operatives as a model in terms of a generalized network problem. The model allows the quantification of the number of pigs from given farms to slaughterhouses, the maximum sales revenue, the delivery threshold prices, and an analysis of the impact co-operative members exert on sales revenues. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Pork production; Integration; Network; Linear programming; Demand and Price Analysis; Farm Management; Livestock Production/Industries; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
| Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49192 |
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