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Registros recuperados: 27 | |
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Parton, Kevin A.. |
The paper sets out the agenda for reviewing models of decision making in the context of farmers’ use of seasonal climate forecasting. Such forecasts have been framed in terms of shifts in cumulative distribution functions of yields or gross margins. Typically they have been applied to choices about crop variety, crop type, time of planting or level of fertiliser application. Fundamental questions are: how do farmers conceptualise and make use of the information contained in seasonal climate forecasts? Do our models of decision making represent well the way in which these decisions are made? |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Decision making; Farmers; Seasonal climate forecasts; Conceptualisation; Review. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48150 |
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Parton, Kevin A.. |
A buffer fund scheme has been proposed as a means of stabilizing producer revenue in the Australian beef industry. In this paper the economic consequences of such a policy are evaluated and the conditions under which the scheme would be successful in achieving its principal aim are indicated. In addition to effects on the stability of producer revenue, consequences of the policy for total producer revenue and its distribution among producers are indicated. Finally, the effects on consumers, at home and abroad, and taxpayers are estimated. |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance. |
Ano: 1978 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22491 |
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Frost, Mark; Parton, Kevin A.. |
The Australian dollar is considered a commodity-based currency, with the high level of primary commodity exports in Australia’s trade balance given as an explanation. Key studies have concluded that Australia’s terms of trade are a primary driver of the real exchange rate based on a comparative advantage trade model. These studies have been undertaken at an aggregate level where changes in the terms of trade have been assumed as a given. Since the Australian economy was deregulated in the early 1980s, there have been dramatic changes in the structure of the economy. Australia’s trading activity has grown and now contributes more within the domestic economy. Similarly the structure and contribution of key imports and exports has also evolved. Furthermore... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/59735 |
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Wang, Dong; Parton, Kevin A.. |
With the rapid development of the Chinese dairy industry, various researchers have examined the industry from many perspectives related to supply and demand. One of the most important factors for this industry is the total number of dairy cows and it is this aspect that will be addressed in this paper. This paper examines how economic and biological factors influenced the size of the Chinese dairy herd population using an autoregressive distributed lag model and a dairy herd inventory model. The estimated results showed that the biological process was dominating the development of the Chinese dairy herd. The ratio of milk to corn price, as an economic variable, is another factor that had an impact. Beef price, which was found to be an influential variable... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Dairy herd; China; Cattle inventory model; Projection; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10115 |
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Marshall, Graham R.; Parton, Kevin A.; Hammer, G.L.. |
The value of a seasonal forecasting system based on phases of the Southern Oscillation was estimated for a representative dryland wheat grower in the vicinity of Goondiwindi. In particular the effects on this estimate of risk attitude and planting conditions were examined. A recursive stochastic programming approach was used to identify the grower's utility-maximising action set in the event of each of the climate patterns over the period 1894-1991 recurring in the imminent season. The approach was repeated with and without use of the forecasts. The choices examined were, at planting, nitrogen application rate and cultivar and, later in the season, choices of proceeding with or abandoning each wheat activity. The value of the forecasting system was... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty. |
Ano: 1996 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22368 |
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Crean, Jason; Parton, Kevin A.; Hayman, Peter; Mullen, John D.. |
More research is needed before we know the implications of climate change for Australian farms. Nevertheless given the information at hand, an assessment can be made of some early indicators. First, the severity of the recent drought was compared with earlier droughts. Second, the trend in rainfall was examined. Third, projections of climate change were reviewed to assess the likely course of climate variability, and hence provide a picture of the severity of future droughts. Although further research is warranted, the indications are that even if rainfall is no lower in future droughts, they may seem more severe because rising temperatures will tend to increase evaporation and reduce runoff. |
Tipo: Article |
Palavras-chave: Drought; Climate change; Climate variability; Farming; Farm Management. |
Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/121496 |
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Gong, Wendy; Parton, Kevin A.; Zhou, Zhang-Yue; Cox, Rodney J.. |
The livestock industry in China has undergone massive changes since the liberalisation of markets started in 1985. The beef sector is no exception to this transition with production and consumption increasing faster than all other meats in the last two decades. The number of cattle has nearly doubled since 1980 to be around 141.6 million in 2005 and beef production has increased at a much faster rate than the cattle inventory. As the third largest beef producing country in the world, China exports and imports beef cattle. The emerging Chinese market has generally been seen as an opportunity for the Australian red meat industry. However, given the rate of increase in output, China may also provide a threat. With this in mind, understanding the current beef... |
Tipo: Article |
Palavras-chave: Cattle industry; Opportunities or threats; China; Australia; Farm Management. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122519 |
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Edison, Andy Mulyana; Jie, Ferry; Parton, Kevin A.. |
Farmers’ supply responsiveness planting rice in Jambi Province was estimated using Meta- Profit analysis function. The objective of study is to analyze rice farmers’ supply response. Research was conducted in Jambi Province in the year of 2010. Result showed that farmers’ profit planting rice increased because its price increased. Furthermore, its share decreased when its labour wage increased. This implied to farmers to plant rice because rice was relatively more profitable than other plants. The result showed that farmers tended to pushed risk in planting decision. As expected that irrigation index was also the important significant factor. Following it found that its profit planting rice increased in wet season. This results were consistent with the... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/113736 |
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Jie, Ferry; Parton, Kevin A.; Cox, Rodney J.. |
This research focuses on an Australian agribusiness supply chain, the Australian Beef Supply Chain. The definition of the Australian Beef Supply Chain is the chain or sequence of all activities from the breeding property to the domestic or overseas consumers. The beef sector in Australia is undergoing rapid change because of globalisation, a highly competitive beef market (local and export), quicker production cycle and delivery times and consequently reduced inventories, a general speed-up of the rate of change in the business environment, the trend toward more outsourcing of activities, and the rapid development of IT. In this business environment, advanced supply chain systems have the potential to provide significant contributions to Australian beef... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10116 |
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Frost, Mark; Parton, Kevin A.. |
The Australian dollar is considered primarily a commodity-based currency. The high level of commodity-based exports in Australia’s trade balance is given as an explanation. Accordingly changes in world commodity prices should bring commensurate changes in the value of the Australian dollar, such that changes in world commodity prices are only partially transmitted to the Australian economy and local farm-gate prices. If this relationship holds, then local farm-gate prices should be significantly less volatile than their respective world price. Variances in local prices would be due to local factors (e.g. variances in local production) rather than variances in the world price and international factors. This paper examines the farm-gate prices of Australia’s... |
Tipo: Article |
Palavras-chave: Farm economics; Farm business management; Agricultural risk management; Commodity prices; Farm Management. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/123139 |
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Kemp, David R.; Girdwood, John; Parton, Kevin A.; Charry, Al A.. |
Farms and farming are major contributors to the world economy, directly responsible for a large part of GDP. These achievements are not trivial and imply that farms are being managed in reasonably effective ways, else agricultural industries would not be sustained. However the study of Farm Management within Australia has been limited over recent decades. Is it contributing to better farm management or merely cataloguing what has happened? Is it leading or following? During that time there has been an increasing interest in managing farms more sustainably, with emphasis in issues beyond short-term profitability to encompassing rural communities, ecosystems, biodiversity, ethics of technology and politics. The complexity of management has increased. This... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Farm Management. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24351 |
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Parton, Kevin A.. |
A decision theoretic approach to agricultural policy decision making is examined to discover whether a utility function of an Australian Wool Corporation decision maker can be established and, if so, whether this can be used to improve the policy analysing performance of an agricultural sector linear programming model. After discussing the theoretical requirements of the utility function elicitation and the elicitation procedures, the characteristics of the resulting functions are examined. A means for its inclusion in a linear programming framework is described and some analysis of policy is carried out. The general conclusions are that the relevance of the agricultural sector analysis is enhanced by the use of such a utility function. |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy. |
Ano: 1979 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22971 |
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Charry, Al A.; Cox, Rodney J.; Parton, Kevin A.; Crockett, Judith; Johnson, Sue; Bone, Zelma; Whiteley, Wal. |
This paper summarises the outcomes of a National Workshop in Farm Management, 5-6 December 2002, organised by the University of Sydney, Faculty of Rural Management, Orange. At this Workshop leading farmers, industry leaders, corporate representatives, academics, researchers and extension officers explored the future of farm management (education, research and consultancy) in Australia. Major outcomes were that farm management practice is proceeding informally to undertake decisions supporting socially and ecologically friendly, sustainable commercial production agriculture. However the risks of lack of integration, a reductionist approach to only on-farm practice, stagnation of academic programs to respond to leading edge industry initiatives, as well as... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Farm Management. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24358 |
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Charry, Al A.; Parton, Kevin A.; Murray-Prior, Roy B.; Crockett, Judith; Gardner, M.W.; Johnson, Sue; Livingstone, S.. |
Under the sponsorship of the University of Sydney, on 5-6th December 2002 the future of farm management in Australia was discussed. The fundamental conclusion achieved by key primary industry representatives, corporate executives, academics, consultants and researchers is that farm management will have a more significant role to play in the future than previously in servicing the primary sector. The idea of farm management as a profession was proposed. Its basis would be business management supported by farming systems and technology, and using an holistic approach to action (i.e. finance, people and environment). The new profession of Farm Business Management would seek to influence education, research, consultancy and extension in Australia. Interested... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Institutional and Behavioral Economics. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24390 |
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Registros recuperados: 27 | |
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