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| Registros recuperados: 23 | |
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| Kastens, Terry L.; Schroeder, Ted C.; Plain, Ronald L.. |
| This study evaluates agricultural forecasting accuracy in an analysis of responses to the Annual Outlook Survey conducted by the American Agricultural Economics Association from 1983 through 1995. Representative extension and composite, production, and price forecasts for several commodities are constructed from the survey data. These forecasts are compared to each other and to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and futures-based forecasts. Relationships between forecast features and accuracy are examined. Generally, extension forecasts are more accurate than USDA forecasts for livestock series, but not more accurate for crops. Composite forecasts are often more accurate than either extension or USDA forecasts. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession. |
| Ano: 1998 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31180 |
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| Parcell, Joseph L.; Mintert, James R.; Plain, Ronald L.. |
| An inverse live-hog model was estimated to analyze whether there has been a recent increase in the magnitude of live-hog, own-quantity demand flexibility. Estimating the impact of processing capacity-utilization rate changes on live-hog prices was a second objective of this research. Results indicate that live hog prices have become more responsive to changes in hog slaughter, slaughter weight, cold storage stocks, and changes in the processing capacity-utilization rate. Finally, model results indicate that the sharp increase in processing capacity-utilization rates, the increase in average dressed weight, and the increase in hog slaughter all had a negative effect on the live-hog prices. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Capacity utilization; Live hog demand; Structural change; Q11; Q12; Q13; D40. |
| Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43476 |
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| Parcell, Joseph L.; Mintert, James R.; Plain, Ronald L.. |
| An inverse live hog demand model was estimated to analyze claims that the live hog own quantity demand flexibility's magnitude has increased in recent years. A second objective of this research was to estimate the impact changes in processing capacity utilization rates have on live hog prices. Iowa - Southern Minnesota barrow and gilt price was modeled as a function of average daily hog slaughter, a processing capacity utilization ratio, an index of processing and marketing costs, a retail demand shift index, pork cold storage stocks, and monthly binary variables. Results indicate that in recent years live hog prices have become more responsive to changes in hog slaughter. Additionally, changes in processing capacity utilization rates, at times, also have... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Live Hog Demand; Structural Change; Capacity Utilization; Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2000 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18939 |
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| Parcell, Joseph L.; Mintert, James R.; Plain, Ronald L.. |
| An inverse live hog demand model was estimated to analyze claims that the live hog own quantity demand flexibility's magnitude has increased in recent years. A second objective of this research was to estimate the impact changes in processing capacity utilization rates have on live hog prices. Results indicate that in recent years live hog prices have become more responsive to changes in hog slaughter, slaughter weight, and cold storage stocks. Additionally, changes in processing capacity utilization rates, at times, also have a relatively large impact on live hog prices. Finally, when the large live hog price decline that occurred during the fall of 1998 is examined, model results indicate that the sharp increase in processor's capacity utilization... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26042 |
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| Registros recuperados: 23 | |
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