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Registros recuperados: 57 | |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Raulston, J. Marc; Knapek, George M.. |
The President has called for a $6.96 billion savings in expenditures to agriculture over a five year period. A budget reconciliation is required to achieve these targeted savings from farm bill authorized expenditures. This study uses optimal control theory and farm level simulation to quantify the impacts on U.S. crop producers of reducing federal spending for agricultural income supports. Results indicate that the least harmful method for the Agricultural Committees to achieve budget savings of $3 billion is to reduce loan rates. At higher levels of net budget savings, some risk adverse decision makers would prefer that the Committees reduce target prices. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19540 |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Anderson, David P.; Sartwelle, James D., III; Schwart, Robert B., Jr.; Schumann, Keith D.; Feldman, Paul A.; Raulston, J. Marc; Klose, Steven L.. |
The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2001-2007 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: - Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms. - Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) January 2003 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk faced by farmers for prices and... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42699 |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.. |
The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2005-2012 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: • Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms, and • Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) January 2007 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk faced by farmers for prices... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42086 |
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Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Herbst, Brian K.; Anderson, David P.; Sartwelle, James D., III; Raulston, J. Marc; Feldman, Paul A.; Schumann, Keith D.; Klose, Steven L.; Schwart, Robert B., Jr.; Zimmel, Peter. |
The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2001-2008 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming and ranching operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: - Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms. - Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) January 2004 Baseline. The primary objective of the analysis is to determine the farms’ economic viability by... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42683 |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Bryant, Henry L.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 (2002 Farm Bill) on representative crop, dairy, and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2007-2012 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate agricultural operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: • Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms. • Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) December 2007 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
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Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37977 |
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Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
Under the December 2006 Baseline, 25 of the 65 crop farms are considered in good liquidity condition (less than a 25 percent chance of negative ending cash in 2011). Five crop farms have between a 25 percent and a 50 percent likelihood of negative ending cash. The remaining 35 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent chance of negative ending cash. Additionally, 33 of the 65 crop farms are considered in good equity position (less than a 25 percent chance of decreasing real net worth during the study period). Eight crop farms have between a 25 percent and 50 percent likelihood of losing real net worth, and 24 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent probability of decreasing real net worth. The following discussion provides an overall evaluation by... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42089 |
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Outlaw, Joe L.; Raulston, J. Marc; Richardson, James W.; Sartwelle, James D., III; Herbst, Brian K.. |
The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 are projected for representative Texas cotton farms. The analysis was conducted over the 2001-2008 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming operations in Texas’ major cotton production regions came from two sources: - Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative cotton farms. - Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) August 2004 Baseline. The primary objective of the analysis is to determine cotton farms’ economic viability by region through 2008, assuming provisions of the 2002... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42674 |
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Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Raulston, J. Marc; Knapek, George M.; Herbst, Brian K.. |
The Food & Agriculture Risk Management for the 21st Century Act (FARM 21) formally introduced June 13th by U.S. Representatives Ron Kind (D-WI), Jeff Flake (R-AZ), Joe Crowley (D-NY), and David Reichert (R-WA), would significantly change most of U.S. agricultural policy. The proposed changes are wide ranging from commodity programs to energy, conservation, and food and nutrition programs. Given the breadth of the changes, it is important to have some indication of the impacts on producers if this proposal were to be adopted. While FARM 21 has a broad set of priorities that support would be directed to, this report focuses on the proposed changes to the producer safety net programs contained in Title I -- direct payments (DPs), counter-cyclical payments... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37987 |
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Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
Under the January 2007 Baseline, 20 of the 64 crop farms are considered in good liquidity condition (less than a 25 percent chance of negative ending cash in 2012). Five crop farms have between a 25 percent and a 50 percent likelihood of negative ending cash. The remaining 39 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent chance of negative ending cash. Additionally, 30 of the 64 crop farms are considered in good equity position (less than a 25 percent chance of decreasing real net worth during the study period). Nine crop farms have between a 25 percent and 50 percent likelihood of losing real net worth, and 25 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent probability of decreasing real net worth. The following discussion provides an overall evaluation by... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42088 |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc. |
The majority of the cotton farms are in poor overall financial condition under the August 2006 Baseline. Drought conditions this year will deplete cash built from more favorable yields in 2004 and 2005 in many cases. In addition, the poor financial performance of the farms is attributed in part to the large increase in input prices. Fuel costs, previously projected to decrease modestly in 2005 and 2006, are now more accurately depicted as significant increases, building further on the large increases experienced in 2003 and 2004. The increase in cost is not limited to fuel expense for trucks, equipment, and irrigation motors, but includes the cost of nitrogen fertilizer and ag-related services which are closely linked to energy prices. Many cotton... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42097 |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Raulston, J. Marc. |
While projected cattle prices are considered to be the primary determinant of the financial viability of the representative ranches, the prices of feed crops and bi-products can also have an impact. The ranches produce hay and are often net buyers or net sellers. At least two of the ranches retain ownership through the backgrounding stage and feed some concentrates. The smaller Missouri ranch produces a number of grain and oilseed crops, and the smaller Texas ranch also raises broilers. Additionally, crop prices have an impact on fed cattle returns, which impacts feeder cattle prices. Projected livestock prices for FAPRI’s August 2007 Baseline are presented in Table 1. In general, beef cattle prices are projected to decline each year from 2008 though 2012,... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37979 |
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Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 (2002 Farm Bill) on representative crop, dairy, and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2007-2012 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate agricultural operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: 1) Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms. 2) Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) August 2007 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37983 |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc. |
Projected crop prices for FAPRI’s August 2007 Baseline are summarized in Table 1. In general, crop price projections tend to be higher than they were in recent baselines. Soybean and rice price projections increased most substantially. Individual crop prices are projected to move as follows: • Corn prices start at $3.10/bu in 2007, reach a high of $3.38/bu in 2008, and decline to $3.25/bu by 2012. • Wheat prices spike to $5.11/bu in 2007, and return to a range of $4.19/bu to $4.32/bu for the remainder of the planning horizon. • Cotton prices are now expected to peak at $0.6116/lb in 2009, and then stay above $0.5900/lb through 2012. • Rice prices are expected to remain above $9.00/cwt throughout the planning horizon, peaking at $9.90/cwt in 2007. • Sorghum... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37980 |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Raulston, J. Marc; Anderson, David P.; Sartwelle, James D., III; Herbst, Brian K.; Feldman, Paul A.; Schumann, Keith D.; Klose, Steven L.; Schwart, Robert B., Jr.; Zimmel, Peter. |
The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2001-2007 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming and ranching operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: - Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms. - Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) August 2003 Baseline. The primary objective of the analysis is to determine the farms’ economic viability by... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42704 |
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Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Raulston, J. Marc. |
The Administration has proposed revising the AGI means test for eligibility to farm program payments. The 2002 farm bill excludes producers from farm program payments (CCP, DP, and MLG/LDP) if their average adjusted gross income (AGI) for three preceding years exceeds $2.5 million and less than 75% of their AGI comes from farming, ranching or forestry operations. The revised means test would reduce the AGI cut-off to $200,000 and repeal the 75% exclusion. The purpose of this report is to estimate the impacts of the AGI proposal on average annual government payments and real net worth in 2014 for representative crop farms. The AFPC maintains a data base of 64 representative commercial family farms in major production regions across the United States. The... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42087 |
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Registros recuperados: 57 | |
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