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The Initial Impact of WTO Membership on China's Trade Performance in Primary Agricultural And Processed Food Products AgEcon
Xue, Liu; Revell, Brian J.; Zetian, Fu.
There has been much analysis of the potential impact of China's membership of the WTO on world trade in agricultural products but few studies of the actual effects thus far on China's trade performance. This paper compares changes in the competitiveness of China's trade in primary agricultural food and processed food products over the period 1998 to 2003 through a range of comparative advantage measures, the preferred being Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage. It also decomposes changes in China's export market share of these products over the period into structural and performance components and identifies where shifts in the global regional distribution of its exports have contributed to changes in its overall market share.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: China; Agricultural; Processed foods; Exports; Competitiveness; International Relations/Trade; Q17; O13.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25595
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MODELING THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASED IMPORTATION OF FRESH PRODUCE FROM EMERGING SUPPLY SOURCES TO THE UK AgEcon
Mwebaze, Paul; Monaghan, J.; Revell, Brian J.; Hare, M.; MacLeod, Alan; Spence, N..
The risk of non-indigenous pests entering the UK via international trade in fresh produce is increasing. Suppliers of fresh produce to UK and EU multiple retailers are utilising new procurement areas for fresh produce importation to reduce their costs of production. The objective of this paper is to identify current and future supply sources for UK fresh produce importers and examine the extent to which they provide invasion pathways. The hypothesis that increased importation of fresh produce from new sources outside the EU could increase the risks of non-indigenous pests is tested in a bio-economic model in which the number of species detections per unit of imports is a function of the number of inspections per unit of imports and country of origin, while...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Quarantine pests; Pathways; Trade.; Food Security and Poverty; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43963
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MEAT DEMAND IN THE UK: A DIFFERENTIAL APPROACH AgEcon
Fousekis, Panos; Revell, Brian J..
A differential approach is employed to analyze demand for meat in the United Kingdom during 1989-99. Differential demand systems with fixed price effects (Rotterdam and CBS) better explain consumers’ retail purchase allocation decisions for beef, lamb, pork, bacon and poultry compared with models containing variable price effects (NBR and differential AIDS). The real expenditures and the Hicksian demand elasticities are generally found to be quite different from earlier studies using AIDS models. A quality change index of meat consumption is constructed from the estimated CBS model estimation results and decomposed into real expenditure, substitution, trend, seasonal and residual effects.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Meat demand; Differential approach; Model selection; UK; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15401
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China: A Tiger only in the East or a World Player in High Quality Fresh Produce Exports? AgEcon
Revell, Brian J.; Xue, Liu.
This paper examines patterns of recent change in China’s international export trade in high quality fresh-vegetables between 2002 and 2005 since its WTO membership and some of the underlying determinants that will determine its future export opportunities. Concepts of product quality are first reviewed and the key characteristics of China’s international trade in fresh produce are outlined based on a detailed analysis from the UN Comtrade international trade data at the 2, 4 digit and finally 6 digit levels. High quality fresh and chilled vegetables are identified through their average unit export values. In 2005, China was the 4th largest exporter of vegetables in the world with a 9.8 percent share of world trade, and almost a 6 percent share in fresh and...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: China; Vegetables; International trade.; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7886
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Box-Jenkins Forecasting Models: Comment AgEcon
Revell, Brian J..
Two recent papers in this Review (Vol 47, No.2, August 1979) set out to evaluate alternative forecasting techniques applied in the Australian beef market. The two papers: "Forecasting NSW Beef Production: An Evaluation of Alternative Techniques," by C. Gellatly, and "Comparing the Box-Jenkins and Econometric Techniques for Forecasting Beef Prices" by I.J. Bourke both give rise for some concern at the choice of Box-Jenkins models which were estimated. In consequence the subsequent comparative model evaluations may reflect rather more poorly on the technique than they otherwise might. Although my comments have some features common to both papers, it will be appropriate to deal with each individually .
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1981 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12248
Registros recuperados: 5
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