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The transmission dynamics of syphilis and the CDC’s elimination plan Nature Precedings
Romulus Breban; Virginie Supervie; Justin Okano; Raffaele Vardavas; Sally Blower.
The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) is currently attempting to eliminate syphilis in the United States (US); to ensure that their control strategies will be effective it is important to understand the transmission dynamics of syphilis. Epidemics of certain infectious diseases (e.g., influenza) can rise and fall with a well-defined periodicity; this cycling behavior is important because it can have significant implications for the design and effectiveness of control strategies. Here we discuss the methodology that has been used to identify epidemic cycles in longitudinal data sets, and the endogenous and exogenous mechanisms that generate cycling. We then examine the recently proposed hypothesis that syphilis epidemics cycle. This hypothesis was proposed...
Tipo: Manuscript Palavras-chave: Ecology.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://precedings.nature.com/documents/1373/version/1
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