|
Gomez-Limon, Jose Antonio; Gomez-Ramos, Almudena; Sanchez, G.. |
The objective of this paper is to carry out a foresight analysis of the agricultural sector in Castilla y León (Spain) for 2020. The methodology used to build the various scenarios is prospective analysis. We first performed a structural analysis in order to identify the key driving forces that characterize the evolution of the sector in this region (agricultural production, demand for agricultural products and institutional framework). We then carried out a morphological analysis that generated a range of “partial scenarios” from which we finally built four “global scenarios”. These last scenarios characterize the possible trends in the variables of change previously identified. Lastly, the common key parameters of each global scenario were quantified by... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Prospective analysis; Scenario building; CAP; Agricultural and Food Policy. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44054 |