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Effect of Shallow Slip Amplification Uncertainty on Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis in Subduction Zones: Use of Long-Term Balanced Stochastic Slip Models ArchiMer
Scala, A.; Lorito, S.; Romano, F.; Murphy, Shane; Selva, J.; Basili, R.; Babeyko, A.; Herrero, A.; Hoechner, A.; Lovholt, F.; Maesano, F. E.; Perfetti, P.; Tiberti, M. M.; Tonini, R.; Volpe, M.; Davies, G.; Festa, G.; Power, W.; Piatanesi, A.; Cirella, A..
The complexity of coseismic slip distributions influences the tsunami hazard posed by local and, to a certain extent, distant tsunami sources. Large slip concentrated in shallow patches was observed in recent tsunamigenic earthquakes, possibly due to dynamic amplification near the free surface, variable frictional conditions or other factors. We propose a method for incorporating enhanced shallow slip for subduction earthquakes while preventing systematic slip excess at shallow depths over one or more seismic cycles. The method uses the classic k(-2) stochastic slip distributions, augmented by shallow slip amplification. It is necessary for deep events with lower slip to occur more often than shallow ones with amplified slip to balance the long-term...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Tsunamis; Seismic-probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment; Tsunami source models; Stochastic seismic slip distributions.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00619/73097/72233.pdf
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Tsunamigenic earthquake simulations using experimentally derived friction laws ArchiMer
Murphy, Shane; Di Toro, G.; Romano, F.; Scala, A.; Lorito, S.; Spagnuolo, E.; Aretusini, S.; Festa, G.; Piatanesi, A.; Nielsen, S..
Seismological, tsunami and geodetic observations have shown that subduction zones are complex systems where the properties of earthquake rupture vary with depth as a result of different pre-stress and frictional conditions. A wealth of earthquakes of different sizes and different source features (e.g. rupture duration) can be generated in subduction zones, including tsunami earthquakes, some of which can produce extreme tsunamigenic events. Here, we offer a geological perspective principally accounting for depth-dependent frictional conditions, while adopting a simplified distribution of on-fault tectonic pre-stress. We combine a lithology-controlled, depth-dependent experimental friction law with 2D elastodynamic rupture simulations for a Tohoku-like...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Subduction zone; Megathrust; Dynamic rupture; Rock physics experiments; Tsunami earthquake.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00425/53625/54546.pdf
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