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| Schlenker, Wolfram; Hanemann, W. Michael; Fisher, Anthony C.. |
| We link farmland values to climatic, soil, and socioeconomic variables for counties east of the 100th meridian, the historic boundary of agriculture not primarily dependent on irrigation. Degree days, a non-linear transformation of the climatic variables suggested by agronomic experiments as more relevant to crop yield gives an improved fit and increased robustness. Estimated coefficients are consistent with the experimental results. The model is employed to estimate the potential impacts on farmland values for a range of recent warming scenarios. The predictions are very robust and more than 75% of the counties in our sample show a statistically significant effect, ranging from moderate gains to large losses, with losses in the aggregate that can become... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use; Q1; Q2; C5. |
| Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25094 |
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| Brozovic, Nicholas; Schlenker, Wolfram. |
| Many natural systems have the potential to switch between alternative dynamic behaviors. We consider a system with two distinct equations of motion that are separated by a threshold value of the state variable. We show that utility maximization will give a decision making rule that is consistent with ecosystem-based management objectives that aim to reduce the probability that the system crosses the threshold. Moreover, we find that increasing uncertainty (both uncertainty embedded in the natural system and uncertainty of the decision maker about the location of the threshold) can lead to nonmonotonic changes in precaution. Although small increases in uncertainty may at first increase precaution, large enough increases in uncertainty will lead to a... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9886 |
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| Schlenker, Wolfram; Hanemann, W. Michael; Fisher, Anthony C.. |
| We link farmland values to climatic, soil, and socioeconomic variables for counties east of the 100th meridian, the historic boundary of agriculture not primarily dependent on irrigation. Degree days, a non-linear transformation of the climatic variables suggested by agronomic experiments as more relevant to crop yield gives an improved fit and increased robustness. Estimated coefficients are consistent with the experimental results. The model is employed to estimate the potential impacts on farmland values for a range of recent warming scenarios. The predictions are very robust and more than 75% of the counties in our sample show a statistically significant effect, ranging from moderate gains to large losses, with losses in the aggregate that can become... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use. |
| Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19222 |
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