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| Scrieciu, Silviu Serban; Blake, Adam. |
| Applied general equilibrium modelling represents a powerful tool for assessing future likely economic changes due to upcoming or hypothesised policy shocks such as those brought about by EU enlargement. It entails the main advantage of considering the complex simultaneous linkages, interactions and feedback effects between various sectors, institutions and factor resources within an economy, as well as the inter- and intra-industry trade links with other economies across the globe. This technical paper develops a general equilibrium model applied to Romania (GEMAR) with an emphasis on the agricultural and food processing activities. A simple simulation example is then given for illustrative purposes. More extensive use of GEMAR will be made in other... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Political Economy. |
| Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30544 |
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| Scrieciu, Silviu Serban; Blake, Adam. |
| Applied general equilibrium modelling represents a powerful tool for assessing future likely economic changes due to upcoming or hypothesised policy shocks such as those brought about by EU enlargement. It entails the main advantage of considering the complex simultaneous linkages, interactions and feedback effects between various sectors, institutions and factor resources within an economy, as well as the inter- and intra-industry trade links with other economies across the globe. This technical paper develops a general equilibrium model applied to Romania (GEMAR) with an emphasis on the agricultural and food processing activities. A simple simulation example is then given for illustrative purposes. More extensive use of GEMAR will be made in other... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Applied General Equilibrium Modelling; Romania; Agriculture; D58; O520; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30585 |
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| Scrieciu, Silviu Serban. |
| Joining the European Union club implies, among many other policy changes, full integration of Romania's economy into EU's customs union. This is expected to have significant implications for domestic farmers and food processors. The paper constructs a single-country Applied General Equilibrium (AGE) model to investigate the impact of tariff border adjustments on changes in relative prices, production and trade patterns associated with fifteen local agro-food activities. Moreover, the modelling work identifies those agro-food sectors that have the potential to benefit the most from EU enlargement in terms of output effects given that Romanian producers are capable of fully responding to the incentives provided with integration. These mainly include (bovine)... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: EU enlargement; Customs union; Agriculture; Romania; AGE modelling; Political Economy; D58; F15; O13. |
| Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30583 |
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| Scrieciu, Silviu Serban. |
| The paper investigates the complex system of causes affecting tropical deforestation at a worldwide level. There is no generally accepted theory in the deforestation literature to indicate which variables should be included in a model of deforestation at an aggregate global level. The paper begins, therefore, by presenting an analytical structure based on formal farm household economic modelling literature. The empirical findings derived from a global regression model tend to confirm the profit maximising market approach to deforestation, i.e. policy and structural variables at the macro-level that stimulate agricultural production provide farmers with incentives to deforest and expand their arable land areas. However, subsequent statistical tests suggest... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Global tropical deforestation; Farm household models; Environmental Economics and Policy; C23; Q23. |
| Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30549 |
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| Scrieciu, Silviu Serban. |
| Join the European Union club implies, among many other policy changes, full integration of Romania's expected to have significant implications for domestic farmers and food processors. The paper constructs a single-country Applied General Equilibrium (AGE) model to investigate the impact of tariff border adjustments on changes in relative prices, production and trade patterns associated with fifteen local agro-food activities. Moreover, the modeling work identifies those agro-food sectors that have the potential to benefit the most from EU enlargement in terms of output effects given that Romanian producers are capable of fully responding to the incentives provided with integration. These mainly include (bovine) live animals and meat products, sugar and... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: EU enlargement; Customs union; Agriculture; Romania; AGE modelling; Political Economy; D58; F15; 013. |
| Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30543 |
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| Scrieciu, Silviu Serban. |
| Computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling represents a powerful tool for hypothesising possible sustainability outcomes that might be triggered with the implementation of policy proposals. Nevertheless, CGE modelling is based on several tight general equilibrium and neoclassical micro-economic theoretical assumptions that make their application to the assessment of all three pillars of sustainability questionable. Although some of these assumptions have been relaxed in recent and more advanced CGE models, further research needs to be undertaken in order to bring model specifications closer to realistic behavioural relationships. CGE models also tend to focus on alternative equilibrium outcomes and rarely deal with the adjustment process or regulation... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30586 |
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