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Registros recuperados: 31
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Nonlinearities in the US corn-ethanol-oil price system AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Zilberman, David; Gil, Jose Maria; Goodwin, Barry K..
We use a smooth transition vector error correction model to assess price relationships within the US ethanol industry. Daily ethanol, corn and oil futures prices observed from mid-2005 to mid-2007 are used in the analysis. Results indicate the existence of an equilibrium relationship between ethanol, corn and oil prices. However, only ethanol prices adjust, in a non-linear fashion, to deviations from this long-run parity. Generalized impulse response functions indicate that a shock to both oil and corn prices causes a change in ethanol prices of the same sign. Ethanol responses usually reach a peak after about 10 days of the initial shock and fade away within 35 days.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Biofuels; United States; Cointegration; Threshold; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6512
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REPLACEMENT OF PRICE SUPPORT MEASURES BY DIRECT PAYMENTS IN AGRICULTURAL POLICIES: DOES THIS BENEFIT THE ENVIRONMENT? THE EFFECTS OF THE POST-1992 CAP ON PEST CONTROL IN THE E.U. AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Zilberman, David; Goodwin, Barry K.; Hyvonen, Keijo.
The objective of this research is to determine the contribution of recent agricultural policy reforms in the E.U. on the use of crop protection products. Specifically, we concentrate on the 1992 CAP reforms. Our theoretical model adopts the multi-output generalization of the Lichtenberg-Zilberman damage control technology model developed by Chambers and Lichtenberg. In the empirical application, farm-level data for a sample of French farms are utilized. Results suggest that price effects on the usage of crop protection products are always more elastic than the compensatory payment effects. This result indicates that a policy reform consisting of a reduction in price-support measures in favor of direct payments to farmers, such as the 1992 CAP reform,...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20043
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Are The Spanish Citrus Farms Efficient? AgEcon
Lambarraa, Fatima; Gil, Jose Maria; Serra, Teresa.
Spain occupies the first position in the European and Mediterranean rankings of citrus production and trade. In our analysis we assess the technical efficiency with which this sector is operating. The main objective of this study is to analyze productivity and technical efficiency of Spanish citrus sector through citrus farms with high orange production. A stochastic frontier production model is estimated in which the technical inefficiency effects are defined by the time-varying inefficiency model. A primal approach is used to decompose Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth into its various components. Results indicate improvement in efficiency scores of Spanish citrus farms along the period studied. Allocative efficiencies, technical efficiency change,...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Productivity Analysis.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9393
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Price volatility in ethanol markets AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Zilberman, David.
Our paper looks at how price volatility in the Brazilian ethanol industry changes over time and across markets. Demand and supply forces in the energy and food markets are likely to ensure that crude oil, ethanol and feedstock prices co-move in the long-run. Hence, when assessing price volatility changes and spillovers in the ethanol industry, one should also pay attention to the notion of cointegration. Until recently, the methods proposed to estimate cointegration relationships, have not explicitly considered time varying volatility in the data. Seo (2007) suggests an estimator of the cointegration vector that explicitly models conditional heteroskedasticity. More specifically, he proposes a maximum likelihood estimator that estimates the error...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Volatility; Ethanol; Cointegration; Demand and Price Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Q11; C32.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49940
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Price volatility in ethanol markets AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Zilberman, David.
Our paper looks at how price volatility in the Brazilian ethanol industry changes over time and across markets by using a new methodological approach suggested by Seo (2007). The main advantage of Seo’s proposal over previously existing methods is that it allows to jointly estimate the cointegration relationship between the price series investigated and the multivariate GARCH process. Our results suggest that crude oil prices not only influence ethanol price levels, but also their volatility. Increased volatility in crude oil markets results in increased volatility in ethanol markets. Ethanol prices, on the other hand, influence sugar price levels and an increase in their volatility levels also impacts, though less strongly, on sugar markets.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Volatility; Ethanol; GARCH; Cointegration; Demand and Price Analysis; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Q11; C32.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49188
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Investment rigidity and policy measures AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Stefanou, Spiro E.; Gil, Jose Maria; Featherstone, Allen M..
This paper assesses the impacts of decoupled government transfers on production decisions of a sample of Kansas farms observed from 1996 to 2001. Our model allows for risk, risk attitudes and the intertemporal investment decisions. We also allow for different adjustments of the decision variables depending on the predominant economic conditions. The theoretical model is estimated using the threshold regression methods proposed by Hansen (1999). Threshold effects are allowed to characterize the behavior of output supply and quasi-fixed and variable input demand.. The econometric results support the existence of three regimes characterized by different economic behavior. Our analysis suggests that in a dynamic setting with risk and non-risk neutral economic...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Investment; Decoupling; Threshold Behaviour; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6511
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Differential Uncertainties and Risk Attitudes between Conventional and Organic Producers: The Case of Spanish COP Farmers AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Zilberman, David; Gil, Jose Maria.
The growing importance of economic factors in farmers’ decision to go organic has raised interest in characterizing the economic behavior of organic versus conventional farms. Published analyses so far have not considered differential uncertainties and farmers’ risk preferences between conventional and organic practices when comparing these techniques. Our article attempts to assess this issue. We use a model of farmer decision under risk to analyze the differential values between Spanish COP organic and conventional farms and to assess the incentives for adoption of organic practices. Results show that organic and conventional farms do have different abilities to control production risk as well as different risk preferences. Organic price premiums and...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9696
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Technical efficiency analysis and decomposition of productivity growth of Spanish olive farms AgEcon
Lambarraa, Fatima; Serra, Teresa; Gil Roig, Jose Maria.
The concept of technical efficiency is critical to measuring the firm performance, determining the degree of innovative technology adoption and the overall production efficiency. Traditionally, technical efficiency has been measured as the ratio of observed output to maximum feasible output. Stochastic frontier models have been widely utilized to assess this issue. Our research evaluates technical efficiencies in the Spanish olive sector. Specifically, the main objective of this study is to estimate a stochastic frontier production model by using a farm- level panel of data. The non- negative technical efficiency effects are assumed to be a function of firm- specific variables. A sample of Spanish farms observed from 1999 to 2002 is obtained from the FADN...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Productivity Analysis.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10071
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Price transmission in the Spanish bovine sector: the BSE effect AgEcon
Hassouneh, Islam; Serra, Teresa; Gil, Jose Maria.
A regime-switching vector error correction model is applied to monthly price data to assess the impact of BSE outbreaks on price relationships and patterns of transmission among farm and retail markets for bovine in Spain. To evaluate the degree to which price transmission is affected by BSE food scares, a BSE food scare index is developed and used to determine regime-switching. Results suggest that BSE scares affect beef producers and retailers differently. Consumer prices are found to be weakly exogenous and not found to react to BSE scares, while producer prices conversely adjusted. The magnitude of the adjustment is found to depend on the magnitude of the BSE scare.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: BSE crisis; Price transmission; Regime-switching; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Political Economy; Production Economics; C22; C32.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50121
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Decoupling farm policies: how does this affect production? AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Zilberman, David; Goodwin, Barry K.; Featherstone, Allen M..
This paper studies the extent to which decoupled income support measures in agriculture can have production implications both at the extensive and intensive margins. We develop a theoretical framework that analyzes production responses of agricultural producers to apparently decoupled payments, by explicitly considering risk attitudes and uncertainty. We use farm-level data collected in Kansas to estimate the model. Technology and risk preference parameters are jointly estimated. Results show that though lump sum payments are not fully decoupled in the presence of risk and uncertainty, their effects on agricultural production are likely to be of a very small magnitude.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19194
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The impact of the CAP reforms on the efficiency of the COP sector in Spain AgEcon
Lambarraa, Fatima; Stefanou, Spiro E.; Serra, Teresa; Gil, Jose Maria.
The arable crop sector (COP) occupies a prominent position within the European Union’s agricultural sector. Within Spain, the COP sector accounts for almost a third of total Agricultural Guidance and Guarantee Fund expenses, and a half of the utilised agricultural area. The COP sector is not only relevant because of its physical and economic magnitude, but also because of the political attention it receives. The Common Agricultural Policy reforms that occurred during the 1990s paid special attention to this sector. This paper aims at determining the impacts of Agenda 2000 on a sample of Spanish COP farmers’ production decisions by using an output-oriented stochastic distance function. The distance function allows assessing the reform-motivated changes on...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agenda 2000; Efficiency; Spanish COP sector; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44408
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Effects of policy instruments on farm investments and production decisions in the Spanish cop sector AgEcon
Kallas, Zein; Gil, Jose Maria; Serra, Teresa.
Our paper asses the impacts of the partially decoupled (PD) scheme, implemented during the 1990s and first half of the 2000s in the framework of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), on on-farm investment as well as on other production decisions. The Spanish COP sector was taken as a case study due to its economic and political relevance. The empirical analysis is applied on farm-level data from the Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN), observed from 2000 to 2004, based on. We use a reduced-form application of the dual model of investment under uncertainty and a system of censored and non censored equations is estimated. PD payments are found to increase short-run production and to generate a statically significant increase in the investment in farm...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Farm investments; Common Agricultural Policy; Decoupling; Production.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58036
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Farmer’s objectives as determinant factors of organic farming adoption AgEcon
Kallas, Zein; Serra, Teresa; Gil, Jose Maria.
Our paper seeks to assess the decision to adopt organic farming practices. More specifically, we use Duration Analysis (DA) to determine why farmers adopt organic farming and the timing of adoption. We extend previous studies by including farmers’ objectives, risk preferences and agricultural policies as covariates in the DA model. The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used as a multi-criteria decision-making methodology to measure farmers’ objectives. The empirical analysis uses farm-level data collected through a questionnaire to a sample of vineyard holdings in the Spanish region of Catalonia. Farmers’ objectives are found to influence the conversion decision. Moreover, farmers who are not risk averse are more prone to adopt organic farming. Results...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Organic farming adoption; Duration Analysis; Analytical Hierarchy Process; Farmers’ objectives.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58035
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MODELING CHANGES IN THE U.S. DEMAND FOR CROP INSURANCE DURING THE 1990S AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Goodwin, Barry K.; Featherstone, Allen M..
The crop insurance purchase decision for a group of Kansas farmers is analyzed using data from 1990s—a period that experienced many changes in the federal crop insurance program. Farm-level data are used. Results indicate a reduction in the elasticity of the demand for crop insurance with respect to premium rates by the end of the decade. This corresponded with a considerable increase in government subsidies by the end of the 1990s. This may also reflect the attractiveness of new revenue insurance products that may have made producers less sensitive to premium changes.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22019
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The Determinants of Survival of Spanish Consumers Fronting the BSE Crisis AgEcon
Radwan, Amr; Gil, Jose Maria; Serra, Teresa.
The impact of food scares on meat consumption has been traditionally investigated by estimating food demand systems using aggregated time series. Only a few have considered micro data but none of them has tried to quantify consumers’ reaction to food scares and the speed of such reactions. In this study we apply duration analysis techniques with the aim of analysing the effect of different explanatory variables on both the risk of reducing beef consumption and the timing of this reduction. Our results suggest that the maximum hazard occurs during the few months after the occurrence of the food crisis and then the reducing consumption hazard tend to diminish. Moreover, economic factors such as prices and income could be considered as the most determinant...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food scare; BSE; Duration analysis; Reaction timing; Spain; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Livestock Production/Industries; C41; D1.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62008
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The Impact of Avian Influenza on Vertical Price Transmission in the Egyptian Poultry Sector AgEcon
Hassouneh, Islam; Radwan, Amr; Serra, Teresa; Gil, Jose Maria.
In recent years, health risks have received increasing attention among consumers and created interest in analysing the relationship between food scares, food consumption and market prices. One of the most relevant and recent food scares is the avian influenza that has had important effects not only on human and animal health, but also on the economy. We assess effects of avian influenza on price transmission along the Egyptian poultry marketing chain. Although Egypt has been one of the most affected countries by avian influenza, this article is the first attempt to understand this food scare’s impacts on Egyptian poultry markets. In doing so, a multivariate smooth transition vector error correction model (STVECM) is applied to monthly poultry price data....
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food scare; Avian influenza; Price transmission; Egypt.; Production Economics; C22; Q13.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91830
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Effects of Decoupling on the Average and the Variability of Output AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Zilberman, David; Goodwin, Barry K.; Featherstone, Allen M..
Previous research has ignored the influence of inputs on output risk when assessing the effects of decoupled income-support payments on production decisions. This paper studies the impacts of agricultural policy decoupling on output variability and mean by explicitly considering the influence of agricultural input use on the stochastic component of production. We develop a theoretical framework that studies production responses of agricultural producers to apparently decoupled payments. Results show that, under DARA preferences, government transfers will have the effect of increasing production risk. Inferences on the effects of payments on output mean are also made. In our empirical application we use farm-level data collected in Kansas to illustrate the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Decoupling; Output risk; Risk preferences; Just-Pope production function; Demand and Price Analysis; Q12; Q18.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24601
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Local Polynomial Fitting and Spatial Price Relationships: Price Transmission in the EU Markets for Pigmeat AgEcon
Serra, Teresa; Gil, Jose Maria; Goodwin, Barry K..
We apply nonparametric methods to assess price transmission processes within the EU pig markets. We compare results derived from nonparametric regressions with those obtained using alternative nonlinear threshold models. Results show that nonparametric regressions support the parametric results. However, parametric techniques often suggest a higher degree of price transmission than that implied by threshold models.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25388
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MODELING THE IMPACT OF FOOD SAFETY INFORMATION ON MEAT DEMAND IN SPAIN AgEcon
Radwan, Amr; Gil, Jose Maria; Ben Kaabia, Monia; Serra, Teresa.
This paper analyses the impact of food safety information about the 'mad-cow' crisis on the demand for different types of fresh meat and fish in Spain. The theoretical model explicitly incorporates food safety information in the consumers' utility function, from which demand equations are obtained. Two alternative functional forms have been considered, the standard AIDS and the Generalized Almost ideal Demand System (GAIDS) in order to overcome the problem of incorporating demand shifters in the traditional AIDS model. The food safety information has been incorporated into the demand function through a weighted information index built on the basis of the published news related to the mad-cow disease in the most popular Spanish newspaper. The comparison of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Meat consumption; Food safety information; BSE; Demand systems; GAIDS; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6672
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FOOD SAFETY INFORMATION AND MEAT DEMAND IN SPAIN AgEcon
Radwan, Amr; Gil, Jose Maria; Ben Kaabia, Monia; Serra, Teresa.
This paper analyses the impact of food safety information about the “mad-cow” crisis on the demand for different types of fresh meat and fish in Spain. The theoretical model explicitly incorporates food safety information in the consumers’ utility function, from which demand equations are obtained. Two alternative functional forms have been considered, the standard AIDS and the Generalized Almost ideal Demand System (GAIDS) in order to overcome the problem of incorporating demand shifters in the traditional AIDS model. The food safety information has been incorporated into the demand function through a weighted information index built on the basis of the published news related to the mad-cow disease in the most popular Spanish newspaper. The comparison of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Meat consumption; Food safety information; BSE; Demand systems; GAIDS; Consumer/Household Economics; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Q11; C32; D12.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51540
Registros recuperados: 31
Primeira ... 12 ... Última
 

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