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Registros recuperados: 15
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HURDLE COUNT-DATA MODELS IN RECREATION DEMAND ANALYSIS AgEcon
Shonkwiler, John Scott; Shaw, W. Douglass.
When a sample of recreators is drawn from the general population using a survey, many in the sample will not recreate at a recreation site of interest. This study focuses on nonparticipation in recreation demand modeling and the use of modified count-data models. We clarify the meaning of the single-hurdle Poisson (SHP) model and derive the double-hurdle Poisson (DHP) model. The latter is contrasted with the SHP and we show the DHP is consistent with Johnson and Kotz's zero-modified Poisson model.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31027
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STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE AND STABILITY OF THE HOG CYCLE AgEcon
Shonkwiler, John Scott; Spreen, Thomas H..
Cyclical fluctuations in prices and production have long characterized the United States hog industry. Recent evidence suggests that the length of the hog cycle has changed. In order to determine whether the change in cycle length is statistically significant, the bootstrap technique is employed to derive confidence intervals for point estimates of the hog cycle. Application of the bootstrap technique to time series models is discussed and empirical results are presented. It is concluded that the hog cycle is undergoing rather complicated changes based on cycle lengths that are calculated to be statistically different from zero.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1986 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29778
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A GENERALIZED SUPPLY RESPONSE/FACTOR DEMAND MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE FEEDER CATTLE MARKET AgEcon
Shonkwiler, John Scott; Hinckley, Suzanne.
The appropriate specification of expectations in empirical models of supply response or factor demand is discussed. A general model that admits both extrapolative and rational expectations is formulated and analyzed. The model is used to investigate the decision making process of cattle feeders by incorporating information on futures prices (as representations of rational forecasts) and lagged prices. The findings provide some evidence that cattle feeders form their expectations of future prices using both types of information.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1985 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32322
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MISSPECIFICATION IN SIMULTANEOUS SYSTEMS: AN ALTERNATIVE TEST AND ITS APPLICATION TO A MODEL OF THE SHRIMP MARKET AgEcon
Lea, J.D.; Shonkwiler, John Scott.
Concern over the effects of public policies based on misspecified econometric models motivates interest in a procedure to test, diagnose, and improve the specification of models that have been estimated with three-stage least squares. A test of system-wide specification based on Hausman's specification test is employed in a test of the a priori restrictions placed on the parameters of a structural model of the U.S. shrimp market. The null hypothesis of proper specification is rejected. After diagnosis via a comparison of unrestricted and restricted reduced forms and respecification, the null hypothesis cannot be rejected.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1988 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29267
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APPLICATION OF DISCRETE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION FOR DYNAMIC RURAL RETAIL SECTOR ANALYSIS: PRELIMINARY RESULTS AgEcon
Harris, Thomas R.; Shonkwiler, John Scott; Lin, Yuanfang.
This paper expands on previous count data models for estimating demand thresholds for rural retail sector counts. A discrete normal distribution is used for dynamic analysis of rural retail establishment counts.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Community/Rural/Urban Development.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20456
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CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS IN THE FED CATTLE MARKET AgEcon
Spreen, Thomas H.; Shonkwiler, John Scott.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1981 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30082
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ARE LIVESTOCK FUTURES PRICES RATIONAL FORECASTS? AgEcon
Shonkwiler, John Scott.
A measure for evaluating whether live hog and cattle futures prices represent rational forecasts is presented. It is assumed that the mechanisms which generate rational price forecasts possess the same stochastic properties as the cash prices with which they are associated. Using empirical data, tests are constructed which suggest that for contracts more than two months from maturity the rationality hypothesis is generally rejected. These findings are related to other studies of futures performance and the livestock markets.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 1986 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32245
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History matters for the export decision and the volume exported: Firm-level evidence from French agri-food firms AgEcon
Latouche, Karine; Shonkwiler, John Scott; Chevassus-Lozza, Emmanuelle.
As a result of the rapid growth of microeconometric studies of exporting firms, we know quite a lot about the hysteresis occurring in the current decision of firms to export. Firms entering a foreign market the previous year are more likely to export the current year. This fact is traditionally interpreted as a consequence of sunk export costs at entry to the international market. These costs are for instance the knowledge of foreign markets, the search for new distribution networks, or the compliance with border crossing standards specific to a given market. The specificity of the destination market appears as being of huge importance for the firms. Papers in this field propose to test for the existence of sunk-cost hysteresis by analysing entry and exit...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Dynamic tobit model; French agri-food firms; Exports; Destination markets; Agribusiness; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61481
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THE EFFECT OF MANAGERIAL ABILITY ON FARM FINANCIAL SUCCESS AgEcon
Ford, Stephen A.; Shonkwiler, John Scott.
The effects of managerial ability on farm financial success are analyzed for a 1990 sample of Pennsylvania commercial dairy farms using structural latent variable techniques. Latent factors related to dairy, crop, and financial management are used with herd size to explain farm financial success, measured by net farm income. Results indicate the relative importance of each management variable toward farm financial success.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm Management.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31453
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GOVERNMENT PAYMENTS TO FARMERS AND REAL AGRICULTURAL ASSET VALUES IN THE 1980S AgEcon
Moss, Charles B.; Shonkwiler, John Scott; Reynolds, John E..
This study determines the effect of government payments on real agricultural asset values using Bayesian vector autoregression. In developing the empirical model, special attention is focused on the informational content of government payments. The results indicate that government payments to farmers have little effect on real asset values in the long run. In the short run, an increase in government payments to farmers may be associated with decline in asset values.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30097
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A MODEL OF WEEKLY PRICE DISCOVERY FOR FLORIDA CELERY AgEcon
Shonkwiler, John Scott; Pagoulatos, Emilio.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1980 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29396
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A MODEL OF WEEKLY PRICE DISCOVERY FOR FLORIDA CELERY: REPLY AgEcon
Shonkwiler, John Scott; Pagoulatos, Emilio.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1980 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29476
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PROPERTY RIGHTS, GRAZING PERMITS, AND RANCHER WELFARE AgEcon
Lambert, David K.; Shonkwiler, John Scott.
This study attempts to link factors affecting the demand for Bureau of Land Management grazing to perceived changes in permittee welfare over the 1962-92 period. Annual demand for federal forage is found to be sensitive to active preference, beef cow and breeding ewe inventories, and grazing fees and nonfee allotment utilization costs. No evidence is found to support the notion that the demand for grazing has been affected by changes in property rights associated with the federal grazing permit that are not reflected in higher user costs. The total decrease in welfare generated from the permit that are not reflected in higher user costs. The total decrease in welfare generated from the permit to graze public lands has been about 9% per authorized cattle...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30926
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RATIONALITY, PRICE RISK, AND RESPONSE AgEcon
Seale, James L., Jr.; Shonkwiler, John Scott.
Risk has long been recognized as potentially important in determining agricultural supply. However, supply response models have either incorporated risk in an ad hoc manner or not at all. A rational expectations supply response model incorporating price risk is developed, an estimation procedure suggested, and an empirical example presented.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1987 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29317
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MODELING WEEKLY TRUCK RATES FOR PERISHABLES AgEcon
Beilock, Richard P.; Shonkwiler, John Scott.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1983 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30233
Registros recuperados: 15
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