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Understanding Long-Term Energy Use and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the USA 31
Socolow, Robert; Pacala, Stephen W.; Tol, Richard S.J..
We compile a database of energy uses, energy sources, and carbon dioxide emissions for the USA for the period 1850-2002. We use a model to extrapolate the missing observations on energy use by sector. Overall emission intensity rose between 1850 and 1917, and fell between 1917 and 2002. The leading cause for the rise in emission intensity was the switch from wood to coal, but population growth, economic growth, and electrification contributed as well. After 1917, population growth, economic growth and electrification pushed emissions up further, and there was no net shift from fossil to non-fossil energy sources. From 1850 to 2002, emissions were reduced by technological and behavioural change (particularly in transport, manufacturing and households),...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12043
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Safe vs. Fair: A Formidable Trade-off in Tackling Climate Change 31
Tavoni, Massimo; Chakravarty, Shoibal; Socolow, Robert.
Global warming requires a response characterized by forward-looking management of atmospheric carbon and respect for ethical principles. Both safety and fairness must be pursued, and there are severe trade-offs as these are intertwined by the limited headroom for additional atmospheric CO2 emissions. This paper provides a simple numerical mapping at the aggregated level of developed vs. developing countries in which safety and fairness are formulated in terms of cumulative emissions and cumulative per capita emissions respectively. It becomes evident that safety and fairness cannot be achieved simultaneously for strict definitions of both. The paper further posits potential global trading in future cumulative emissions budgets in a world where financial...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Climate Policy; Burden Sharing; Negative Emissions; Environmental Economics and Policy; Q01; Q56.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115818
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