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RISK ANALYSIS UNDER CORRELATED, NON-NORMAL PRICE AND YIELD PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 31
Ramirez, Octavio A.; Sosa, Romeo.
Recently developed techniques are combined for modeling mutually correlated crop yields and prices that exhibit heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation, respectively, and follow non-normal probability density functions (pdf's). The importance rigorously modeling these pdf's for financial risk analysis is illustrated through a case study of tropical agroforestry systems for coffee production.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21888
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ASSESSING THE FINANCIAL RISKS OF DIVERSIFIED COFFEE PRODUCTION SYSTEMS: AN ALTERNATIVE NONNORMAL CDF ESTIMATION APPROACH 31
Ramirez, Octavio A.; Sosa, Romeo.
Recently developed techniques are adapted and combined for the modeling and simulation of crop yields and prices that can be mutually correlated, exhibit heteroskedasticity or autocorrelation, and follow nonnormal probability density functions. The techniques are applied to the modeling and simulation of probability distribution functions for the returns of three tropical agroforestry systems for coffee production. The importance of using distribution functions that can more closely reflect the statistical behavior of yields and prices for risk analysis is discussed and illustrated.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30838
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