Actual catch (commercial catch and local consumption) have been made available by the Royal Thai Department of Fisheries for the Ubolratana reservoir, North East Thailand, since the impoundment of the lake in 1965. The data have been used to assess the possible relationship between the actual catch and morphometric parameters of the lake (maximum area, depth, shore line, difference between maximum and minimum area) and actual catch the year before. A comparison of the predictive power is carried out between multiple linear regression analysis, a generalised additive model, a regression tree analysis, an autoregression analysis and an artificial neural network. Results show the poorly predictive power in linear system (around 40% of explained variances),... |