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Berg, Ernst; Schmitz, Bernhard; Starp, Michael. |
In many areas agriculture is exposed to weather-related risks. Weather derivatives that get more and more in the focus of interest can reduce these risks. In this study we develop a temperature based weather derivative and analyse how it can reduce the weather-related energy cost risk in greenhouse production. We base this study on a temperature index whose stochastic characteristics are analysed. Finally we simulate the heating energy demand of a horticultural firm. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21378 |
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Berg, Ernst; Starp, Michael. |
Recent and presumable future developments tend to increase the risk associated with farming activities. This causes an increasing importance of risk management. Farmers have a wide variety of possibilities to influence the risk exposure of their operations. Among them are the choice of the production program as well as marketing activities including forward pricing and hedging with futures and options. In total all these opportunities comprise a portfolio of activities which must be selected as to match the resources of the farm as well as the farmer's attitudes towards risk. The paper addresses this issue using a whole farm stochastic optimisation approach based on a risk-value framework. The paper starts with a discussion of risk-value models and the... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Downside risk; Risk management; Risk measure; Risk-value models; Stochastic optimisation; Risk and Uncertainty. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25400 |
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Berg, Ernst; Schmitz, Bernhard; Starp, Michael; Trenkel, Hermann. |
The risks associated with farming activities are likely to increase in the future. It, therefore, appears worthwhile to analyse new risk management instruments. This paper investigates weather derivatives for which a market has already emerged in the USA. Contrary to traditional financial derivatives, their payoff is determined by future weather events, such as temperature or precipitation. Thus, they hedge risks which result from climate. Since they address production risks they are complementary to instruments that hedge price risks, such as future markets. The objective of the paper is to evaluate the economic impacts of weather derivatives and to assess their potential as farm level instruments of risk management. After outlining the main... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Weather derivatives; Weather risk; Risk management; Stochastic simulation; Financial Economics; Risk and Uncertainty. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97213 |
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