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Modelling the impacts of macro-economic variables on the South African biofuels industry AgEcon
Meyer, Ferdinand H.; Strauss, P.G.; Funke, Thomas.
The production of biofuels from agricultural commodities has received much attention in recent years. Apart from a few private initiatives, biofuels have not seen a large scale, commercial production in South Africa to date. This article sketches a basic picture of the economic feasibility of biofuel production in South Africa, without any form of government support, at 2006 prices. It then takes the analysis a step further and with the aid of a set of scenarios, different potential outcomes, due to a range of possible policy implementation measures, are discussed and the results documented. The Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy’s (BFAP) sector model is used to simulate the impact of various options on the potential biofuels industry and other...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44027
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Modelling the impacts of the industrial biofuels strategy on the South African agricultural and biofuel subsectors AgEcon
Funke, Thomas; Strauss, P.G.; Meyer, Ferdinand H..
The potential impact of the current South African industrial biofuels strategy on the economic feasibility of biofuel production in South Africa is analysed and discussed. The analysis is then taken a step further by means of a scenario to analyse the potential impacts of higher global prices on the feasibility of a local biofuel industry. The BFAP sector model, a partial equilibrium model, is used to simulate the various impacts over the period 2009 to 2017. This study shows that the incentives and commitments, as presented through the strategy, are not sufficient to get a local biofuel industry up and running and make it sustainable in the long term.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54988
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Facilitating decision-making in agriculture by using a system of models AgEcon
Strauss, P.G.; Meyer, Ferdinand H.; Kirsten, Johann F..
This article presents a deterministic farm-level model developed to link to an existing partial equilibrium sector-level model of the grain and livestock sectors of South Africa. The objective is to create a linked system of models consisting of a sector- and farm-level model with the capability to analyse the likely effects of changes in policies and markets at both the sector and representative farm level in South Africa. A representative farm in the Free State Province is used to validate the farm-level model. The farm-level model is used to simulate a baseline as well as two scenarios of the representative farm for the period 2003 to 2010. Results indicate that the farm-level model simulates the representative farm rather accurately compared to...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm Management.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44028
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