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PRICE INCENTIVES, NON-PRICE FACTORS, AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: A COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS AgEcon
Thiele, Rainer.
This paper deals with the question of how responsive farmers in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are to changes in incentives. Employing Johansen's multivariate cointegration approach and covering the period 1965-99, it investigates for ten selected SSA countries the long-run effect of pricing policies,macroeconomic distortions, and certain non-price factors on agricultural production. I turns out that - in those cases where cointegration relationships are found - estimated supply elasticities tend to lie between 0.20 and 0.50. Among the non-price factors, drought episodes have significantly impaired agricultural growth in six out of ten sample countries. Technical progress as measured by a simple deterministic trend has only had a minor impact on output.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Production Economics.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25901
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The Impact of Coffee Price Changes on Rural Households in Uganda AgEcon
Bussolo, Maurizio; Godart, Olivier; Lay, Jann; Thiele, Rainer.
Based on household survey data, this paper investigates the impact on coffee and non-coffee households of the pronounced coffee price fluctuations in Uganda during the 1990s. As expected, the price boom of the early 1990s was associated with substantial poverty reduction for coffee farmers. More strikingly, their poverty incidence continued to go down when prices fell again. This may be explained by a combination of factors: first, coffee production increased after 1995, probably as a delayed response to improved price incentives; second, there is evidence of consumption smoothing among specialized coffee farmers; and third, coffee farmers diversified into alternative crops. Non-coffee farmers seem to have benefited from the income generated through the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Coffee Price Changes; Price Transmission; Rural Households; Poverty Analysis; Uganda; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25345
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