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Registros recuperados: 38 | |
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Cardenas, Gabriela; Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Houston, Jack E.. |
Despite the decline of coffee prices during the 1990s, coffee production remains a main economic activity for producers in Southeastern Mexico. This paper analyzes the coffee production system for 24 municipios, or districts, in Veracruz, Mexico during a five-year cropping period (1997-2002). A stochastic frontier approach is used in order to estimate an input distance function and evaluate production efficiency during the period. Factors such as coffee quality and access to markets are tested in terms of their effect on efficiency. The results show the production process in these municipios, as measured by technical efficiency, seems to be stable over time despite of price fluctuations in the global market. Production of staple crops (corn) along with... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19470 |
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Larsen, Ryan A.; Leatham, David J.; Vedenov, Dmitry V.. |
The issue of modeling farm financial decisions in a dynamic framework is addressed in this paper. Discrete stochastic programming is used to model the farm portfolio over the planning period. One of the main issues of discrete stochastic programming is representing the uncertainty of the data. The development of financial scenario generation routines provides a method to model the stochastic nature of the model. In this paper, two approaches are presented for generating scenarios for a farm portfolio problem. The approaches are based on copulas and optimization. The copula method provides an alternative to the multivariate normal assumption. The optimization method generates a number of discrete outcomes which satisfy specified statistical properties by... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management. |
Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61509 |
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Zhang, Zibin; Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Wetzstein, Michael E.. |
The U.S. ethanol fuel industry has experienced preferential treatment from federal and state governments ever since the Energy Tax Act of 1978 exempted 10% ethanol/gasoline blend (gasohol) from the federal excise tax. Combined with a 54¢/gal ethanol import tariff, this exemption was designed to provide incentives for the establishment and development of a U.S. ethanol industry. Despite these tax exemptions, until recently, the U.S. ethanol fuel industry was unable to expand from a limited regional market. Ethanol was dominated in the market by MTBE (methyl-tertiary-butyl ether). Only after MTBE was found to contaminate groundwater and consequently banned in many states did the demand for ethanol expand nationally. Limit pricing on the part of MTBE... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34867 |
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Vedenov, Dmitry V.. |
The present paper describes the assumptions and modeling structure behind the SRA simulator, a user-friendly computer program developed in cooperation with RMA as a tool to assist policymakers in assessing the economic impact of the Standard Reinsurance Agreement. The simulator uses the historical data on yields, prices, and insurance losses for each district, crop, and insurance product in order to simulate a distribution of the book of business resulting from underwriting crop insurance either in aggregate or for a specific company. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Farm Management. |
Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19720 |
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Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Miranda, Mario J.. |
The paper discusses a methodology for design and pricing of index insurance contracts for crop production. The methodology heavily relies on establishing a relationship between the index and yields in order to evaluate the contract performance in hedging farmers' risk. However, analysis of yield/rainfall data series for Iowa corn and Kansas wheat fail to produce a reliable and meaningful relationship which can be used uniformly across several counties and/or crop producing districts. Further research is needed as to applicability of rainfall insurance to specific crop/region combinations. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty. |
Ano: 2001 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20458 |
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Power, Gabriel J.; Vedenov, Dmitry V.. |
Commodity and energy prices have exhibited an unprecedented increase between October 2006 and July 2008, only to fall sharply during the last months of 2008. Many explanations have been offered to this phenomenon, including steadily increasing demand from China and India, large mandated increases in ethanol production, droughts in some key agricultural producer countries, production plateaus in some major oil-producing countries, refinery capacity limits, demand pressure from the derivatives market owing to the diversification properties of commodities, etc. Clearly, agricultural input, output, and energy products are closely related economically. In addition to biofuels, the connection points include nitrogen-based solution liquid fertilizers, fossil... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Commodity prices; Commodity bull cycle; Energy prices; Granger-causality; Graph theory; Structural VAR.; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Demand and Price Analysis; Financial Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49538 |
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Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Miranda, Mario J.; Dismukes, Robert; Glauber, Joseph W.. |
The paper presents an economic analysis of the Standard Reinsurance Agreement (SRA), the contract that governs the relationship between the Federal Crop Insurance Corporation and the private insurance companies that deliver crop insurance products to farmers. The paper outlines provisions of the SRA and describes the modeling methodology behind the SRA simulator, a computer program developed to assist crop insurers and policymakers in assessing the economic impact of the Agreement. The simulator is then used to analyze how the SRA affects returns from underwriting crop insurance at various levels of aggregation. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20345 |
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Ahmedov, Zafarbek; Power, Gabriel J.; Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Fuller, Stephen W.; McCarl, Bruce A.; Vadali, Sharada. |
Traffic flows in the U.S. have been affected by the substantial increase and, as of January 2009, decrease in biofuel production and use. This paper considers a framework to study the effect on grain transportation flows of the 2005 Energy Act and subsequent legislation, which mandated higher production levels of biofuels, e.g. ethanol and biodiesels. Future research will incorporate changes due to the recent economic slowdown. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Ethanol; Biodiesel; Spatial equilibrium; Quadratic programming; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49837 |
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Nadolnyak, Denis A.; Vedenov, Dmitry V.. |
In the paper, preliminary results of the analysis of potential use of climate forecast information in designing rainfall index insurance in the southeastern region of the U.S. are reported. Joint distributions of bi-monthly rainfall and El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indexes are estimated using copula analysis of historical data. The risk reducing effectiveness of introducing premiums conditional on ENSO forecast is evaluated. The results indicate some dependence of the downward volatility of rainfall on the lagged ENSO (forecast) index, particularly in the coastal areas and in the late winter and spring. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; Q14; Q54. |
Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61755 |
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Power, Gabriel J.; Vedenov, Dmitry V.. |
Commodity cash and futures prices have been rising steadily since 2006. As evidenced by the April 2008 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Agricultural Forum, there is much concern among traditional futures and options market participants that the usefulness of commodity derivatives has been compromised. When basis risk is particularly high, dynamic hedging methods may be helpful despite their complexity and higher transaction costs. To assess the potential benefits of dynamic hedging in volatile times, this paper proposes a novel, empirical copula-based method to estimate GARCH models and to compute time-varying hedge ratios. This approach allows a nonlinear, asymmetric dependence structure between cash and futures prices. The paper addresses four... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37609 |
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Registros recuperados: 38 | |
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