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Registros recuperados: 31
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Mixed Unit Roots and Deterministic Trends in Noncausality Tests AgEcon
Ran, Tao; Zapata, Hector O..
Using Japanese economic data and a Monte Carlo simulation, this study analyzes the consequences of ignoring deterministic trends in mixed unit-root data for Granger noncausality tests. Results from an augmented VAR suggest over-rejection in certain empirically relevant cases at various sample sizes.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6745
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Does Social Capital Have a Role in Environmental Kuznets Curve? Spatial Panel Regression Approach AgEcon
Paudel, Krishna P.; Zapata, Hector O.; Schafer, Mark J.; Marzoughi, Hassan.
We advance a case for an inclusion of social capital in the environmental Kuznets curve analysis using highly disaggregated data on water pollution in Louisiana. A social capital index and other variables are used in parametric and spatial panel regression models to explain water pollution dynamics.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Social capital; Principal component analysis; Environmental Kuznets curve; Spatial regression; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19457
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Technical Efficiency in Louisiana Sugar Cane Processing AgEcon
Johnson, Jason L.; Zapata, Hector O.; Heagler, Arthur M..
Participants in the Louisiana sugar cane industry have provided little information related to the efficiency of sugar processing operations. Using panel data from the population of Louisiana sugar processors, alternative model specifications are estimated using stochastic frontier methods to measure the technical efficiency of individual sugar factories. Results suggest the Louisiana sugar processing industry is characterized by a constant returns to scale Cobb-Douglas processing function with high technical efficiency.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Technical efficiency; Stochastic frontier; Resource allocation; Sugar cane processing; Agribusiness; Productivity Analysis.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90369
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SELECTING THE "BEST" PREDICTION MODEL: AN APPLICATION TO AGRICULTURAL COOPERATIVES AgEcon
Rambaldi, Alicia N.; Zapata, Hector O.; Christy, Ralph D..
A credit scoring function incorporating statistical selection criteria was proposed to evaluate the credit worthiness of agricultural cooperative loans in the Fifth Farm Credit District. In-sample (1981-1986) and out-of-sample (1988) prediction performance of the selected models were evaluated using rank transformation discriminant analysis, logit, and probit. Results indicate superior out-of-sample performance for the management oriented approach relative to classification of unacceptable loans, and poor performance of the rank transformation in out-of-sample prediction.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 1992 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30380
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A Semiparametric Approach to Estimate Engel curves using the US Micro Data AgEcon
Zapata, Hector O.; Sulgham, Anil K..
The study estimates Engel curves using cross-section data from the 2003 US consumer expenditure survey (CES). We focus on finding adequate specification for modeling the demographic characteristics using parametric, nonparametric, and semiparametric techniques. The empirical results indicate parametric Working-Leser or Piglog specification was sufficient for most budget shares except for transportation where semiparametric specification had support.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21092
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TWO METHODS OF ESTIMATING SEMIPARAMETRIC COMPONENT IN THE ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNET'S CURVE (EKC) AgEcon
Paudel, Krishna P.; Zapata, Hector O..
This study compares parametric and semiparametric smoothing techniques to estimate the environmental Kuznet curve. The ad hoc functional form where income is related either as a square or a cubic function to environmental quality is relaxed in search of a better nonlinear fit to the pollution-income relationship for panel data.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34598
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Exchange Rate Volatility in BRICS Countries AgEcon
Maradiaga, David Isaias; Zapata, Hector O.; Pujula, Aude Liliana.
This paper measures the impact of bilateral exchange rates, the world agricultural GDP and third-country exchange rate volatilities (Yen/USD and Euro/USD) on the BRICS agricultural exports using a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Two measures of volatility are used: the standard deviation and the coefficient of variation of the rates of change of the real exchange rates. We found that most variables are integrated of order two except the third-country exchange rate volatilities which are stationary and thus considered as exogenous in the VAR models. The causality between I(2) variables was tested using the modified Wald test introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We found that both volatilities (Yen/USD and Euro/USD) Granger cause Brazilian agricultural...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: BRICS; Currency Exchange Rate; Volatility; Trade; Agricultural Exports; U.S. Dollar; Risk; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/119726
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Nonstationarity in the Specification of the Environmental Kuznets Curve AgEcon
Zapata, Hector O.; Paudel, Krishna P..
Numerous studies have addressed the question of the econometric specification of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). This paper adds preliminary results on nonstationarity and its effect on functional form using a panel data set for the U.S. by state from 1929 to 1994. It is found that unit-root tests strongly support a unit root in pollutants (sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide) and income when testing individual states. The results from panel data unit root tests provide mixed evidence about nonstationarity in EKC data.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Kuznets curve; Fixed and random effects; Parametric models; Water pollution; Watershed; Nonstationarity; Unit-roots; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19270
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ANALYSIS OF EXPECTED PRICE DYNAMICS BETWEEN FLUID MILK FUTURES CONTRACTS AND CASH PRICES FOR FLUID MILK AgEcon
Fortenbery, T. Randall; Cropp, Robert A.; Zapata, Hector O..
The objective of this study is to provide an empirical evaluation of the expected relationship between cash and futures prices for fluid milk. This is done using historic cash prices from 1988 to 1995, and making inferences about how futures prices would have behaved if they had traded during this sample period. Futures prices are simulated over the sample period based on two assumptions about futures market behavior for fluid milk. The first is that the futures market will essentially price the Basic Formula Price (BFP). The BFP is an estimate of the previous month's pay price for Grade B manufacturing milk in Minnesota and Wisconsin adjusted for contemporaneous changes in the prices of manufactured milk products. It establishes the federal milk marketing...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12618
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A DYNAMIC RESPONSE ANALYSIS FOR THE U.S. ROUGH RICE MARKET AgEcon
No, Sung Chul; Zapata, Hector O..
This study provides a comparative evaluation of VARs versus structural VARs for policy analysis and simulation via impulse response analysis (IRA). The IRA is valuable information for rice market participants as these results provide an economically intuitive explanation of adjustments that occur as a result of shocks to the market.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20765
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LONG-RUN TREND ANALYSIS OF COUNTER-CYCLE PROGRAM COMMODITY PRICES IN THE FARM SECURITY AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT ACT OF 2002 AgEcon
No, Sung Chul; Salassi, Michael E.; Zapata, Hector O..
This study provides empirical evidence on whether corn, sorghum, oat, barley, wheat, rice, soybeans, cotton, and peanuts exhibit cyclical patterns in their historical prices. The results of time-series analysis support a newly added counter-cyclical payment in the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 for all crops except corn.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35087
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Use of Seemingly Unrelated Parametric and Semiparametric Panel Models in the Environmental Kuznets Curve Estimation AgEcon
Zapata, Hector O.; Paudel, Krishna P..
We estimated the environmental Kuznets curve for point (mercury) and nonpoint (nitrogen, phosphorus, and dissolved oxygen) source water pollutants as a function of income in parametric and semiparametric functional forms of the Panel data model. Seemingly unrelated panel formulation did not provide gain in efficiency over the single equation panel data model.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35495
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DYNAMIC ANALYSIS WITH TIME SERIES MODELS: SIMULATION AND EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE AgEcon
Robledo, Carlos W.; Zapata, Hector O..
The performance of the FPE, AIC, HQ and SC criteria in choosing lag-length, and the effect on the impulse-response functions, are studied in a Monte Carlo simulation. The experiments include stationary, cointegrated, and mixed unit root VAR and MA cases.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Statistical selection criteria; Cointegration; Mixed unit roots; Impulse response functions; Small sample properties; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21526
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A century of crop yield density estimation with perspectives AgEcon
Pujula, Aude Liliana; Maradiaga, David Isaias; Zapata, Hector O.; Dicks, Michael R..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61909
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Price Discovery in the World Sugar Futures and Cash Markets: Implications for the Dominican Republic AgEcon
Zapata, Hector O.; Fortenbery, T. Randall; Armstrong, Delroy.
This paper examines the relationship between #11 sugar futures prices traded in New York and the world cash prices for exported sugar. It was found that the futures market for sugar leads the cash market in price discovery. However, we fail to find evidence that changes in the cash price causes changes in futures price, that is, causality is unidirectional from futures to cash. The finding of cointegration between futures and cash prices suggests that the sugar futures contract is a useful vehicle for reducing overall market price risk faced by cash market participants selling at the world price (i.e., not enjoying favorable trade incentives). Further reliability on the usefulness of the WSF as a price discovery market is found through the impulse response...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12657
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MONTE CARLO EVIDENCE ON COINTEGRATION AND CAUSATION AgEcon
Zapata, Hector O.; Rambaldi, Alicia N..
The small sample performance of Granger causality tests under different model dimensions, degree of cointegration, direction of causality, and system stability are presented. Two tests based on maximum likelihood estimation of error-correction models (LR and WALD) are compared to a Wald test based on multivariate least squares estimation of a modified VAR (MWALD). In large samples all test statistics perform well in terms of size and power. For smaller samples, the LR and WALD tests perform better than the MWALD test. Overall, the LR test outperforms the other two in terms of size and power in small samples.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Causality tests; Cointegration; Likelihood ratio; Wald statistic; Monte Carlo Experiments; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31690
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THRESHOLD MODELS IN THEORY AND PRACTICE AgEcon
Zapata, Hector O.; Gauthier, Wayne M..
Threshold models have gained much recent attention in applied economics for modeling nonlinear behavior. The appeal for these models is due in part to the observable pattern that many economic variables follow, such as asymmetric adjustment towards equilibrium. This paper reviews the literature and provides links to software programs.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35147
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PRICE FORECASTING WITH TIME-SERIES METHODS AND NONSTATIONARY DATA: AN APPLICATION TO MONTHLY U.S. CATTLE PRICES AgEcon
Zapata, Hector O.; Garcia, Philip.
The forecasting performance of various multivariate as well as univariate ARIMA models is evaluated in the presence of nonstationarity. The results indicate the importance of identifying the characteristics of the time series by testing for types of nonstationarity. Procedures that permit model specifications consistent with the system’s dynamics provide the most accurate forecasts.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32505
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A Dynamic Approach to Estimate Theoretically Consistent US Meat Demand System AgEcon
Sulgham, Anil K.; Zapata, Hector O..
The paper conducts an empirical investigation of the US meat demand system using quarterly data on per capita meat consumption and prices. SUR maximum likelihood is used to estimate a static and dynamic (error correction) linear almost ideal demand systems. Results compare static and dynamic model elasticities.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35441
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PRICE DISCOVERY IN THE FUTURES AND CASH MARKET FOR SUGAR AgEcon
Armstrong, Delroy; Zapata, Hector O.; Fortenbery, T. Randall.
Pricing function using world sugar futures (WSF) has received limited research interest. Findings indicate that WSF and cash prices for the Dominican Republic appears cointegrated with changing relationships. Previous work suggests that futures markets price the cheapest quality of commodities deliverable on contracts. Cointegration results are consistent with this argument.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35239
Registros recuperados: 31
Primeira ... 12 ... Última
 

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