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Registros recuperados: 31 | |
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Rambaldi, Alicia N.; Zapata, Hector O.; Christy, Ralph D.. |
A credit scoring function incorporating statistical selection criteria was proposed to evaluate the credit worthiness of agricultural cooperative loans in the Fifth Farm Credit District. In-sample (1981-1986) and out-of-sample (1988) prediction performance of the selected models were evaluated using rank transformation discriminant analysis, logit, and probit. Results indicate superior out-of-sample performance for the management oriented approach relative to classification of unacceptable loans, and poor performance of the rank transformation in out-of-sample prediction. |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness. |
Ano: 1992 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30380 |
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Zapata, Hector O.; Sulgham, Anil K.. |
The study estimates Engel curves using cross-section data from the 2003 US consumer expenditure survey (CES). We focus on finding adequate specification for modeling the demographic characteristics using parametric, nonparametric, and semiparametric techniques. The empirical results indicate parametric Working-Leser or Piglog specification was sufficient for most budget shares except for transportation where semiparametric specification had support. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21092 |
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Susanto, Dwi; Zapata, Hector O.; Cramer, Gail L.. |
Standard bootstrap method is used to generate confidence intervals (CIs) of impulse response functions of VAR and SVAR models in the pork sector. In the VAR model, the bootstrap method does not produce significant different results from Monte Carlo simulations. In the SVAR analysis, on the other hand, the bootstrap CIs are significantly different from Monte Carlo CIs after a six period forecast intervals. This suggests that the choice of method used to measure reliability of IRFs is not trivial. Furthermore, bootstrap CIs in SVAR model seem to be more stable than MC CIs, which tend to be wider in the longer horizons. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20051 |
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No, Sung Chul; Salassi, Michael E.; Zapata, Hector O.. |
This study provides empirical evidence on whether corn, sorghum, oat, barley, wheat, rice, soybeans, cotton, and peanuts exhibit cyclical patterns in their historical prices. The results of time-series analysis support a newly added counter-cyclical payment in the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 for all crops except corn. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35087 |
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Zapata, Hector O.; Fortenbery, T. Randall; Armstrong, Delroy. |
This paper examines the relationship between #11 sugar futures prices traded in New York and the world cash prices for exported sugar. It was found that the futures market for sugar leads the cash market in price discovery. However, we fail to find evidence that changes in the cash price causes changes in futures price, that is, causality is unidirectional from futures to cash. The finding of cointegration between futures and cash prices suggests that the sugar futures contract is a useful vehicle for reducing overall market price risk faced by cash market participants selling at the world price (i.e., not enjoying favorable trade incentives). Further reliability on the usefulness of the WSF as a price discovery market is found through the impulse response... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12657 |
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Kazmierczak, Richard F., Jr.; Zapata, Hector O.; Diop, Hamady. |
Octopus exports are an important source of foreign exchange for Mauritania. The export market has historically been dominated by coordinated Japanese buyers, a situation that led Mauritania to create the Societe Mauritanienne de Commercialisation de Poisson (SMCP) to negotiate with buyers and manage all octopus exports. Issues concerning competitiveness, price discrimination, and exchange rate pass-through in the Mauritanian octopus export market corrected for contemporaneous and serial correlation. Results indicate some degree of price discrimination across destination markets, market share enhancement through local currency price stabilization, and increases in marginal costs of production following nationalization of the Mauritanian trawler fleet. Thus,... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: International trade; Exchange rates; Imperfect competition; Octopus fisheries; Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 1997 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90407 |
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Zapata, Hector O.; Hudson, Michael A.; Garcia, Philip. |
A Monte Carlo investigation is used to examine the performance of two commonly used tests for Granger causality for univariate and bivariate nonstationary ARMA (p,q) processes. Tests are applied to raw data, first differences of the raw data, and detrended versions of the series. The results indicate that for independent series the tests are robust regardless of sample size. With bivariate series and nonstationarity, the tests results are sensitive to the ARMA specification, whether the data are filtered and the type of filter used, and the sample size. |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
Ano: 1988 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32108 |
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Zapata, Hector O.; Maradiaga, David Isaias; Pujula, Aude Liliana; Dicks, Michael R.. |
This study conducts an investigation on the application of classical unit-root tests using parametric tests (the augmented Dickey-Fuller, 1979 – ADF), and nonparametric tests (Phillips and Perron, 1988—PP) to corn and soybean yields in the Delta states using county-level data from 1961 to 2009. The main concern of the paper is to assess what would be drawn about nonstationarity in crop yields using these tests versus using modified versions of these tests (Ng and Perron, 2001) that are assumed to solve size and power problems associated with the ADF and PP tests. The investigation focuses on methodological aspects of the classical tests, uncovers the nature of filtered yields often needed prior to density estimation, sheds light on the effect of lag... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Crop yields; Nonstationarity; Unit-roots; Density estimation; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103871 |
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Zapata, Hector O.; Fortenbery, T. Randall. |
The temporal relationship between Chicago corn and soybean cash prices, nearby futures prices, and interest rates is examined using daily 1980-1989 data. Johansen cointegration tests suggest joint movement of the three series over the data period considered. In addition, analyses of individual crop years, which is consistent with previous work, shows co-movement between cash, futures, and interest rates in years when bivariate cointegration between cash and futures prices was not found. The results provide initial empirical evidence that a potential limitation of previous research in the study of cash- futures simple efficiency has been the exclusion of the interest rate as a common stochastic factor explaining equilibrium in models of cash and futures... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis. |
Ano: 1995 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12637 |
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Registros recuperados: 31 | |
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