|
|
|
|
|
| Men, Ke-pei; Zhu, Shu-dan; Zhao, Kai. |
| According to the latest revised agricultural economic statistical data in China Statistical Yearbook-2010, by selecting and establishing the square root-treated grey model, the empirical analysis and forecast research on the grain output of China from 201 1 to 2015 are conducted. The results show that me grain output of China in 2011 will reach 557.739 million tons, and it will break through 600 million tons at 605.617 million tons in 2015. The persistent and stable grain output will ensure that the national economy develops in normal during the twelfth five-year plan period and remit the world grain crisis efficiently; meanwhile, the problem of exorbitant grain prices should be remitted in some level. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: China grain production; Square root-treated grey model; Forecast; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/117254 |
| |
|
|
| Men, Ke-pei; Zhao, Kai. |
| In order to analyze the relation between agricultural input factors and economic growth in Anhui Province, the evaluation index system of agricultural input is built from the perspectives of subject, object and tools based on grey system theory. The government investment in agricultural science and technology is selected as the index of labor subject, that is labor-related index（X1）, the total sown area of crops is selected as the index of labor object（X2）, the investment in rural water and electricity construction is chosen as the index of tools（X3）, and the GDP of Anhui Province is denoted by X0. According to the relevant data, the improved model of grey correlation analysis is adopted to calculate the correlation among the investment in agricultural... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Anhui Province; Agricultural input factors; Grey correlation; GDP; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93664 |
| |
|
|
| Men, Ke-pei; Zhao, Kai. |
| According to the latest amended agricultural economic statistical data from 1996 to 2009 in Henan Statistical Yearbook-2010，by selecting and establishing the optimized grey model of logarithmic new developed coefficient, we conduct the empirical analysis and forecast research on the grain output and the relevant main economic indices in Henan Province from 2010 to 2015. The results show that the grain output of Henan Province in 2010 will reach 54.8969 million tons, and it will break through 60 million tons at 60.17 million tons in 2015. In years ahead, the grain output of Henan Province will develops to a new stage steadily, which guarantees the national grain supply and socio-economic sustainable development forcibly. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Henan Province; Grain production; Grey model of LNDC; Forecast; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/108398 |
| |
|
|
|
