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Explaining Variations in the Price of Dairy Quota: Flow Returns, Liquidity, Quota Characteristics, and Policy Risk AgEcon
Wilson, Norbert L.W.; Sumner, Daniel A..
An econometric model based on the net present value model is used to examine factors that drive the variation of California dairy quota values over a 29-year period. The results suggest the price of quota is based on expected returns, variations in quota owner liquidity, and the risk of policy default. The dominant influence on the variation of the quota price was the historical variation in monthly flow of net benefits from owning quota. This analysis confirms that the rate of return to quota rises in periods of policy uncertainty.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Adaptive expectations; Capitalization of policy; Dairy policy; Policy risk; Quota; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31145
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EFFECTS OF OWNERSHIP RESTRICTIONS ON FARMLAND VALUES IN SASKATCHEWAN AgEcon
Carlberg, Jared G..
Restrictions on the ownership of farmland by nonresidents of Saskatchewan were imposed by the Farmland Security Act (FSA) in 1974. The FSA has been blamed by some observers for depressed provincial land values. An adaptive expectations present value model is developed to estimate the effects of the FSA, with the province of Alberta included as a control. Results of seemingly unrelated regressions and generalized autoregressive conditional hetereoscedasticity estimates find no statistically significant effect of the FSA on the value of land in Saskatchewan. This may indicate that the effect of the regulatory change is too small to be measured accurately.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Adaptive expectations; Farmland Security Act; Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity; Present value; Seemingly unrelated regressions; Land Economics/Use; C51; G21; Q18.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15473
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THE EAST ASIAN CRISIS: A DYNAMIC COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS AgEcon
Ianchovichina, Elena; McDougall, Robert; Hertel, Thomas W..
The paper proposes a new disequilibrium approach to modeling international capital mobility. Key to this approach are errors in investors' assessments of potential returns to capital -- such as those recently observed in Asia. We use the model to study dynamic adjustment of North American farm and food industries to a marginally deeper, longer crisis in East Asia.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Capital mobility; Adaptive expectations; East Asian crisis; Financial Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21587
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