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| Carvalho, Maria Auxiliadora de; Silva, Cesar Roberto Leite da. |
| This paper aims to contribute to the Brazilian deindustrialization debate, attributed to exchange appreciation that, for several authors, is the agricultural export increase effect. Constant market share method applied on FAO export data, for the 1991 to 2003 period, indicates that Brazilian agricultural export increased more than the potential rate, due to expressive competitiveness gains. After the exchange regime change, in 1999, the competitiveness increase was partly neutralized by growth share of products whose world demand was in decline. Exports value decomposition showed that the volume effect predominates, fact more evident after the flotation exchange adoption, when the price effect was negative. Even discounting the real exchange depreciation... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural export; Deindustrialization; Constant market share; Agribusiness; F31. |
| Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61270 |
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| Longjiang, Chen. |
| This paper attempts to examine the relationship between changes and volatility of China's RMB exchange rates and its agricultural export. A model is constructed to analyze the effect of RMB exchange rate movements on agricultural exports facing two constraints including China's particular exchange rate system and TBT / SPS in agricultural trade. The model reveals that the net trade effect of RMB exchange rate movements relies on the comparison of exchange rate level change (appreciation or depreciation) effect and exchange rate risk effect. Taking China’s agricultural exports to Japan as a case, this paper makes an empirical examination. A GARCH (1, 1) model is specified to measure the exchange rate volatility and ADL regression with structural break dummy... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Agricultural export; China; International Relations/Trade. |
| Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49995 |
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