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Registros recuperados: 9
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Actuarial evaluation of the EU proposed farm income stabilisation tool AgEcon
Pigeon, Mathieu; Frahan, Bruno Henry de; Denuit, Michel.
Recently, the European Commission proposed to introduce several risk management tools in the rural development pillar 2 of the CAP. One of them consists in providing co-financing support to mutual funds compensating farmers who experience a severe drop in their farm income. This paper analyses this new farm income stabilization tool for the Walloon region in Belgium, considering separately three groups of farms (crop, dairy and cattle farms). Relying on FADN data from 1997 to 2007, this analysis focuses on estimating the probability that such regional mutual funds would need to intervene to compensate farm net incomes and, in that case, the expected amount of each farm income compensation and the total expected amount of compensation. The budgetary...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural risk management; Income stabilisation; Belgium; European Union; Risk and Uncertainty; D81; Q12; Q18..
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122485
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Index based compensation for weather risk in the Italian agriculture. A feasibility study based on actual historic data AgEcon
Cafiero, Carlo; Angelucci, Federica; Capitanio, Fabian; Vollaro, Michele.
The paper explores the feasibility of the use of weather index based derivatives for farms' risk management in an Italian province. Based on a combination of detailed local weather data and of data on farms' yields, various possible weather indexes are found that are highly correlated with yields of the major crops in the area. Simulations show that hedging through such index based derivatives can be effective in protecting the stability of farms' incomes, at a cost that is likely to be much lower than that of the current system of subsidized crop insurance and ex-post compensation.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural risk management; Weather derivatives; Index based yield insurance.; Production Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9261
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Evaluation of an index-based risk management contract for agricultural activities AgEcon
Weynants, Stephanie; Gaspart, Frederic; Frahan, Bruno Henry de.
This paper proposes and evaluates area index-based financial contracts for specific farm activities. These financial contracts allow not only for removing moral hazard and adverse selection as index insurances do, but also for adding more flexibility and, hence, better risk protection. The evaluation of these financial contracts uses FADN farm data of Belgium from 1990 to 2007. Area indexes based on yield and yield-in-value perform well in stabilising revenues from some farm activities, but badly from some others. The variation in the estimated actuarially fair premiums across agricultural area shows the importance of designing those financial contracts according to homogenous agricultural area.
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural risk management; Index insurance; Financial contract; Belgium; Risk and Uncertainty; D81; Q12; Q18.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122483
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Using climate information to approximate the value at risk of a forward contracted canola crop AgEcon
Wallace, Garry E.; Samsul Huda, A.K..
In recent decades farmers have used financial instruments such as cash forward contracts to lock-in a price for increasing proportions of their crop through different stages of the production cycle. Given the high variability of the Australian climate this practice has inherent risk with drought induced crop failure being significantly probable. Under failed crop conditions farmers buy themselves out of the contracted position at prevailing prices thereby compounding the financial burden of crop failure. This paper reports on the role of the relatively recent developments in climate prediction, based on the SOI phase system, to develop crop yield probability distributions using regression approximation and to evaluate the Value at Risk of establishing a...
Tipo: Article Palavras-chave: Canola crop; Agricultural risk management; Farm Management.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/123144
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Efficiency of Weather Derivatives as Primary Crop Insurance Instruments AgEcon
Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Barnett, Barry J..
This study analyzes efficiency of weather derivatives as primary insurance instruments for six crop reporting districts that are among the largest producers of corn, cotton, and soybeans in the United States. Specific weather derivatives are constructed for each crop/district combination based on analysis of several econometric models. The performance of the designed weather derivatives is then analyzed both in- and out-of-sample. The primary findings suggest that the optimal structure of weather derivatives varies widely across crops and regions, as does the risk-reducing performance of the optimally designed weather derivatives. Further, optimal weather derivatives required rather complicated combinations of weather variables to achieve reasonable fits...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural risk management; Crop insurance; Index insurance; Weather derivatives; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30916
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Mezőgazdasági fedezeti ügyletek és piaci hatékonyságuk a Budapesti Értéktőzsdén AgEcon
Halmos, Kornel.
A mezőgazdasági vállalkozásokban jelentős kockázat az árkockázat. Fedezeti ügyletekkel aktív kockázatkezelést folytató gazdálkodók száma jelentősen elmarad a nemzetközi átlagtól. Az árutőzsde hatékony működése szükséges ahhoz, hogy megfelelő határidős ügyletekkel az árkockázat eliminálható legyen. A hatékonysági vizsgálatok igazolták a gyenge szintű tőkepiaci hatékonyság meglétét, így a hazai határidős piac ebből a szempontból alkalmas a hatékony kockázatmenedzsmentre. Ugyanakkor a hatékonyság rendre elmarad a fejlettebb azonnali részvénypiaci szekciótól. A piaci likviditás és párhuzamosan a piaci hatékonyság jelentősen növelhető lenne, amennyiben a mezőgazdasági vállalkozások megismernék, megértenék a határidős piacokban lévő kockázatmérséklési...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Fedezeti ügylet; Hatékonyság; Árutőzsde; Kockázatkezelés; Hedge transaction; Market efficiency; Produce exchange; Agricultural risk management; Market liquidity; Agricultural Finance; Financial Economics.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99174
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The role of local production and the world price in setting local wheat, wool, and beef prices AgEcon
Frost, Mark; Parton, Kevin A..
The Australian dollar is considered primarily a commodity-based currency. The high level of commodity-based exports in Australia’s trade balance is given as an explanation. Accordingly changes in world commodity prices should bring commensurate changes in the value of the Australian dollar, such that changes in world commodity prices are only partially transmitted to the Australian economy and local farm-gate prices. If this relationship holds, then local farm-gate prices should be significantly less volatile than their respective world price. Variances in local prices would be due to local factors (e.g. variances in local production) rather than variances in the world price and international factors. This paper examines the farm-gate prices of Australia’s...
Tipo: Article Palavras-chave: Farm economics; Farm business management; Agricultural risk management; Commodity prices; Farm Management.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/123139
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Weather Derivatives as Risk Management Tool in Ecuador: A Case Study of Rice Production AgEcon
Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Sanchez, Leonardo.
This paper analyzes efficiency of weather derivatives as insurance instruments for rice in Ecuador. Weather derivatives were constructed for each county/season combination. Complicated weather models were estimated for the index, and a copula approach was used to get the probability distributions. We find Risk-reducing efficiency varies across county and season.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural risk management; Index insurance; Weather derivatives; Copula approach; Rice production; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty; Q14; Q59.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98747
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Percepção e respostas gerenciais ao risco: um estudo sobre os produtores de leite do Programa de Desenvolvimento da Pecuária Leiteira da Região de Viçosa - MG AgEcon
Vale, Sonia Maria Leite Ribeiro do; Pereira, Vanessa da Fonseca; Lima Neto, Antonio Carlos; Sant'Anna, Julio Cezar Oliveira.
The agriculture sector has particular characteristics, general and unfavorable, which make its participants exposed to risks, and increase the complexity of making decisions. However, little is known about how farmers perceive risk in their activity. Based on a research done in the Zona da Mata region in the State of Minas Gerais, this work shows the view of a group of milk producers about the risks which they are exposed to, and also, describes the tools used by them as managing responses to these risks. Firstly, the farmers answered about the importance of the different kinds of risks in their business, and next, pointed out the methods they use to manage them. The results show the lack of a formal risk managing strategy, which has been substituted up to...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural risk management; Information; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54599
Registros recuperados: 9
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