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Influences of Permanence on the Comparative Value of Biological Sequestration versus Emissions Offsets AgEcon
McCarl, Bruce A.; Murray, Brian C.; Schneider, Uwe A..
We use a net present value framework to examine the impact of non-permanence on the economics of land-based biological carbon sequestration. Contingent on assumptions about discount rates, management, and carbon prices trajectories, and payment contract design, we find the adjusted value of carbon sequestration relative to permanently available emission offsets to be between 38 and 55 percent for agricultural soil offsets and between 51 and 99 percent for afforestation offsets. Simulations with an Agricultural Sector Model show the empirical effect of sequestration value discounts on the total potential of U.S. agricultural sinks to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions within a multistrategy setting.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural Sector Model; Carbon price trajectory; Carbon sequestration dynamics; Economics of greenhouse gas emission mitigation; Forest sink discounting; Mathematical programming; Net present value; Saturation; Volatility; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18448
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Economic Potential of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions: Comparative Role for Soil Sequestration in Agriculture and Forestry AgEcon
Schneider, Uwe A.; McCarl, Bruce A.; Murray, Brian C.; Williams, Jimmy R.; Sands, Ronald D..
We use the Agricultural Sector Model to analyze the economic potential of soil carbon sequestration as one of several agricultural greenhouse gas emission mitigation strategies, including afforestation. For low incentives on carbon emission savings, agricultural soil carbon sequestration is the most cost-efficient strategy. As incentive levels increase above $50 per ton of carbon equivalent, afforestation and biofuel production become the key strategies, while the role of soil carbon diminishes. If saturating sinks are discounted based on their net present value, the competitive economic equilibrium among agricultural mitigation strategies shifts away from soil carbon sequestration and afforestation and toward more biofuel production. Regardless of the...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Afforestation; Agricultural Sector Model; Carbon sequestration dynamics; Economic potential; Emission leakage; Greenhouse gas emission mitigation; Sink saturation; Technical potential; Volatility; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18378
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